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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Savana Empressb 4y 31 | T J Nevin — 17% R443 W77 P216 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 19 (4) | 21 (3) | 18 (5) | 21 (3) | 19 (5) | 14 (6) | 19 (2) | 14 (5) | 18 (5) | 23 (3) | 62 | 39 | 25 | 41 | 23 | 32 | 1 | 13/8 | |
| 2 | ▶ Cherishmeforeverb 2y 25 | K Dodington — 16% R121 W19 P61 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 34 | 69 | 15 (6) | 19 (4) | 18 (4) | 21 (4) | 20 (2) | 25 (2) | 30 (4) | 19 (4) | 39 (3) | 15 (5) | 28 | 30 | 16 | 33 | 23 | 26 | 6 | 10/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Spot On Rubyb 4y 33 | S R Pilgrim — 12% R59 W7 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 15 (4) | 14 (5) | 13 (6) | 15 (4) | 15 (4) | 21 (4) | 25 (4) | 16 (2) | - | - | 44 | 35 | 15 | 29 | 20 | 26 | 5 | 6/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Savana Sevend 1y 15 | T J Nevin — 17% R443 W77 P216 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 29 | - | 20 (5) | 15 (5) | 22 (3) | 15 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 70 | 48 | - | 48 | 17 | 30 | 3 | 14/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Savana Turtleb 2y 23 | T J Nevin — 17% R443 W77 P216 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 31 | 19 (4) | 20 (2) | 15 (4) | 13 (4) | 13 (6) | 15 (4) | 24 (2) | 24 (2) | 21 (3) | 24 (3) | 23 | 40 | 10 | 47 | 23 | 28 | 4 | 1/1F | |
| 6 | ▶ Savana Hybridb 4y 25 | C D Hamblin — 24% R63 W15 P43 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 29 (1) | 19 (3) | 20 (4) | 45 (3) | 61 (1) | 26 (4) | 28 (2) | 25 (4) | 26 (3) | 28 (3) | 28 | 27 | 32 | 25 | 36 | 33 | 2 | 9/2 | |
Savana Empress has the structural advantage of the DOMINANT T1 position, which wins 27.45% at Oxford 253m D4. Joint-best speed in the field at 55 and the highest trap suitability score (62) confirms she's individually suited to this draw, not just benefiting from the aggregate trend. Form reads 1,3,5,1,5,6 with performances of 22→23→18→23→15→14 in recent outings — inconsistent but the wins are there at this level. Trained by T J Nevin at 16% which is below average but at D4 level trainer influence is minimal. The combination of dominant trap + top speed + high trap suitability is the strongest convergence of structural factors in this race.
DANGER: The class standout in a D4 field. AvgP 30.1 with a P62 peak is operating at a different level. If she has any early pace she wins, but no pace data makes this uncertain.
Best bend and EP in the field and Fader profile holds at sprint distance, but speed 34 is a structural weakness. Will get to the bend well but may not have the raw pace to sustain.
Structural headwind from the weakest trap in the field. Improving form but not at a pace that overcomes a 12-point trap disadvantage.
Best suitability in the race but worst speed. The structural fit is there but the engine isn't — suitability tells you the dog is comfortable here, not that she's fast enough.
Can be confidently opposed at this distance. Closer at 253m has no mechanism to win regardless of raw speed. Will be closing hard at the line but the line comes too soon.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 19.14% vs R3 20.93% — ratings offer zero predictive value. T1 dominant at 27.45% but from only 51 runs. Speed rank 1 wins 23.5% — sprint pace matters. This is a trap-and-speed race, not a form race.
T1:27.45%(51) T2:18.27%(104) T3:15.19%(79) T4:20.83%(96) T5:21.43%(84) T6:20%(80)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 253m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.