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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Quivers Tessb 4y 26 | D T Yeates — 17% R48 W8 P26 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 46 | 54 (5) | 61 (4) | 82 (1) | 57 (3) | 55 (4) | 60 (6) | 75 (3) | 63 (4) | 77 (2) | 64 (4) | 56 | 45 | 27 | 42 | 67 | 60 | 2 | 3/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Havana Jetstreamb 2y 37 | B G Backhurst — 17% R223 W37 P122 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 58 | 79 (1) | 64 (2) | 68 (2) | 58 (3) | 75 (2) | 67 (2) | 72 (4) | 87 (1) | 71 (4) | 73 (4) | 65 | 51 | 31 | 45 | 73 | 66 | 3 | 11/4 | |
| 4 | ▶ Droopys Billyd 5y 46 | A M Kibble — 21% R177 W38 P111 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 64 | 48 (6) | 82 (1) | 59 (5) | 39 (2) | 54 (4) | 87 (2) | 68 (3) | 88 (1) | 62 (4) | 66 (4) | 40 | 36 | 52 | 42 | 67 | 57 | 4 | 6/4F | |
| 5 | ▶ Drohobych Falcond 2y 14 | C D Hamblin — 24% R63 W15 P43 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 40 | 34 (2) | 37 (2) | 17 (5) | 37 (1) | 80 (1) | 60 (3) | 63 (4) | 91 (2) | 55 (4) | 60 (4) | 28 | 40 | 21 | 29 | 58 | 49 | 5 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Swithins Teejayd 5y 25 | D T Yeates — 17% R48 W8 P26 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 44 | 61 (4) | 53 (4) | 66 (2) | 57 (3) | 85 (1) | 64 (2) | 69 (2) | 69 (3) | 79 (3) | 80 (2) | 52 | 52 | 31 | 48 | 68 | 62 | 1 | 3/1 | |
Swithins Teejay presents the strongest overall case in this race. T6 is the ONLY DOMINANT trap at 21.23% from 212 runs — the sole structural advantage in the entire field. Best AvgP at 71.4 with consistent, improving form: P53,66,57,86,65,69 — the recent trajectory shows a dog peaking (57→86→65→69, with the 86 a recent career-best). All-Rounder profile (EP 53, CS 50) provides tactical flexibility — he can track the pace or close, whichever the race demands. Suitability mean 45.8 is the best, with track 52, distance 48, trap 52 all confirming strong Oxford 450m form. Trained by Yeates at 18%. In a LOW SEPARATION inverted A2 race where the top-rated dog often loses, the combination of sole dominant trap + best AvgP + best suitability + balanced pace profile is as much convergence as you'll find.
DANGER: Strong closing profile in a pace-honest race. P82 peak shows she can win at this level and consistency of 56-75 performances means she rarely bombs. Needs the pace to hold up which it should with two front-runners battling.
Will lead early with best EP and bend (58) but CS 15 at 450m means the fade is inevitable. Sets the race up for the closers rather than winning it himself. The P87 shows class but the pace profile at this distance works against him.
On speed and bend metrics alone, this dog should dominate. But the form decline from P83 to P11 over six runs is not a blip — it's a systemic collapse. The numbers suggest peak ability is A1-level but current form is barely A8. Hard to trust until the decline reverses.
Outclassed at A2 level. The P91 is intriguing but strip it out and she's a P54-average dog in an A2 race with P70+ dogs. Speed and bend metrics are the worst in the field.
LOW SEPARATION (inverted: R3 21.8% > R1 16.76%). At A2 level, top-rated dogs UNDERPERFORM expectations — upsets are the norm. T6 is the ONLY dominant trap. The rest are relatively flat (16.5-18%). This is a wide-open race where structural advantage matters more than ratings.
T1:17.97%(295) T2:17.91%(296) T3:13.95%(258) T4:16.54%(266) T5:17.29%(295) T6:21.23%(212)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Quivers Tess | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Havana Jetstream | 65 | 15 | Fader |
4Droopys Billy | 50 | 41 | All-Rounder |
5Drohobych Falcon | 44 | 64 | Closer |
6Swithins Teejay | 53 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.