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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Droopys Kendallb 3y 7 | C Mcnicholas — 14% R541 W78 P263 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 48 | 58 (4) | 70 (2) | 46 (6) | 62 (2) | 58 (4) | 45 (6) | 74 (1) | 63 (2) | 50 (6) | 43 (6) | 24 | 25 | 20 | 35 | 58 | 48 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Rebel Williamd 2y 18 | E Y Bell — 20% R542 W111 P293 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 52 | 73 (2) | 76 (1) | 69 (2) | 57 (2) | 68 (2) | 73 (1) | 36 (5) | 55 (2) | 62 (3) | 47 (5) | 27 | 29 | 34 | 47 | 65 | 48 | 2 | 2/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Watermill Myab 4y 46 | S Linley — 15% R380 W58 P196 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 54 | 45 (5) | 53 (4) | 56 (4) | 22 (5) | 29 (3) | 29 (3) | 48 (5) | 45 (6) | 63 (3) | 51 (5) | 33 | 30 | - | 16 | 55 | 37 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Hollyhill Rambod 1y 6 | M K Bulmer — 20% R279 W56 P156 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 47 | 71 (2) | 49 (4) | 48 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 | - | - | 49 | 35 | 3 | 7/4F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Speedy Ritab 1y 27 | D Blackbird — 16% R1120 W183 P620 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 50 | 58 (3) | 64 (2) | 61 (4) | 67 (3) | 66 (2) | 64 (3) | 53 (5) | 32 (4) | - | - | 35 | 33 | 34 | 27 | 60 | 34 | 5 | 9/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Droopys Kendall | 27.67 | 28.15 | 27.67 | 60 | 0.00 | Fastest but volatile | |
| 3 | Rebel William | 27.72 | 28.14 | 27.90 | 57 | +0.18 | Best form, big C&D record | |
| 4 | Watermill Mya | 27.82 | 28.25 | 28.29 | 47 | +0.47 | Mixed form | |
| 5 | Hollyhill Rambo | 28.02 | 28.12 | 28.22 | 48 | +0.20 | Only two career runs | |
| 6 | Speedy Rita | 28.06 | 28.29 | 28.32 | 42 | +0.26 | Consistent but slowest |
Sunderland's 450m trip has a long run to the first bend but a fiddly bend itself, and while the fastest dog on the clock has generally out-predicted the ratings model at this grade, trap 2 has been the best-performing box at A4 tonight, winning almost 21 percent, with trap 6 and trap 3 the weakest. Only five go to post after a withdrawal. Rebel William is the stand-out on recent form and course knowledge, with a run of high-60s and 70s ratings that's clearly the best in this field, and while she isn't the outright quickest on the clock she's not far off it either. Droopys Kendall owns the sharpest raw speed here but her form has been up and down. Speedy Rita is the more consistent alternative if the selection has any issues.
Second last time out and her form of seventy-three, seventy-six, sixty-nine, fifty-seven, sixty-eight, seventy-three is clearly the best in this field - no other runner here has strung together ratings this high this consistently. She races in a balanced style, is rated a very consistent runner, and while she isn't the outright fastest on the clock she's not far behind the leader either. Ten runs at this course and distance have brought two wins and seven places, a 70 percent placing rate that's easily the strongest course and distance record in the race. Her trainer sits at a healthy 21 percent recently. The complete package in this field.
Second last time out and owns the fastest recorded time in this field, but her form has been up and down - seventy, forty-six, sixty-two, fifty-eight, forty-five, seventy-four - with big peaks mixed among more ordinary efforts. She races in a balanced style and ten course and distance runs have brought one win and four places. Trap 2 has been the best-performing box at this grade, which adds to her chance if she brings her better form tonight. The raw pace makes her dangerous, but she needs to find her more consistent gear.
Fourth last time out and her form has been mixed - fifty-three, fifty-six, twenty-two, twenty-nine, twenty-nine, forty-eight - with a run of poor efforts in the middle of that sequence dragging her average down. She races in a balanced style, and seven course and distance runs have brought one win and one place. There's clearly a better dog in there on her day, shown by the fifty-three and fifty-six either side of that dip, but the inconsistency is hard to ignore.
Fourth last time out with only two career starts recorded, so there's very little to judge her on yet - forty-nine and forty-eight don't stand out against this more experienced field. She finishes strongly from off the pace and is rated a very consistent runner for what limited data exists, but two runs simply isn't enough to draw firm conclusions from at this level.
Third last time out and her form of fifty-eight, sixty-four, sixty-one, sixty-seven, sixty-six, sixty-four is the second-best average in this field and notably consistent, rarely straying far from the low-to-mid sixties. She races in a balanced style but is the slowest in this field on the clock, and ten course and distance runs have brought no wins and just two places, a disappointing return given how many chances she's had here. The consistency is admirable but the course and distance record and lack of pace are real question marks.
Key insight: At A4 the fastest dog on the clock wins nearly 25 percent of races, well clear of the top-rated dog on the composite at just over 20 percent - speed is the stronger lean at this grade. Traps 1 and 2 have been the best boxes, traps 3 and 6 the weakest.
T1:20.2% T2:20.9% T3:15.7% T4:17.2% T5:18.2% T6:15.8%
2,140 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Droopys Kendall | 48 | 51 | All-Rounder |
3Rebel William | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Watermill Mya | 54 | 31 | All-Rounder |
5Hollyhill Rambo | 47 | 56 | Closer |
6Speedy Rita | 52 | 39 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 261m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Droopys Kendall | — | 0.626 |
| 3 | Rebel William | — | 0.625 |
| 4 | Watermill Mya | 0.625 | 0.630 |
| 5 | Hollyhill Rambo | — | 0.621 |
| 6 | Speedy Rita | — | 0.629 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.