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Be a VIP in an Executive Box @ Sunderland Dogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Lillybetb 4y 27 | C Mcnicholas — 14% R541 W78 P263 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 4 | 49 | 50 (3) | 36 (5) | 43 (4) | 33 (5) | 31 (5) | 42 (2) | 27 (3) | 44 (2) | 52 (2) | 29 (5) | 39 | 24 | - | 12 | 36 | 11 | 5 | 16/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Debbies Hopeb 1y 18 | D Blackbird — 16% R1120 W183 P620 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 52 | 37 (6) | 56 (3) | 51 (2) | 52 (2) | 60 (1) | 31 (4) | 52 (2) | 55 (3) | 55 (4) | 60 (3) | 31 | 27 | - | 32 | 52 | 41 | 3 | 13/8 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Marinas Calgaryd 3y 18 | G Strike — 20% R429 W86 P227 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 39 | 73 (1) | 56 (4) | 58 (3) | 70 (1) | 48 (3) | 68 (1) | 58 (2) | 57 (3) | 53 (3) | 62 (2) | 1 | 32 | - | 37 | 59 | 41 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Placeinmyheartb 2y 29 | M K Bulmer — 20% R279 W56 P156 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 57 | 64 (2) | 43 (6) | 55 (5) | 79 (1) | 57 (2) | 58 (2) | 58 (2) | 66 (2) | 64 (2) | 54 (5) | 44 | 40 | - | 42 | 59 | 34 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Mrs Charmb 4y 19 | P Miller — 20% R617 W124 P340 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 66 | - | 78 (1) | 62 (2) | 77 (1) | 61 (2) | 66 (2) | 77 (1) | 62 (2) | 78 (1) | 57 (3) | 58 (4) | 38 | 33 | - | 61 | 69 | 56 | 1 | 6/4F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lillybet | 28.73 | 29.30 | 29.54 | 4 | +0.81 | Well out of form | |
| 2 | Debbies Hope | 28.07 | 28.53 | 28.07 | 43 | 0.00 | Modest but steady | |
| 4 | Marinas Calgary | 27.97 | 28.23 | 27.97 | 52 | 0.00 | Best raw speed here | |
| 5 | Placeinmyheart | 27.76 | 28.15 | 28.49 | 48 | +0.73 | Best C&D record |
This is a handicap over Sunderland's 450m trip, so the usual trap statistics are complicated by staggered starts rather than a level break - though the historical pattern here still shows trap 1 as a strong structural draw at nearly 26 percent and trap 5 the weakest at just over 13 percent. Mrs Charm, the intended trap 6 runner and a course winner last time out, has been scratched and does not take part tonight, leaving four to go to post. Lillybet holds the shortest handicap mark in the strong trap 1 but her recent form is well below this level. Placeinmyheart and Marinas Calgary share the best recent form in the remaining field despite starting from the traditionally weaker outside boxes, and with Lillybet out of sorts this looks a match between those two on ability. Placeinmyheart is quick to the bend and likes to lead, which could suit if she gets across, while Marinas Calgary is the type to be finishing best of all if it's run at a true pace.
Sixth last time out but that followed a run of seventy-nine a few starts back, and her overall form of forty-three, fifty-five, seventy-nine, fifty-seven, fifty-eight, fifty-eight matches the field's best average performance. She's quick into the bend and likes to get to the front, which can be a real asset over this trip if she lands there clear. Her course and distance record is outstanding - ten runs have brought two wins and seven places, a 70 percent placing rate that's the strongest of anyone in this field. Drawn in a historically weak trap for the grade, but her all-round profile makes the strongest case in an open race.
Fourth last time out and her form of fifty-six, fifty-eight, seventy, forty-eight, sixty-eight, fifty-eight matches the best average performance among today's runners, with that seventy a few runs back showing a genuine peak. She finishes strongly from off the pace, is rated a very consistent runner, and owns the best raw clock speed of anyone left in this race now that the trap 6 runner is out. Ten course and distance runs have brought three wins and five places, a solid return. Drawn in a traditionally weak trap for this grade, but her own form makes light of that.
Fifth last time out and her recent form of thirty-six, forty-three, thirty-three, thirty-one, forty-two, twenty-seven is well below this field, with none of her last six runs threatening a big performance. She races in a balanced style and holds a strong structural trap in this grade, but the handicap mark alone can't make up for form this far off the pace. Ten runs at this course and distance have brought only three places and no wins. Hard to trust off this level of form.
Third last time out stepping down from A7 grade, and her form of fifty-six, fifty-one, fifty-two, sixty, thirty-one, fifty-two is steady and unspectacular. She races in a balanced style and is rated a very consistent runner, and ten runs at this course and distance have brought one win and four places. Not the standout on ability but honest enough to feature if the leading pair have any issues.
Key insight: Handicaps at Sunderland are one of the weaker grades for the ratings model - the top-rated dog wins only 20 percent, and the fastest dog on the clock does even worse at under 18 percent. Trap 1 has a notably strong structural record in this grade, but that needs weighing against each dog's actual current form rather than followed blindly.
T1:25.8% T2:17.2% T3:16.3% T4:14.0% T5:13.4% T6:19.2%
1,731 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Lillybet | 49 | 2 | All-Rounder |
2Debbies Hope | 51 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Marinas Calgary | 39 | 81 | Closer |
5Placeinmyheart | 55 | 50 | Front Runner |
6Mrs Charm | — | — | No data |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.