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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Salinas Jetb 5y 33 | S R Pilgrim — 12% R59 W7 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | 40 | 29 | 42 | 15 (4) | 16 (4) | 24 (5) | 30 (3) | 27 (6) | 49 (1) | 25 (5) | 37 (4) | 47 (2) | 30 (5) | 36 | 24 | 16 | 24 | 33 | 31 | 3 | 8/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Savana Snickerd 2y 14 | T J Nevin — 17% R443 W77 P216 Trainer form — last 3 months | 34 | 45 | 49 | 32 (6) | 31 (5) | 30 (4) | 45 (3) | 11 (4) | 17 (2) | 17 (2) | 39 (2) | 33 (3) | 23 (5) | 22 | 32 | 17 | 33 | 37 | 34 | 2 | 9/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Savana Georgiab 3y 35 | B G Backhurst — 17% R217 W36 P119 Trainer form — last 3 months | 73 | 85 | 52 | 46 (4) | 46 (4) | 59 (2) | 44 (2) | 49 (1) | 43 (2) | 29 (1) | 75 (2) | 30 (1) | 21 (3) | 48 | 29 | 8 | 23 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 7/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Toems Babeb 4y 35 | D O Pearce — 21% R143 W30 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | 61 | 46 | 51 | 41 (2) | 38 (3) | 45 (2) | 16 (4) | 21 (4) | 28 (2) | 25 (3) | 40 (4) | 42 (4) | 38 (4) | 29 | 20 | 48 | 20 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 10/11F | |
| 5 | ▶ Yo Ronnie Busterd 2y 15 | T J Nevin — 17% R443 W77 P216 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 100 | - | 63 (1) | 43 (4) | 13 (5) | 53 (3) | 12 (3) | 15 (4) | 13 (5) | 41 (3) | 18 (3) | 24 (2) | 41 | 34 | - | - | 21 | 27 | 5 | 7/1 | |
Savana Georgia sits in the MASSIVELY DOMINANT T3 at 29.85% from 67 runs — nearly double the expected 16.7% rate. This is the strongest single-trap signal on the entire Oxford card today. She's a Front Runner (EP 57, CS 53) with extraordinary speed (85 — far and away the best in the field). At A9 level where early pace is often decisive, a Front Runner with speed 85 from the dominant trap is the complete package. Form reads 2,1,2,1,1,2 (P43,29,75,30,22,15) — the positions are outstanding (1,1,2,1,2,2 from last 6) despite the low performances, because at A9 level these performances are competitive. Suitability: trap 48 is the best individual trap score. Trained by Backhurst at 10% (weak) but the structural signals overwhelm the trainer.
DANGER: Most reliable dog in the field with best AvgP and exceptional consistency. In a LOW SEPARATION A9, dependability is worth more than raw upside. If Savana Georgia's front-running collapses, Savana Snicker is the one who'll be there consistently.
Below the pace of this race. Speed 29 and bend 42 mean he'll be last or near-last at every point. The P49 win was against weak opposition. Hard to see a path.
Pearce's involvement is always worth noting and the class suitability suggests deliberate placement. But form inconsistency (P14 to P46 range) and below-average performance metrics mean this is a trainer-faith pick rather than a data-driven one.
Dominant trap but the weakest dog in the field with zero 450m form. The speed rating is misleading. P18 average is well below even A9 standard. The trap can't overcome this ability deficit.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 22.86% vs R3 20.69% = 2.2pp. Ratings offer almost zero predictive value. T3 MASSIVELY DOMINANT at 29.85% from 67 runs — nearly double expected rate. Speed rank 1 wins 24% AND speed rank 2 wins 28.72% — pace matters here. This is a pace-and-trap race.
T1:18.75%(48) T2:18.75%(64) T3:29.85%(67) T4:21.31%(61) T5:25.93%(54) T6:16%(75)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Salinas Jet | 48 | 47 | All-Rounder |
2Savana Snicker | 52 | 54 | All-Rounder |
3Savana Georgia | 57 | 53 | Front Runner |
4Toems Babe | 47 | 40 | All-Rounder |
5Yo Ronnie Buster | — | — | No data |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.