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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Yo Dutchessb 2y 16 | T J Nevin — 18% R461 W82 P222 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 60 | 47 (3) | 31 (5) | 62 (1) | 18 (2) | 11 (5) | 38 (6) | 60 (2) | 71 (1) | 63 (1) | 13 (3) | 45 | 39 | - | 37 | 44 | 43 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Swervetheissued 4y 36 | D O Pearce — 22% R129 W29 P76 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 46 | 40 (5) | 70 (1) | 66 (3) | 70 (2) | 74 (1) | 41 (5) | 75 (1) | 52 (4) | 62 (2) | 56 (5) | 37 | 34 | 38 | 34 | 64 | 54 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Deelish Ladyb 1y 23 | B G Backhurst — 16% R217 W34 P116 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 52 | 38 (6) | 32 (3) | 66 (4) | 43 (5) | 66 (5) | 68 (2) | - | - | - | - | 59 | 60 | - | 53 | 69 | 65 | 3 | 2/1F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Mylane Curlyb 4y 35 | K Dodington — 16% R117 W19 P61 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 49 | 26 (2) | 74 (1) | 49 (5) | 47 (4) | 31 (3) | 40 (2) | 38 (3) | 35 (3) | 43 (2) | 42 (1) | 48 | 43 | 35 | 54 | 48 | 48 | 4 | 10/3 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Mactwinsd 2y 16 | C D Hamblin — 24% R38 W9 P28 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 59 | 28 (4) | 37 (2) | 24 (6) | 37 (1) | 19 (6) | 64 (4) | 49 (5) | 42 (4) | 59 (4) | 24 (5) | 24 | 43 | - | 25 | 41 | 37 | 6 | 11/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Rossa Cocob 4y 23 | R L Hill — 13% R56 W7 P29 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 49 | 47 (5) | 56 (4) | 50 (4) | 42 (6) | 56 (6) | 56 (5) | 63 (4) | 66 (4) | 61 (5) | 74 (3) | 29 | 34 | - | 20 | 53 | 44 | 2 | 6/1 | - | |
Swervetheissue is the clear class pick in this race — AvgP 60.0 in a field averaging 42.4 is a 17.6-point advantage, nearly triple the 6-point class override threshold. Closer profile (CS 78, PC 92) with the best speed in the field (57). Trained by D O Pearce at 32% — the strongest trainer at Oxford. Form is strong: P71,75,41,75,52,63 — the P71 and twin P75 peaks confirm A2-A3 level ability running in A4. T2 is a dominant trap at 20.81% from 197 runs. Suitability mean 35.8 is moderate but the class gap makes suitability secondary. The P41 and P52 show she can have off days, but her ceiling (75) is 15+ points above the next best runner in this field. Pearce placing this dog at A4 is a deliberate choice — she should be well above this grade.
DANGER: Second-best AvgP with an All-Rounder profile. If Swervetheissue has an off day (she does have P41 and P52 in her form), Rossa Coco has the ability to capitalise. But the dead trap and poor suitability work against her.
Dominant trap but the form has cratered from P72 to P37. The P72 and P63 opening runs suggest A4 potential but the decline has been sustained across four runs. Would need to recapture early form.
Dominant trap with exceptional suitability — the structural case is strong. But winning at P12-23 is lower-grade form. The step up to A4 against a P60-rated Swervetheissue is a massive ask. Will show early from T3 but outclassed on ability.
Dead trap, declining form since a P75 debut. The Closer profile will see her finish but from T4's structural weakness she'd need to close an unrealistic gap against the classier dogs in dominant traps.
Pace cannon. Will lead off the first bend then progressively weaken through bends 2-4. His role is to set up the race for Swervetheissue and the closers. Not a winning proposition.
LOW SEPARATION at A4 level — but irrelevant here because T2 Swervetheissue's AvgP of 60.0 in a field averaging 42.4 is a 17.6-point class gap. This isn't a separation question — it's a class override scenario where one dog is operating at a fundamentally different level.
T1:27.22%(180) T2:20.81%(197) T3:24.03%(258) T4:15.91%(264) T5:18.29%(175) T6:16.26%(123)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Yo Dutchess | 48 | 48 | All-Rounder |
2Swervetheissue | 47 | 78 | Closer |
3Deelish Lady | 53 | 45 | All-Rounder |
4Mylane Curly | 49 | 76 | Closer |
5Mactwins | 62 | 14 | Fader |
6Rossa Coco | 51 | 52 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 253m | 264m | 277m | 285m | 400m | 415m | 450m | 491m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yo Dutchess | 1.106 | — | — | — | — | 0.672 | 0.612 | 0.622 |
| 2 | Swervetheissue | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.613 | 0.617 |
| 3 | Deelish Lady | — | — | 0.602 | — | 0.621 | — | 0.608 | — |
| 4 | Mylane Curly | 0.605 | — | — | 0.600 | — | — | 0.614 | — |
| 5 | Mactwins | 0.628 | 0.606 | — | — | — | — | 0.618 | — |
| 6 | Rossa Coco | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.615 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.