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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballymac Dashelb 2y 17 | A M Kibble — 21% R177 W38 P111 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 52 | 35 (5) | 59 (1) | 56 (4) | 50 (5) | 50 (4) | 48 (5) | 79 (1) | 60 (4) | 67 (3) | 59 (5) | 49 | 46 | 26 | 25 | 58 | 52 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Cloughtaney Chazd 3y 12 | R L Hill — 18% R60 W11 P29 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 51 | 28 (2) | 29 (2) | 46 (6) | 65 (2) | 64 (2) | 46 (5) | 78 (1) | 64 (2) | 66 (3) | 72 (2) | 52 | 41 | 36 | 38 | 63 | 56 | 2 | 13/8 | |
| 3 | ▶ Miss Newburyb 2y 17 | D T Yeates — 17% R48 W8 P26 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 50 | 59 (3) | 71 (2) | 65 (3) | 68 (2) | 45 (5) | 62 (2) | 68 (2) | 65 (5) | 97 (5) | - | 50 | 57 | 37 | 54 | 66 | 62 | 3 | 11/10F | |
| 4 | ▶ Foxwood Zachb 2y 36 | B G Backhurst — 17% R223 W37 P122 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 45 | 76 (2) | 61 (4) | 74 (2) | 88 (1) | 79 (1) | 76 (1) | 48 (5) | 76 (1) | 55 (5) | 76 (2) | 24 | 59 | 28 | 56 | 70 | 62 | 1 | 4/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ All Longb 4y 37 | A M Kibble — 21% R177 W38 P111 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 0 | 43 (2) | 47 (3) | 43 (3) | 45 (3) | 54 (3) | 86 (2) | 67 (4) | 92 (1) | 70 (4) | 66 (4) | 40 | 32 | 27 | 9 | 77 | 60 | 4 | 7/1 | |
Foxwood Zach has the best average performance by a clear margin — 71.0 vs Cloughtaney Chaz's 63.2, an 8-point gap that exceeds the class override threshold. Closer profile (CS 69, PC 93) with the highest consistency in the field. Form reads 1,1,5,1,5,2 (P80,76,49,76,56,77) — when he fires he's at P76-80 which is A1-A2 level ability. The two 5th places (P49, P56) show he can have off days, but three wins and a 2nd from six starts is a strong conversion rate. Suitability: track 59, distance 56 — excellent Oxford 450m credentials. Trap suit 24 is the concern, reflecting the neutral T4 position (18.28%). Trained by Backhurst at 10% (weak). In a NORMAL SEPARATION race, the composite rank 1 dog wins 21.66% — and Foxwood Zach IS that dog. The class gap provides the override despite the modest trap position.
DANGER: Dominant trap + best trainer + consistent form is the strongest structural package. If Foxwood Zach has an off day (his P49 and P56 are genuine possibilities), Cloughtaney Chaz is perfectly positioned to capitalise from the inside.
Dominant trap with decent suitability but the weakest dog in the field by 11+ points. The T1 advantage keeps him honest but AvgP 47.2 at A3 is a class below the top dogs here.
Best suitability and speed but the dead trap and the 'bridesmaid' position record (five 2nd places from six runs) tell you this dog will be there at the finish but not first. Excellent each-way prospect but hard to trust for the win.
Explosive closer with a massive ceiling (P93) but the P24 floor and distance suit 9 make her a volatile proposition. If the pace is strong enough she has the closing speed, but this race may not provide that opportunity.
NORMAL SEPARATION: R1 21.66% vs R3 15.86% = 5.8pp. Ratings matter at A3. T1 and T2 are dominant. T4 Foxwood Zach has an 8-point class gap over the field — above the 6-point class override threshold. The composite top-rated dog wins 21.66% from 674 runs — meaningful.
T1:22.69%(260) T2:21.07%(261) T3:16.61%(277) T4:18.28%(268) T5:20.08%(249) T6:15.52%(174)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ballymac Dashel | 51 | 24 | All-Rounder |
2Cloughtaney Chaz | 52 | 38 | All-Rounder |
3Miss Newbury | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Foxwood Zach | 46 | 69 | Closer |
5All Long | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.