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June Monthly Novice ON2 525 Final
Model does not predict this race
Novice/Open (ON) grade races at Irish tracks are not predicted — insufficient model signal for this grade format
This race is excluded from all accuracy and results tracking.
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Highview Levid 1y 3 | Gerry Merriman — 24% R38 W9 P25 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 64 (1) | 65 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 38 | 70 | - | 70 | 64 | 61 | 1 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ballymac Cmaxb 1y 1 | - | - | - | - | 68 (1) | 60 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 31 | 51 | - | 51 | 64 | 51 | 6 | 1/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Maree O Kartd 1y 11 | - | - | 53 | - | 48 (3) | 47 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 48 | 17 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ More Readiesd 1y 11 | David Murray — 17% R70 W12 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 55 (2) | 54 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 | 28 | - | 26 | 55 | 34 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Innfield Ivyb 1y 12 | Barry Clancy — 21% R39 W8 P25 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 48 (3) | 53 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 14 | - | 13 | 50 | 26 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Valentines Dayb 1y 11 | - | - | 46 | - | 56 (2) | 62 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 37 | - | 34 | 59 | 44 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Highview Levi | 29.02 | 29.02 | 29.02 | 51 | 0.00 | Won last time | |
| 2 | Ballymac Cmax | — | — | — | — | — | Won last time, model pick | |
| 3 | Maree O Kart | 28.99 | 28.99 | 28.99 | 53 | 0.00 | Weakest form | |
| 4 | More Readies | 29.06 | 29.06 | 29.06 | 49 | 0.00 | Placed both starts | |
| 5 | Innfield Ivy | 28.99 | 29.12 | 29.25 | 46 | +0.26 | Weak trap | |
| 6 | Valentines Day | 29.07 | 29.21 | 29.07 | 46 | 0.00 | Placed both starts |
This ON2 novice contest doesn't have a track profile to lean on, and the conditions data here is genuinely thin - just 42 runs logged at this exact grade and trip, with each of tonight's six having raced here only twice. Take any trap figures with a heavy pinch of salt as a result, though trap 3 has looked the strongest small sample and trap 1 the weakest so far. Two runners arrive off wins last time out - Ballymac Cmax and Highview Levi - and on the numbers alone there's very little to split them, both perfect through their brief careers at this course and distance. Valentines Day has also been competitive without winning, while Maree O Kart is the one with the least to recommend her so far. With so little data behind every runner, this is closer to an informed guess than a confident selection.
Two runs, two wins at this course and distance - a perfect record so far, capped by an easy victory last time out rated 68, the best figure produced by anyone in this field recently. Still only a two-race career so it's genuinely early days, but trap 2 has looked one of the better boxes in this small sample and there's nothing in the profile to suggest the JOB is beyond her. The one with the strongest recent figure to fall back on.
Matches the selection stride for stride on paper - also unbeaten in two starts at this course and distance, also a winner last time out, rated 64. The suitability figures for track and distance are the strongest in the field. Trap 1 hasn't been quite as productive as trap 2 in the small sample available, which is the only thing separating the pair. A near-identical case to the selection.
Competitive without winning so far, placed second last time out rated 56 and with a career-best of 62 the run before. One win from two course-and-distance runs shows the conditions suit reasonably well. A fair yardstick for the field even without the standout figure of the top two.
Placed in both starts at this course and distance without getting a win, second last time out rated 55. Consistent enough on the little evidence available but lacking the big figure to challenge the front two. Trainer David Murray's percentage is modest.
Placed once from two starts here without winning, third last time out rated 48. The weakest suitability figures of the group and trap 5 has looked one of the poorer boxes in the small sample recorded so far. Needs to find more to be competitive.
The weakest recent form of this field, finishing third last time out rated just 48 having also managed only 47 on debut. No suitability data to speak of and no course-and-distance placed finish yet. Drawn in a box that has looked strong in this small sample, which offers some hope, but the form so far doesn't back up a big run.
Key insight: Only 42 runs recorded at this grade and trip - too small a sample to trust the trap figures with any confidence, though trap 3 has looked strong and traps 5 and 6 have yet to produce a winner in this small dataset.
T1:14.29% T2:28.57% T3:42.86% T4:14.29% T5:0% T6:0%
42 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.