| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Outlaw Gund 3y 5 | D Jeans — 15% R219 W33 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 48 | 42 (1) | 34 (5) | 50 (3) | 45 (4) | 60 (1) | 55 (2) | 43 (2) | 36 (3) | 32 (5) | 41 (2) | 37 | 36 | - | 26 | 44 | 42 | 4 | 7/4F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Maglass Ramblerd 3y 5 | R Jones — 25% R12 W3 P7 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 48 | 44 (4) | 36 (5) | 60 (1) | 49 (2) | 51 (2) | 35 (5) | 62 (1) | 51 (2) | 59 (3) | 42 (4) | 40 | 39 | - | 34 | 48 | 51 | 1 | 10/3 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Sovereign Tifosib 2y 110 | J A Knape — 24% R42 W10 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 54 | 61 (1) | 60 (1) | 24 (5) | 26 (5) | 26 (5) | 28 (6) | 48 (3) | 31 (4) | 30 (5) | 35 (3) | 39 | 29 | - | 27 | 35 | 41 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Anything Strangeb 3y 24 | J M Liles — 16% R394 W65 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 34 | 48 | 32 (6) | 22 (6) | 30 (4) | 30 (5) | 33 (4) | 41 (1) | 37 (3) | 63 (2) | 43 (6) | 52 (4) | 28 | 12 | - | - | 34 | 26 | 6 | 14/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Unknown Pathb 2y 7 | D D Porter — 17% R479 W80 P257 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 53 | 38 (4) | 61 (1) | 41 (4) | 42 (3) | 42 (5) | 61 (1) | 59 (1) | 33 (5) | 40 (4) | 37 (4) | 53 | 46 | - | 31 | 46 | 52 | 3 | 9/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Disembarkd 2y 4 | J A Knape — 24% R42 W10 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 48 | 43 (4) | 35 (6) | 32 (6) | 45 (4) | 63 (5) | 46 (6) | 33 (6) | 61 (1) | 61 (1) | 37 (1) | 21 | 22 | - | 21 | 43 | 40 | 5 | 10/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Outlaw Gun | 27.29 | 27.49 | 27.78 | 45 | +0.49 | ||
| 2 | Maglass Rambler | 26.87 | 27.41 | 27.57 | 56 | +0.70 | Model pick, tied fastest rating | |
| 3 | Sovereign Tifosi | 27.22 | 27.41 | 27.22 | 56 | 0.00 | Tied fastest rating | |
| 4 | Anything Strange | 27.74 | 27.74 | 27.74 | 34 | 0.00 | Flagged as lay, slowest | |
| 5 | Unknown Path | 27.08 | 27.43 | 27.45 | 55 | +0.37 | Danger, best trap | |
| 6 | Disembark | 26.99 | 27.46 | 28.03 | 46 | +1.04 | Well off best last time |
A more competitive grade than the earlier races on this card, and the trap data here is striking — trap five has been the standout box in this B2 460m grade, winning almost a third of the time, against trap six and trap three down around 11-12%. Maglass Rambler shares the fastest recorded time in the field and has been a fixture in the frame at this course, distance and grade over his last six starts, including a win from the front two runs back. Unknown Path, from that favoured fifth trap, has been even more prolific at this exact combination — two wins from his last six starts here, both from the same box, and he carries a strong career strike rate on top. Sovereign Tifosi matches the pace of the top two but his own recent form has been patchier. If the front two duel for the lead early, Unknown Path's habit of racing wide through the pack rather than on the rail could see him arrive at the business end with something in hand.
Shares the fastest recorded time in this field and has been consistently competitive at this course, distance and grade, with a win two starts back after leading with a quarter to run. He's a confirmed closer who finishes strongly from off the pace, which fits a race where a couple of the others could go off too hard early. His trainer's record in these conditions is based on a small sample but has been productive. The type who keeps finding a way into the frame here.
A career strike rate of 31% from sixteen starts marks him out as a proven winner, and he's drawn in trap five, which has been the standout box in this grade at nearly a third of all winners. His own record at this exact course, distance and grade is outstanding — two wins from his last six starts, both from this same box. His trainer has a strong record in these conditions too. Races a shade wide through his races rather than hugging the rail, but it clearly hasn't hurt him here before.
Won last time out but that was down at D2 over the shorter 270m sprint — this is a big step up in both distance and company. He's a fast-early type who tends to weaken late, which is more of a concern over this longer trip. Not among the quicker recorded times in this field either. A tough ask on this jump in class.
Won last time out but that was a grade lower at B3, so this is a step back up. He matches the top two on the clock and shows sharp early pace, though he tends to fade in the closing stages, and trap three has been one of the two weakest boxes in this grade. The speed is there but the draw and the fading tendency both work against him.
Finished last last time out and is comfortably the slowest recorded dog in this field. The probability model gives him less than a one-in-ten chance here, which lines up with what the clock is saying. Hard to make a case for him on any measure tonight.
Finished last last time out and his most recent time was well over a second slower than his recorded best, suggesting his form has dipped. He's a closer who does his best work late, but trap six has been one of the weakest boxes in this grade too. A difficult combination to overcome tonight.
Key insight: Trap five's win rate here is nearly triple that of the weakest boxes, and tonight's trap five runner also owns the strongest personal course-and-distance record in the race — the trap and the form point the same way
Trap five the standout box at 31%, traps three and six weakest at around 12%
204 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Outlaw Gun | 69 | 0 | Fader |
2Maglass Rambler | 31 | 100 | Closer |
3Sovereign Tifosi | 78 | 0 | Fader |
4Anything Strange | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Unknown Path | 75 | 0 | Fader |
6Disembark | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 460m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (460m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 400m | 460m | 480m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Outlaw Gun | 0.597 | — | 0.598 | — | — |
| 2 | Maglass Rambler | — | — | 0.596 | — | 0.597 |
| 3 | Sovereign Tifosi | 0.609 | — | 0.593 | — | — |
| 4 | Anything Strange | 0.604 | 0.618 | 0.603 | — | — |
| 5 | Unknown Path | — | — | 0.596 | — | — |
| 6 | Disembark | 0.595 | — | 0.597 | 0.618 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.