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Run A Fundraiser Novice 750
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Marlhill Jennyb 1y 35 | Emer Dunne — 28% R25 W7 P13 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 75 | - | 66 (4) | 63 (4) | 68 (2) | 99 (1) | 69 (4) | 81 (3) | 40 (6) | 63 (5) | 65 (5) | 73 (2) | 36 | - | - | - | 70 | 38 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Barefoot Roscoed 3y 34 | - | - | 61 | - | 66 (3) | 48 (6) | 66 (5) | 88 (2) | 58 (5) | 57 (6) | 96 (1) | 83 (2) | 94 (1) | 57 (6) | 3 | - | - | - | 69 | 20 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Foxtrot Bravob 2y 42 | - | - | 30 | - | 43 (6) | 47 (3) | 39 (6) | 47 (3) | 54 (2) | 62 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 47 | 16 | 6 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Jacktavern Jennyb 2y 34 | David Byrne — 0% R12 W0 P5 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | - | 63 (6) | 61 (5) | 50 (3) | 15 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | - | - | - | 50 | 2 | 4 | 2/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Moyola Has Itd 1y 31 | - | - | 28 | - | 51 (3) | 53 (4) | 63 (5) | 70 (3) | 76 (1) | 59 (2) | 57 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 60 | 12 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Rathmoyle Mayab 2y 34 | - | - | 54 | - | 69 (2) | 67 (2) | 59 (3) | 67 (2) | 60 (3) | 61 (3) | 44 (6) | 59 (4) | 76 (2) | 65 (3) | 8 | - | - | - | 63 | 18 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marlhill Jenny | Longest previous trip was 575m - stepping up nearly 175m tonight, untested at true marathon distance. | — | Distance rise, model pick | ||||
| 2 | Barefoot Roscoe | Last run was over 525m - a huge step up to 750m tonight. | — | Big trip rise from sprint form | ||||
| 3 | Foxtrot Bravo | 41.90 | 42.47 | 42.75 | 30 | +0.85 | Out of form | |
| 4 | Jacktavern Jenny | 41.50 | 43.14 | 41.50 | 41 | 0.00 | Weak recent form | |
| 5 | Moyola Has It | 41.93 | 42.45 | 43.12 | 28 | +1.19 | Stepping up from 575m | |
| 6 | Rathmoyle Maya | 41.58 | 42.36 | 41.58 | 54 | 0.00 | Consistent, already tried 600m | |
This is the marathon event of the night at 750 metres, and it's genuinely uncharted water - not one of the six runners has raced this course-and-distance combination before, and the trap data is built on just 42 runs, too thin to draw firm conclusions from. Over this kind of extreme stamina test, it's the dogs with a track record of holding their form over longer trips who deserve most credit, rather than raw speed over shorter distances. Marlhill Jenny arrives with the strongest recent figures and the fastest clocking of anyone here, but she's stepping up from 575 metres and has never proven she stays this far. Rathmoyle Maya has been remarkably consistent and was already racing over 600 metres last time, suggesting she may be building towards exactly this kind of test. Foxtrot Bravo and Jacktavern Jenny both arrive short of form and look to have plenty to find.
Rates the fastest of this field on recent clockings and has been running well, with form of 67, 63, 68, 99, 69 and 81 - that 99 a standout figure even allowing it may be something of an outlier. Trainer Emer Dunne's 29% strike rate is a useful supporting sign. The obvious concern is the trip: her longest run to date has been 575 metres, and stepping up to a full 750-metre marathon is a genuine leap into the unknown for stamina. On raw ability she looks the one to beat, but the extra distance needs to be taken on trust.
Remarkably consistent for a stayer-type, with the last six runs all bunched between 59 and 69 - no big peaks but no poor runs either. Already stepped up to 600 metres last time out and ran on well there in second, which suggests she's being built up towards exactly this kind of marathon test rather than being thrown in cold. That progression is worth more than raw speed figures over this trip. A logical each-way alternative if the selection finds the extra distance too much.
Has shown a big level in the past, hitting 96 five runs back, but the last effort was a modest 48 over a much shorter 525 metres, so tonight's jump to a 750-metre marathon is an enormous leap on top of indifferent recent form. Trap 2 has looked the strongest box in a small sample, which offers some help. The stamina question is the biggest concern here.
Has been competing over 575 metres recently with form of 51, 53, 63, 70, 76 and 59, showing a peak of 76 three runs back. The step up to 750 metres is significant but she's at least shown willingness to stay on in her recent efforts. Trap 5 has been on the weaker side in the limited sample. Others look stronger on the balance of evidence.
Recent form of 63, 61, 50 and 15 shows a runner short of her best right now, with that 15 a particularly poor effort. Trainer David Byrne's record here is modest. The step up to marathon distance adds another question mark on top of the indifferent current form. Hard to make a strong case.
The weakest recent form of this field, with figures of 43, 47, 39, 47, 54 and 62 showing little to get excited about, and a well-beaten last effort at a shorter 550 metres. The jump to a 750-metre marathon looks a tall order on this level of form. Struggles to be included on what she's shown recently.
Key insight: Only 42 runs recorded at this marathon distance and grade - the trap figures are close to flat and shouldn't be trusted as a meaningful edge. None of tonight's runners has raced this exact course-and-distance combination before.
T1:14.29% T2:28.57% T3:14.29% T4:14.29% T5:14.29% T6:14.29%
42 condition runs
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (750m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 525m | 550m | 570m | 575m | 600m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marlhill Jenny | 0.553 | 0.557 | 0.551 | 0.556 | — |
| 2 | Barefoot Roscoe | 0.559 | — | — | 0.563 | — |
| 3 | Foxtrot Bravo | 0.566 | 0.567 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Jacktavern Jenny | 0.575 | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | Moyola Has It | 0.564 | — | — | 0.575 | — |
| 6 | Rathmoyle Maya | 0.566 | — | — | — | 0.554 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.