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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Insane Sueb 2y 7 | G Andreas — 14% R254 W36 P121 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 41 | 65 (2) | 53 (3) | 70 (1) | 37 (5) | 47 (3) | 44 (5) | 68 (1) | 39 (5) | 47 (5) | 69 (1) | 20 | 19 | 7 | 26 | 53 | 47 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Hollyoak Siobhanb 3y 6 | R W Butler — 17% R178 W30 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 47 | 73 (1) | 46 (6) | 66 (2) | 40 (6) | 49 (4) | 70 (1) | 65 (2) | 40 (3) | 67 (1) | 53 (2) | 53 | 38 | 12 | 32 | 53 | 48 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Hollyoak Princed 4y 23 | R W Butler — 17% R178 W30 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 50 | 38 (5) | 66 (1) | 36 (5) | 38 (6) | 53 (3) | 68 (1) | 38 (5) | 37 (6) | 53 (4) | 56 (4) | 22 | 28 | 13 | 25 | 48 | 40 | 6 | 25/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Bowes Hill Hollyb 1y 1 | R M Emery — 15% R117 W18 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 57 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | - | - | - | - | 25 | 3 | 11/8 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Springwood Juneb 3y 3 | D O Pearce — 20% R125 W25 P57 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 51 | 49 (4) | 51 (5) | 69 (1) | 57 (3) | 48 (4) | 45 (5) | 47 (2) | 47 (3) | 63 (4) | 41 (5) | 24 | 17 | 5 | 19 | 53 | 44 | 5 | 20/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Chloes Lexieb 2y 7 | R M Emery — 15% R117 W18 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 60 | 62 (6) | 48 (2) | 71 (5) | 50 (1) | 55 (3) | 69 (3) | 56 (1) | 41 (2) | 47 (5) | - | 31 | 30 | 9 | 36 | 56 | 53 | 1 | 5/4F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chloes Lexie | 29.93 | 30.26 | 30.02 | 57 | +0.09 | Best trap, top speed | |
| 1 | Insane Sue | 30.01 | 30.37 | 30.23 | 51 | +0.22 | Strongest C&D record | |
| 2 | Hollyoak Siobhan | 29.97 | 30.35 | 30.29 | 51 | +0.32 | Sixth last time out | |
| 3 | Hollyoak Prince | 29.99 | 30.41 | 30.49 | 46 | +0.50 | Fair form | |
| 4 | Bowes Hill Holly | No timed runs on record -- unraced or unverified form. | — | No recorded form | ||||
| 5 | Springwood June | 30.18 | 30.41 | 30.37 | 45 | +0.19 | Slowest speed rating | |
Central Park's tight first bend still bites at 491 metres despite the galloping dimensions, and trap 6 has been a standout box at this grade tonight, winning better than one in four (26%), while trap 4 has managed barely one in eight (14%). Chloes Lexie gets that plum outside draw and backs it up with the best recent form and fastest recorded time in the field. Insane Sue is the one with the strongest course and distance record on paper, a closer who has more room to work with at this longer trip than she would over the sprint. Bowes Hill Holly is unraced on the system and impossible to assess. This track and trip combination has historically been a hard one for pure ratings to crack, so the draw and the pace profile matter as much as the raw numbers tonight.
Gets the standout box in the race tonight -- trap 6 has won better than one in four here, comfortably clear of every other draw -- and backs it up with the fastest recorded time and the highest average performance rating in the field. Runner-up last time out at this same grade and trip and carries the best first-bend rating of anyone tonight, which matters on a track where the opening turn decides plenty. A course and distance record of two wins and four places from nine runs adds further support. This track and trip combination has been a tough one for pure ratings to nail, so the draw and pace advantage matter as much as the numbers.
Has the strongest course and distance record in the field by some margin, with three wins from nine runs here (33%), and finished third last time out at this same grade and trip. A committed closer who does her best work late -- at this longer 491 metre trip that running style has more time to come good than it would over a sprint. Trap 1 is only a middling box tonight at under 19%, but the proven C&D record is hard to ignore.
An all-rounder with a decent course and distance record, two wins and five places from ten runs here, but she was well beaten last time out in sixth. Trap 2 is a fair box tonight at just over 19%. The pieces are there but the most recent run is a concern.
A balanced runner with a modest course and distance record, two wins from ten runs here, fifth last time out at this same grade and trip. Trap 3 has been one of the weaker boxes tonight at just over 15%. Nothing here suggests she's fancied above the pace-setters in this field.
No recorded form on the system at all -- no timed runs, no course and distance history, nothing to assess her on. This has to be treated as a complete unknown rather than a genuine contender, and she also lands in the weakest box tonight at under 14%, which compounds the uncertainty.
A closer with an inconsistent pace pattern and the slowest speed rating of anyone in the race. Fifth last time out at this same grade and trip. Her course and distance record shows one win from five runs, but there's little on the clock here to get excited about.
Key insight: Trap 6 is well clear of the rest at 25.7% from 148 runs, trap 4 is the weakest draw at 13.7%. The composite's top pick wins only 19.9% here -- below the national baseline -- so this track and trip combination is a harder one for the model to crack, and structural factors like trap and running style carry extra weight.
T1:18.5% T2:19.3% T3:15.2% T4:13.7% T5:17.8% T6:25.7%
1,026 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Insane Sue | 46 | 68 | Closer |
2Hollyoak Siobhan | 53 | 30 | All-Rounder |
3Hollyoak Prince | 53 | 15 | All-Rounder |
4Bowes Hill Holly | — | — | No data |
5Springwood June | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Chloes Lexie | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 491m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (491m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 450m | 480m | 491m | 650m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Insane Sue | — | — | 0.618 | — |
| 2 | Hollyoak Siobhan | — | — | 0.618 | — |
| 3 | Hollyoak Prince | — | — | 0.620 | — |
| 4 | Bowes Hill Holly | — | — | 0.615 | — |
| 5 | Springwood June | 0.621 | — | 0.619 | 0.637 |
| 6 | Chloes Lexie | — | 0.615 | 0.616 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.