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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tenalachb 2y 7 | V K Thom — 20% R138 W28 P89 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 47 | 77 (2) | 64 (3) | 58 (4) | 87 (1) | 42 (6) | 72 (2) | 67 (1) | 72 (2) | 34 (4) | 63 (4) | 49 | 49 | 9 | 59 | 63 | 59 | 2 | 5/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Glenrock Jetd 3y 4 | M Newberry — 10% R21 W2 P12 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 49 | 54 (5) | 73 (1) | 57 (3) | 59 (4) | 62 (3) | 65 (4) | 65 (4) | 53 (5) | 83 (1) | 73 (3) | 42 | 40 | 50 | 38 | 67 | 58 | 3 | 3/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Easy Libertyb 2y 6 | C R Morris — 28% R250 W71 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 63 | 53 (5) | 87 (2) | 68 (3) | 72 (3) | 72 (3) | 75 (2) | 94 (1) | 61 (5) | 61 (5) | 55 (5) | 39 | 44 | 25 | 41 | 68 | 59 | 1 | 11/8F | |
| 5 | ▶ Swift Comraded 3y 14 | K L Windebank — 17% R548 W92 P308 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 42 | 54 (5) | 25 (5) | 47 (5) | 61 (5) | 84 (4) | 60 (1) | 79 (4) | 59 (2) | 80 (5) | - | 18 | 29 | 23 | 37 | 67 | 53 | 4 | 5/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Kellsboro Cocob 4y 15 | M Brighton — 15% R33 W5 P13 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 54 | 49 (5) | 57 (3) | 55 (4) | 47 (5) | 51 (5) | 48 (5) | 60 (4) | 74 (3) | 81 (1) | 64 (2) | 17 | 29 | 5 | 28 | 65 | 51 | 5 | 7/1 | |
Easy Liberty is the Pred1 pick with an h3 of 87.2 — comfortably the highest in this field. She drops from A1 where she competed regularly — P61 (5th A2), P61 (5th A1), P56 (5th A1), P89 (1st A1), P49 (5th A1) — that P89 win at A1 four runs ago shows she has genuine top-grade ability. AvgPerf 68 is the field's best. As a Fader (EP 69, CS 25, consistency 89) she'll lead through the first bend with authority — EP 69 and bend 63 are both field-best. T4 at 22.04% from 313 runs is above expected — a solid structural position, particularly with T3 vacant. Speed 56 is the field's best. Suitability is decent: track 44, distance 41, trap 39 — consistently above average across all dimensions. Trainer C R Morris at 28% is moderate tier. The concern is clear: CS 25 at Yarmouth means she'll fade on the home straight. But the class gap — she's an A1 winner in an A2 field — argues for the class override principle. A dog with avgPerf 68 may build enough margin through the first 300m that even fading, she holds on. The P89 at A1 was probably her Fader peak — blitz and hold. Whether she can reproduce that here depends on how much the recent series of 5th places (three consecutive at A1) has dented confidence.
DANGER: Best suitability in the field (track 49, dist 59), most balanced pace profile (All-Rounder), and proven at A3/A4 level. Will track the pace and pick up the pieces when the Faders fade.
Best trainer in the race (Newberry 36%), structurally positive T2 draw, and consistent A2 form in the high 70s. Last run was a dip (P53) but the track record demands respect. Place contender.
Extreme Closer who can win if pace collapses — P84 A3 win and P79 2nd A2 prove the ability. But EP 0 from T5 (below expected) means she needs everything to go right. High ceiling, low floor.
Dead trap, inferior Fader to the pick, weakest trainer in the field. Has A2 ability (P74 3rd) but the structural position and head-to-head comparison with Easy Liberty leave no path to victory.
Good composite separation (R1 24.09% vs R3 14.57% — nearly 10pp gap). T3 dominant but vacant. T4 and T2 both above 22% — structurally positive for the pick (T4) and Glenrock Jet (T2). T6 is clearly dead at 13.07% from 199 runs. T5 also below expected at 16.51%.
T1:18.65% T2:22.36% T3:24.91%(vacant) T4:22.04% T5:16.51% T6:13.07%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Tenalach | 50 | 51 | All-Rounder |
2Glenrock Jet | 49 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Easy Liberty | 69 | 25 | Fader |
5Swift Comrade | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Kellsboro Coco | 57 | 31 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.