| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Matts Euniceb 3y 3 | P H Harnden — 15% R361 W54 P206 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 28 (4) | 29 (3) | 36 (1) | 29 (3) | 33 (2) | 26 (3) | 37 (4) | 29 (1) | 24 (4) | - | 31 | 31 | 23 | 28 | 30 | 31 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Rheas Petb 1y 36 | D D Porter — 17% R479 W80 P257 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 59 (1) | 48 (2) | 30 (5) | 27 (4) | 27 (5) | 36 (1) | 31 (3) | 36 (1) | 24 (4) | 30 (2) | 29 | 38 | 10 | 30 | 33 | 25 | 1 | 6/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Peacock Expressd 2y 34 | H J Dimmock — 25% R198 W49 P110 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 54 (5) | 50 (5) | 87 (3) | 81 (1) | 46 (1) | 65 (5) | 65 (4) | 68 (3) | 65 (4) | - | 23 | - | - | - | 64 | 14 | 2 | 6/5F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Amka Banditd 2y 5 | D Jeans — 15% R219 W33 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 23 | - | 23 (6) | 22 (6) | 22 (6) | 28 (6) | 59 (2) | 34 (5) | 42 (5) | 34 (6) | 31 (3) | 30 (4) | 10 | 8 | - | - | 26 | 19 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ducleaghd 3y 7 | J M Liles — 16% R394 W65 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 35 (2) | 25 (6) | 23 (6) | 27 (5) | 41 (1) | 35 (3) | 35 (3) | 24 (6) | 35 (2) | 40 (1) | 33 | 32 | 39 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Coolavanny Steved 3y 5 | A Welch — 13% R309 W40 P144 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 40 (1) | 28 (5) | 28 (5) | 35 (3) | 30 (3) | 29 (5) | 40 (1) | 36 (1) | 28 (2) | 27 (4) | 26 | 26 | 22 | 30 | 33 | 32 | 6 | 9/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matts Eunice | 16.15 | 16.47 | 16.64 | 49 | +0.49 | Danger, good trap | |
| 2 | Rheas Pet | 16.26 | 16.52 | 16.53 | 48 | +0.27 | Model's official top pick | |
| 3 | Peacock Express | No Towcester or 270m form on record — last six starts were all at Oxford over 450m in open-race and A3 company, most recently four months ago. Times not comparable. | — | No 270m form at all | ||||
| 4 | Amka Bandit | 16.93 | 16.93 | 16.93 | 23 | 0.00 | Slowest recorded | |
| 5 | Ducleagh | 16.13 | 16.39 | 16.44 | 53 | +0.31 | ||
| 6 | Coolavanny Steve | 16.17 | 16.36 | 16.21 | 57 | +0.04 | Pick, fastest and won last time | |
Another Towcester 270m sprint where the clock has consistently told the truer story than the ratings — speed rank one wins nearly one in four here, well clear of the top-rated dog's one in five. Coolavanny Steve owns the fastest recorded time in this field and won last time out at this exact course, distance and grade, yet the model's own ranking has him last in the field — a clear case where the raw pace and recent form matter more than the underlying rating. Matts Eunice, from the second-best trap in this grade, gives him the closest thing to a workmanlike danger. The real curiosity is Peacock Express, who steps down from open-race company at a completely different track and much longer trip after a four-month absence — his figures dwarf everything else here, but there's no evidence at all of how that translates to a sharp 270m dash at Towcester.
Won last time out at this exact course, distance and grade, and backs that up with the fastest recorded speed rating in the entire field. The model's own ranking oddly has him last, but the raw pace and the recent win both point firmly the other way — and at this trip, speed has consistently mattered more than the underlying rating. Trap six has been one of the weaker boxes in this grade and his trainer's record here is only moderate, which are the two genuine question marks, but the case on form and speed is the strongest in the race.
Finished fourth last time out at this course, distance and grade, and while his times aren't the very fastest in this field, he's drawn in trap one, which has been the second-best box in this D2 sprint grade at over 21%. His trainer has a fair record in these conditions too. A solid, unspectacular case built on the draw as much as the clock.
By far the biggest raw performance figure in this field, built entirely from open-race and A3 company at Oxford over 450 metres — a completely different level, distance and track to tonight's assignment. He hasn't raced in four months and there is zero recorded form at Towcester or over 270 metres to judge him on. His finishing style at the higher level was to lead and dominate from the front, and if any of that class survives the drop and the layoff, this field may simply not be good enough to live with him. Equally, the track change, trip change and time off could all catch him out. A genuine unknown either way.
The model's own top selection tonight, but his recent form has been mixed and he steps back down from a 460m outing where he was runner-up. He's fast early but tends to fade late, and his times here don't match the leading pace in this field. Respected by the ratings without offering much to back that up on the clock.
Finished last last time out at this course, distance and grade and is comfortably the slowest recorded dog in this field. There's little in his recent form or his times to suggest he can trouble the leaders tonight.
Finished last last time out but actually owns the fastest recorded best time in this field, even if his last run didn't reproduce it. Trap five has been one of the two weakest boxes in this grade, which is the main obstacle to translating that raw speed into a big run tonight.
Key insight: The fastest dog in the field wins almost one in four at this trip — well clear of the top-rated dog's one in five — and tonight the fastest dog and the model's top pick are two completely different runners
Trap three strongest at 24%, traps five and six weakest at around 13%
2,387 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 270m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (270m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 253m | 270m | 450m | 460m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matts Eunice | — | 0.610 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Rheas Pet | — | 0.612 | — | 0.603 | — |
| 3 | Peacock Express | — | — | 0.610 | — | — |
| 4 | Amka Bandit | 0.620 | 0.622 | — | 0.620 | 0.611 |
| 5 | Ducleagh | — | 0.606 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Coolavanny Steve | — | 0.606 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.