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Tuesday Night Racing @ Shelbourne A3 525 Semi-Final
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Old Princessb 2y 6 | - | - | 54 | - | 67 (4) | 46 (5) | 49 (6) | 53 (6) | 53 (5) | 70 (4) | 66 (5) | 73 (2) | 68 (2) | 75 (3) | 20 | 23 | 10 | 16 | 58 | 44 | 2 | 2/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Fercullen Dodged 2y 14 | - | - | 48 | - | 66 (2) | 45 (6) | 40 (3) | 38 (5) | 39 (6) | 55 (5) | 61 (2) | 48 (5) | 34 (6) | 51 (4) | 1 | 2 | - | 19 | 49 | 36 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Krushing Itd 2y 26 | Vincent McKenna — 26% R35 W9 P20 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 72 (2) | 77 (2) | 58 (5) | 73 (2) | 67 (4) | 56 (4) | 72 (1) | 45 (6) | 45 (6) | - | 17 | 30 | 18 | 26 | 63 | 46 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Lolos Oliveb 3y 35 | - | - | 34 | - | 56 (3) | 59 (5) | 63 (4) | 44 (4) | 63 (3) | 54 (6) | 55 (3) | 53 (5) | 57 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | 56 | 13 | 6 | 10/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Jacktavern Susieb 2y 16 | David Byrne — 0% R12 W0 P5 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 68 (3) | 80 (3) | 49 (2) | 53 (2) | 63 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 | - | - | 62 | 30 | 3 | 7/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Highview Focusd 2y 17 | - | - | 58 | - | 59 (5) | 55 (6) | 47 (6) | 56 (5) | 85 (1) | 48 (6) | 68 (3) | 74 (2) | 69 (3) | 62 (5) | 17 | 26 | 26 | 15 | 61 | 34 | 1 | 5/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Old Princess | 28.88 | 29.31 | 29.62 | 54 | +0.74 | Best trap, no C&D win yet | |
| 2 | Fercullen Dodge | 29.21 | 29.61 | 29.29 | 48 | +0.08 | Stepping up from A4 | |
| 3 | Krushing It | 29.09 | 29.73 | 29.40 | 47 | +0.31 | Model pick | |
| 4 | Lolos Olive | 29.30 | 29.76 | 29.95 | 34 | +0.65 | 0 from 7 here | |
| 5 | Jacktavern Susie | 29.38 | 29.38 | 29.38 | 49 | 0.00 | Dropped in from A2 | |
| 6 | Highview Focus | 29.02 | 29.27 | 29.29 | 58 | +0.27 | Top speed rating |
No formal profile exists for Shelbourne Park in our database, but the same pattern keeps showing up at 525 metres tonight - trap 1 is the best box, winning 23.46% here, with trap 4 the clear weak spot at 11.54%. This A3 heat looks the most open of the night on paper. Krushing It arrives already racing well at this exact grade, with a string of high figures behind him and a trainer in good form, which makes him the standout on recent evidence. Old Princess gets the plum draw and has bags of course-and-distance experience, even if a win at this specific combination has eluded her so far. Jacktavern Susie dropped in from tougher A2 company off a big performance and could be dangerous if she reproduces it, while Lolos Olive has drawn a blank in seven attempts at this course and distance from the worst box in the field.
Already competing at this exact grade and trip, and ran to a big figure of 77 last time out here in second - the kind of form that translates directly to tonight's race. The last six runs read 77, 58, 73, 67, 56 and 72, a consistently strong performer rather than a one-off. Trainer Vincent McKenna's 31% strike rate is a useful supporting sign, and the suitability figures for this course, trip and class are all solidly positive. Trap 3 is a moderate draw rather than a boost, but the weight of recent form carries this pick.
Gets the plum draw tonight - trap 1 has been the best box at this grade and trip by some distance. Vastly experienced at this course and distance with nine runs under her belt, but a win at this specific combination has proved elusive, with two placed efforts the best return. Recent form of 46, 49, 53, 53, 70 and 66 shows a peak of 70 four runs back, so the ability is there, just not always on the night. The obvious danger given the draw advantage.
Drops down from tougher A2 company tonight, and produced a big performance last time there, rated 80 in third. If she brings that level of running down into A3 she could be dangerous, though the grade she's coming from means some caution is warranted on how much of that figure was earned against stronger opposition. Trainer David Byrne's record here is modest. Trap 5 is a reasonably productive box at this trip.
Carries the fastest raw time in the field tonight and has plenty of course-and-distance experience, with ten runs producing a win and two places. Form has been up and down - 55, 47, 56, 85, 48 and 68 - with a big peak of 85 three runs back showing the capability is there when things click. Trap 6 has been one of the weaker boxes at this trip, which works against the speed advantage somewhat.
Steps up from A4 grade off a promising second-place run rated 66 last time out, so there's encouragement to take into the higher class tonight. Earlier form of 45, 40, 38, 39 and 55 was more modest, so the last run needs confirming as a genuine step forward rather than a one-off. Trap 2 has been a productive box at this trip, which helps his cause. Eight course-and-distance runs have brought two places but no win.
Seven runs at this exact course and distance have produced no wins and no places at all, a poor return that's hard to look past. Recent form of 56, 59, 63, 44, 63 and 54 is unremarkable, and trap 4 has been comfortably the worst box at this trip tonight. The evidence points strongly against her featuring.
Key insight: Trap 1 wins nearly a quarter of races at this grade and trip, and the model's top-rated dog converts particularly well here at 32.97% - one of the stronger composite signals we've seen tonight.
T1:23.46% T2:20% T3:16.25% T4:11.54% T5:17.72% T6:13.92%
477 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 350m | 525m | 550m | 575m | 750m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Old Princess | — | 0.557 | 0.558 | — | — |
| 2 | Fercullen Dodge | 0.570 | 0.564 | — | — | 0.585 |
| 3 | Krushing It | — | 0.563 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Lolos Olive | — | 0.567 | — | 0.559 | 0.580 |
| 5 | Jacktavern Susie | — | 0.555 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Highview Focus | — | 0.557 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.