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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Savana Teeterb 2y 19 | T J Nevin — 18% R461 W82 P222 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 53 | 64 (1) | 50 (2) | 22 (1) | 16 (4) | 15 (3) | 39 (3) | 45 (4) | 51 (3) | 37 (5) | 49 (3) | 24 | 29 | - | 27 | 47 | 40 | 6 | 11/8F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Spot On Cheeksb 3y 38 | K Dodington — 16% R117 W19 P61 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 53 | 31 (3) | 28 (4) | 27 (5) | 10 (6) | 15 (2) | 47 (4) | 51 (2) | 47 (2) | 56 (1) | 52 (2) | 31 | 34 | 32 | 31 | 49 | 43 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Gert Lushb 2y 27 | K Dodington — 16% R117 W19 P61 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 44 | 23 (6) | 44 (1) | 67 (1) | 43 (3) | 43 (4) | 83 (2) | 45 (4) | 41 (5) | 64 (2) | 60 (4) | 31 | 32 | 21 | 31 | 54 | 46 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Rolo Buttonsb 2y 25 | S R Pilgrim — 11% R65 W7 P22 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 50 | 53 (4) | 34 (5) | 52 (3) | 67 (1) | 33 (4) | 15 (4) | 15 (4) | 12 (3) | 45 (3) | 34 (5) | 22 | 51 | - | 46 | 46 | 44 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Mohican Carlyb 3y 14 | S R Pilgrim — 11% R65 W7 P22 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 54 | 16 (6) | 30 (5) | 28 (6) | 29 (6) | 36 (4) | 17 (2) | 10 (6) | 9 (6) | 49 (4) | 59 (1) | 38 | 29 | 17 | 29 | 42 | 39 | 1 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Springwood Juneb 3y 15 | D O Pearce — 22% R129 W29 P76 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 43 | 57 (3) | 48 (4) | 45 (5) | 47 (2) | 63 (4) | 41 (5) | 46 (3) | 56 (1) | 56 (1) | 45 (3) | 30 | 43 | 18 | 32 | 52 | 46 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
Mohican Carly has won her last two starts (P59, P57) after a difficult spell of P24,29,34,50 — this is a dramatic form resurgence. The improvement trajectory 24→29→34→50→57→59 over six runs is one of the most striking on the card. T5 is DOMINANT at 22.08% from 154 runs. All-Rounder profile (EP 49, bend 54) with the best bend in the field. Trained by Pilgrim at 26% (moderate). Suitability mean 28.2 is moderate. AvgP 37.2 is the lowest in the field but that's dragged down by the P24-34 trough — the current form (57, 59) is competitive at A7. In a LOW SEPARATION race where the inverted composite means higher-rated dogs underperform, form momentum carries more weight than average ratings.
DANGER: Pearce at 32% with two recent wins and best speed from a decent trap. The Closer profile is the risk — this race has no extreme Faders to set up the pace collapse she needs. But Pearce's placement confidence and the speed figure mean she can't be dismissed.
The trap screams 'pick me' at 28.89% but the dog screams 'not today' with P34 last time and a sustained decline. Structural advantage is massive but the current form doesn't support it. A dangerous proposition — might win despite himself from the trap.
Best suitability and most balanced pace profile, but the dead T2 trap (17.05%) undermines the structural case. Would need to overcome an almost 12-point trap disadvantage to win.
Best average performance but driven by two outlier performances. The P84 peak is A3-level ability but the base rate (P41-45) is bottom-of-A7. Pure Closer who needs a miracle pace collapse. Speculative.
Solid trap position and decent track suitability but the form trajectory is pointing firmly downward. Was competitive at P56 two starts ago but has dropped to P34. Not the current version.
LOW SEPARATION (inverted: R3 26.27% > R1 21.15%). At A7, the third-best rated dog wins MORE than the best — ratings are actively misleading. T1 DOMINANT at 28.89% from 90 runs. T5 also strong at 22.08% — Mohican Carly with 2 wins sits there. T2 is weakest.
T1:28.89%(90) T2:17.05%(129) T3:17.54%(171) T4:20.96%(167) T5:22.08%(154) T6:20.29%(69)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Savana Teeter | 54 | 35 | All-Rounder |
2Spot On Cheeks | 54 | 52 | All-Rounder |
3Gert Lush | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Rolo Buttons | 51 | 48 | All-Rounder |
5Mohican Carly | 49 | 38 | All-Rounder |
6Springwood June | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 415m | 450m | 460m | 491m | 500m | 650m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Savana Teeter | — | 0.667 | 0.625 | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Spot On Cheeks | — | — | 0.620 | 0.655 | — | 0.623 | — |
| 3 | Gert Lush | — | — | 0.622 | — | — | 0.616 | 0.632 |
| 4 | Rolo Buttons | — | — | 0.624 | 0.651 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Mohican Carly | 0.662 | — | 0.623 | 0.659 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Springwood June | — | — | 0.619 | — | 0.621 | — | 0.637 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.