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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ My Kneecapb 1y 15 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 43 | 36 (3) | 45 (4) | 37 (3) | 96 (5) | 51 (1) | 43 (3) | 62 (3) | 45 (1) | 48 (4) | - | 22 | 42 | - | 21 | 56 | 46 | 5 | 11/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Churchfield Maxd 1y 17 | R Fitch — 25% R60 W15 P40 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 70 | 75 (1) | 28 (4) | 36 (1) | 27 (2) | 48 (4) | 62 (2) | - | - | - | - | 24 | 61 | - | 61 | - | 17 | 4 | 13/8F | |
| 3 | ▶ Liberty Belleb 2y 15 | P I Cross — 19% R148 W28 P84 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 51 | 54 (3) | 63 (1) | 40 (5) | 48 (3) | 50 (4) | 63 (1) | 45 (3) | 59 (1) | 51 (1) | 30 (4) | 39 | 36 | - | 36 | 52 | 47 | 3 | 7/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Harlequin Perkyd 3y 14 | K L Windebank — 17% R548 W92 P308 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 62 | 31 (6) | 49 (2) | 52 (4) | 45 (3) | 62 (5) | 42 (1) | 37 (4) | 37 (3) | 68 (5) | - | 41 | 45 | 40 | 45 | 55 | 51 | 1 | 7/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Unlikely Biscuitb 2y 24 | K L Windebank — 17% R548 W92 P308 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 49 | 27 (5) | 62 (6) | 42 (2) | 65 (5) | 59 (1) | 14 (1) | 17 (4) | 50 (2) | 46 (2) | - | 29 | 37 | 18 | 37 | 56 | 48 | 2 | 4/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Harlequin Xenab 3y 16 | K L Windebank — 17% R548 W92 P308 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 41 | 43 (4) | 42 (3) | 64 (5) | 51 (2) | 43 (3) | 42 (4) | 69 (6) | 43 (5) | - | - | 42 | 27 | 8 | 27 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 20/1 | |
Harlequin Perky is the Pred1 pick with an h3 of 83.76 — the clear leader on the prediction model. She won her last race at A6 with a strong P68 and has shown she can compete at this level with P57 (3rd) and P44 (3rd) at A6 in previous runs. Composite 51 is the field's best, and avgPerf 55 is competitive. Drawn in T4 at 21.39% from 201 runs — above expected and a genuine structural positive. Suitability is the best in the field: track 45, distance 45, trap 41, class 40 — consistently positive across all dimensions. As a Fader (EP 62, CS 37, consistency 91) she'll show strong early pace behind Churchfield Max, and her CS of 37 is significantly better than Churchfield Max's CS 14 — she's the Fader more likely to sustain. Speed 58 is joint-best in the field. Trainer Windebank at 24% is below awareness. The pick is justified by the convergence of best composite, best suitability, competitive form with a recent win, and a structurally positive T4 draw. The Fader concern is mitigated by being the tracking runner rather than the leader — she'll inherit the lead when Churchfield Max fades.
DANGER: Most consistent form in the field at A6 level with multiple 2nd places. All-Rounder profile suits any pace scenario at Yarmouth. Needs the pick to regress from P68 but the threat is credible.
Interesting Closer with strong recent S2 win but untested staying speed may not translate to 462m. Place chance from the rail but distance suitability is a question mark.
Will lead emphatically (EP 70, bend 70) but CS 14 at Yarmouth makes holding the lead near-impossible. Trainer Fitch at 31% is the one positive. Expect to weaken sharply in the home straight.
Dominant trap draw (T3) in a low-separation race gives her a structural edge that outweighs the modest form figures. Should be competitive for a place.
Dead trap, weakest speed and performance in the field. Closer profile suits Yarmouth but the ability gap and structural headwind are too much. One to oppose.
LOW SEPARATION race — R1 at 21.73% vs R3 at 20.69% means composite rankings offer almost no predictive value. T3 is dominant but Liberty Belle (avgPerf 52) is not the strongest dog drawn there. T4 at 21.39% supports the pick Harlequin Perky who also has the best suitability in the field.
T1:20.27% T2:18.88% T3:25.37% T4:21.39% T5:17.26% T6:15.81%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1My Kneecap | 42 | 60 | Closer |
2Churchfield Max | 70 | 14 | Fader |
3Liberty Belle | 47 | 49 | All-Rounder |
4Harlequin Perky | 62 | 37 | Fader |
5Unlikely Biscuit | 53 | 51 | All-Rounder |
6Harlequin Xena | 42 | 58 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.