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Good Night And Safe Home A1/A2 550
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Group Silverstard 1y 22 | Marie Gilbert — 19% R16 W3 P9 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 62 (6) | 69 (2) | 77 (2) | 35 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 22 | 28 | - | 18 | 62 | 44 | 6 | 1/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Roscomroe Rockyd 2y 53 | - | - | 47 | - | 62 (4) | 71 (3) | 71 (3) | 69 (3) | 65 (1) | 67 (4) | 92 (1) | 77 (3) | 70 (3) | 58 (5) | 11 | 12 | 20 | - | 69 | 32 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Saratoga Ferrarib 2y 33 | David Murray — 17% R70 W12 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 72 (3) | 80 (3) | 79 (3) | 74 (3) | 67 (2) | 84 (1) | 85 (1) | 59 (4) | 59 (3) | 49 (4) | - | - | - | - | 73 | 35 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Walkabout Murtd 3y 41 | Paddy Flynn — 20% R10 W2 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 31 | - | 44 (5) | 95 (1) | 69 (3) | 80 (3) | 67 (5) | 96 (1) | 64 (6) | 76 (4) | 68 (5) | 71 (4) | 16 | 7 | 14 | - | 72 | 28 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Lolos Littlerd 3y 33 | - | - | - | - | 61 (6) | 28 (4) | 62 (5) | 69 (3) | 73 (3) | 29 (4) | 29 (3) | 56 (5) | 59 (3) | 69 (4) | - | 6 | - | - | 64 | 37 | 5 | 14/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Aussie Rewardd 2y 23 | - | - | 50 | - | 65 (5) | 71 (5) | 64 (5) | 60 (6) | 66 (4) | 55 (5) | 96 (1) | 64 (5) | 58 (4) | 73 (3) | 26 | 22 | 29 | - | 67 | 46 | 2 | 8/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Group Silverstar | — | — | — | — | — | Weak trap | |
| 2 | Roscomroe Rocky | 30.51 | 30.51 | 30.51 | 47 | 0.00 | Consistent | |
| 3 | Saratoga Ferrari | 30.27 | 30.44 | 30.27 | 56 | 0.00 | Model pick, best form | |
| 4 | Walkabout Murt | 30.32 | 30.76 | 31.93 | 31 | +1.61 | Wildly volatile form | |
| 5 | Lolos Littler | — | — | — | — | — | Weak trap, volatile | |
| 6 | Aussie Reward | 30.36 | 30.54 | 30.42 | 50 | +0.06 | Very consistent |
The last race of the night, over a slightly longer 550 metres, and the trap pattern flips from the standard 525-metre trip - traps 3 and 6 share top spot at 27.27% each, while traps 1, 4 and 5 have all struggled at under 9%. It's a small sample of 135 runs so treat it as a lean rather than gospel, but the gap between the best and worst boxes is wide enough to matter. Saratoga Ferrari has produced the strongest, most consistent figures of anyone in the field and lands in one of the two best boxes. Aussie Reward carries the model's top rating and shares that same favourable draw, with a picture of remarkable consistency across his recent runs. Walkabout Murt has shown the biggest ceiling of anyone here but his form swings wildly from race to race, while the three weakest-drawn runners all have plenty to find.
Produces the strongest, most consistent recent figures of anyone in this field - 72, 80, 79, 74, 67 and 84, never dipping below the high 60s across six runs. That kind of sustained level at the top grade is hard to find. Lands in one of the two best boxes at this trip, sharing top spot with trap 6. No previous form at this exact course and distance yet, so this is a first look at the specific combination, but the underlying level of the dog is clear from recent running elsewhere. Trainer David Murray's 12% strike rate is unremarkable, but the dog's own form does the talking.
Carries the model's top rating in this race and shares the same favourable draw as the selection, with trap 6 the joint-best box at this trip. Form has been notably steady - 65, 71, 64, 60, 66 and 55 - rarely straying far from the mid-60s, which points to a reliable, honest performer. Suitability figures across trap, class and track are all solidly positive. A very fair alternative to the selection.
A steady, reliable sort with form of 62, 71, 71, 69, 65 and 67 - consistent without a standout peak. Last time out came over a much longer 750-metre marathon, so tonight's return to a stayer's trip at 550 metres should suit better. Trap 2 has been a productive box at this grade and trip. A fair yardstick without the top-end figures of the front two.
Capable of a huge figure on his day, having hit 95 five runs back and 96 most recently of the good ones, but the form swings wildly - 44, 95, 69, 80, 67 and 96 - making him almost impossible to predict from one run to the next. Trainer Paddy Flynn's 25% strike rate is a reasonable sign. Trap 4 has been one of the weakest boxes at this trip. The ceiling is there but the unpredictability is the real issue.
Form has alternated wildly between competitive and well-beaten efforts - 61, 28, 62, 69, 73 and 29 - with no obvious pattern to when the good runs turn up. Trap 5 has been one of the weakest boxes at this trip tonight, adding to the questions. Hard to have confidence in this runner turning up on the night.
A modest recent figure of 62 last time out, with a peak of 77 two runs back showing some ability when things go right. Trap 1 has been comfortably the weakest box at this trip tonight, which is a significant obstacle. Trainer Marie Gilbert's 21% strike rate is unremarkable. The draw does this runner no favours at all.
Key insight: Traps 3 and 6 combine for well over half of recent winners at this trip and grade, while traps 1, 4 and 5 have barely featured at all - a smaller sample than the main 525-metre trip but a striking split all the same.
T1:8.7% T2:22.73% T3:27.27% T4:8.7% T5:8.7% T6:27.27%
135 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 550m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 550m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (550m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 400m | 525m | 550m | 575m | 600m | 750m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Group Silverstar | — | 0.555 | 0.544 | 0.550 | — | — |
| 2 | Roscomroe Rocky | — | 0.550 | 0.552 | 0.551 | 0.549 | 0.561 |
| 3 | Saratoga Ferrari | 0.547 | 0.552 | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Walkabout Murt | — | 0.559 | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | Lolos Littler | — | 0.553 | 0.549 | — | — | 0.568 |
| 6 | Aussie Reward | — | 0.554 | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.