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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Seeyouatlakeb 2y 16 | K L Windebank — 17% R548 W92 P308 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 73 | 65 | 35 (5) | 58 (1) | 49 (3) | 49 (2) | 52 (2) | 17 (3) | 15 (3) | 53 (1) | 26 (3) | 20 (6) | 33 | 29 | 22 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 1/3F | |
| 2 | ▶ Lady Mistb 1y 3 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 38 | 24 (3) | 39 (5) | 30 (5) | 38 (1) | 51 (4) | 45 (1) | 37 (2) | 33 (2) | - | - | 24 | 39 | - | 39 | 33 | 33 | 4 | 8/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Cansherunb 2y 15 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 56 | 37 (3) | 30 (5) | 40 (2) | 38 (3) | 46 (2) | 40 (2) | 33 (4) | 38 (3) | 39 (3) | - | 75 | 60 | - | 51 | 39 | 47 | 2 | 8/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Rumour Has Itb 1y 16 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | 48 | 51 (3) | 43 (4) | 51 (2) | 57 (2) | 58 (1) | 49 (2) | 14 (4) | 50 (2) | - | - | 33 | 51 | - | 51 | - | 16 | 3 | 10/3 | |
| 6 | ▶ Crover Hillb 2y 16 | L Brown — 15% R125 W19 P63 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 34 | 37 | 32 (6) | 18 (6) | 30 (6) | 29 (6) | 34 (5) | 28 (3) | 25 (5) | 47 (6) | 17 (1) | - | 22 | 27 | 18 | 17 | 25 | 24 | 5 | 22/1 | |
Seeyouatlake is the Pred1 model pick based largely on exceptional speed credentials — speed rating 73 is far and away the best in this field, and EP 79 guarantees she leads from the gun. But there are significant structural concerns. She's drawn in T1, the DEAD trap at Yarmouth A9 462m — just 10.42% from 48 runs, well below the 16.7% expected rate. Her recent form is entirely over 277m sprints (D3 grade) where she's been placed but not winning — P26 pos 3, P20 pos 6, P23 and P22 in trials. The last 462m run was P36 pos 4 at A9 back on 28 February. She's a Fader (EP 79, CS 38) which is the most penalised profile at Yarmouth. Speed 73 is elite for this grade but the question is whether sprint speed translates over 462m — Faders at Yarmouth need to build a lead that survives the long home straight, and she has no proven form at this distance to confirm she can. Trainer Windebank at 26% is moderate tier. The model backs the raw speed advantage but the dead trap, sprint-only recent form, and Fader profile at Yarmouth create substantial structural headwinds.
DANGER (AI PICK): Best composite (47), best suitability across all dimensions (trap 75, track 60, dist 51), and structurally favoured T4 draw. The data overwhelmingly favours this dog over the prediction model's speed-based pick.
Very inexperienced extreme Closer in a weak trap. Has the closing speed to grab late places but needs significant improvement from limited form to win.
Dominant trap and strong closing speed but zero graded race form. The structural position is the best in the race but she's unproven. Could surprise but impossible to assess reliably.
Weakest dog in the field by every metric despite drawing the second-best trap. The class gap is simply too large. One to confidently oppose.
Extreme outside bias at A9: T5 wins 27.27% and T6 wins 25.42% — combined 52.7% of wins from the two outside traps. T1 is DEAD at just 10.42% from 48 runs. The predicted winner draws T1 which is the worst possible structural position. Low sample size (366 runs) but the signal is clear. T4 at 21.43% is also strong.
T1:10.42% T2:14.08% T3:21.21%(vacant) T4:21.43% T5:27.27% T6:25.42%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Seeyouatlake | 79 | 38 | Fader |
2Lady Mist | 27 | 96 | Closer |
4Cansherun | 56 | 40 | Fader |
5Rumour Has It | 44 | 83 | Closer |
6Crover Hill | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.