| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Salacres Cathb 4y 15 | P H Harnden — 15% R361 W54 P206 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 34 | 55 (2) | 57 (2) | 57 (2) | 83 (2) | 42 (5) | 49 (4) | 68 (4) | 62 (3) | 52 (4) | 54 (4) | 37 | 33 | 21 | 25 | 59 | 45 | 1 | 2/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ottawa Girlb 1y 14 | R A Baker — 19% R70 W13 P33 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 46 | 56 (2) | 63 (1) | 43 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | 20 | - | 27 | 54 | 36 | 3 | 13/8F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Dealmakerd 5y 15 | S J Rayner — 17% R139 W23 P75 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 51 | 53 (3) | 54 (4) | 54 (3) | 37 (6) | 61 (3) | 70 (1) | 66 (2) | 71 (1) | 54 (3) | 45 (3) | 35 | 35 | 32 | 23 | 55 | 47 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Fabulous Imageb 1y 14 | L G Tuffin — 21% R272 W58 P138 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 51 | 22 (6) | 33 (6) | 36 (6) | 47 (5) | 58 (2) | 63 (1) | 45 (3) | 39 (5) | 51 (2) | 34 (6) | 3 | 20 | 15 | 19 | 44 | 30 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Mums Imaged 2y 7 | N J Deas — 16% R393 W62 P200 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 51 | 71 (1) | 49 (4) | 44 (4) | 51 (4) | 57 (3) | 67 (1) | 49 (3) | 36 (6) | 37 (6) | 54 (3) | 27 | 26 | 38 | 15 | 51 | 37 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Carlow Townd 4y 26 | A Welch — 13% R309 W40 P144 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 65 | 33 (1) | 62 (1) | 52 (3) | 23 (4) | 62 (1) | 53 (2) | 56 (1) | 25 (3) | 24 (3) | 28 (1) | 13 | 30 | 23 | 50 | 57 | 43 | 5 | 18/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salacres Cath | 29.76 | 30.12 | 29.86 | 59 | +0.10 | Pick, fastest and top-rated | |
| 2 | Ottawa Girl | 29.86 | 30.62 | 29.86 | 48 | 0.00 | Won last time, steps up | |
| 3 | Dealmaker | 29.83 | 30.10 | 30.28 | 52 | +0.45 | Danger, drops in grade | |
| 4 | Fabulous Image | 29.87 | 30.34 | 30.49 | 44 | +0.62 | Trainer 57% at this condition | |
| 5 | Mums Image | 30.00 | 30.31 | 30.40 | 43 | +0.40 | ||
| 6 | Carlow Town | 30.08 | 30.21 | 30.08 | 49 | 0.00 | Steps up from sprint win |
This A6 grade at Towcester's 500m trip is one where the ratings alone are a bit less reliable than at the higher grades earlier on the card, so the combination of fastest dog and top-rated dog carrying the same runner matters more than usual. Trap four has been the best box at just under 22%, trap three the weakest at 16.5%. Salacres Cath is that combination runner tonight — fastest on the clock and the model's own top pick — and she's been a fixture in the frame at this course, distance and grade without quite getting up in time. Dealmaker drops in from A5 company and has the second-quickest recorded time, a class edge that shouldn't be ignored. Fabulous Image's trainer has an extraordinary record in these conditions, though the dog's own recent form doesn't back it up strongly, so she's more one to watch in the market than to fully trust on the page.
The fastest recorded dog in this field and the model's own top selection — when those two align at Towcester over 500 metres it's historically one of the strongest combinations at this course. She's a confirmed closer who's been a fixture in the frame at this exact grade and trip, with two runner-up finishes in a row from this same trap, though she hasn't converted a place into a win just yet. Her trainer's record in these conditions is modest, which is the one thing to note, but the combination of pace and rating gives her the clearest claim.
Drops down from A5 company having been competitive there, including a third last time out after leading for a spell. He carries the second-fastest recorded time in this field and his trainer has a fair record in these conditions. Trap three has been the weakest box in this grade, which is the one obstacle, but the class edge from dropping in company is a real positive.
Won last time out but that was a grade lower at A7, so this is a step up in company. She's a very consistent, balanced runner but her pace figures are some way behind the two leading contenders. A place chance rather than a winning one on this evidence.
Finished last last time out and is the slowest recorded dog in this field on recent evidence. The one thing worth flagging is her trainer, who has an extraordinary record in these conditions — better than one in two winners from a reasonable sample. That gap between the trainer's overall record and this individual dog's recent form is striking, so she's more one to watch in the market than to fully back on the page.
Finished fourth last time out at the grade above, so there's no disgrace in the runline even if it doesn't leap off the page. She's a closer who does her best work late but her recorded times are towards the back of this field. Others have the stronger claims tonight.
Won last time out but that was over a much shorter 270m sprint, so this is a significant step up in trip as well as a change in running requirements. He's fast early but tends to fade late, which is a tougher combination to manage over the full 500 metres. An interesting swing but unproven at this distance recently.
Key insight: The fastest dog in the field wins better than one in four at this grade and trip — clearly the standout single factor, and tonight it's also the model's top pick
Trap four strongest at 22%, trap three weakest at 16.5%
1,468 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Salacres Cath | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Ottawa Girl | 44 | 46 | All-Rounder |
3Dealmaker | 52 | 54 | All-Rounder |
4Fabulous Image | 58 | 12 | Fader |
5Mums Image | 48 | 55 | Closer |
6Carlow Town | 65 | 1 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 500m | 712m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salacres Cath | — | 0.603 | 0.625 |
| 2 | Ottawa Girl | — | 0.609 | — |
| 3 | Dealmaker | — | 0.602 | — |
| 4 | Fabulous Image | — | 0.608 | — |
| 5 | Mums Image | — | 0.606 | — |
| 6 | Carlow Town | 0.612 | 0.604 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.