Won last time out at the grade below and steps up tonight, one of five runners doing exactly that. He's a confirmed closer who does his best work late, and his trainer has the best record of anyone in this race in these conditions, at nearly 29%. He's also drawn in the best-performing trap in this small sample. The concern is that he's the slowest recorded dog in the field by a distance, which is a lot to make up purely on trainer and trap.

Won last time out at the grade below and was also runner-up in the race before that, both promising signs stepping up. His times are respectable but his last run was noticeably slower than his best. His trainer, who also saddles Inniskeen Flash in this race, hasn't had a winner from eleven runs in these conditions between the two of them, which is a concern worth flagging.

Carries a strong career record — a 33% win rate from twelve starts marks him out as a proven winner — and he won last time out stepping up from the grade below. He's the model's own top selection tonight. The concern is his trainer, who also saddles Noirs Bono, hasn't had a winner from eleven combined runs in these exact conditions, which tempers what otherwise looks a solid case.

Won last time out at the grade below and shares a trainer with Swift Rally elsewhere in this field. His pace figures sit in the lower half of this race and trap six has been the least productive box in this small sample. Respected for winning last time but up against a tough draw and a step up in company.