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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Silver Alb 3y 18 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 57 | 55 (2) | 34 (5) | 72 (4) | 40 (3) | 55 (2) | 51 (3) | 15 (2) | 17 (4) | 21 (1) | 47 (4) | 36 | 40 | 45 | 34 | 53 | 47 | 2 | 9/4F | |
| 2 | ▶ I Feel Fined 2y 15 | L Brown — 15% R125 W19 P63 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 42 | 48 (3) | 42 (4) | 53 (2) | 39 (5) | 54 (3) | 53 (2) | 46 (3) | 48 (4) | 54 (3) | 62 (4) | 10 | 33 | 20 | 24 | 50 | 40 | 6 | 3/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Waikiki Sapphireb 2y 17 | M Brighton — 15% R33 W5 P13 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 62 | 44 (4) | 39 (5) | 35 (5) | 41 (5) | 59 (1) | 51 (3) | 51 (3) | 65 (5) | 23 (5) | 53 (3) | 65 | 50 | 14 | 41 | 47 | 49 | 1 | 7/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Perpendicularb 3y 14 | P I Cross — 19% R148 W28 P84 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 40 | 45 (4) | 45 (5) | 65 (1) | 50 (3) | 43 (2) | 48 (4) | 39 (5) | 77 (2) | 40 (5) | 46 (4) | 27 | 42 | 34 | 26 | 55 | 47 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Icaal Georged 5y 16 | V K Thom — 20% R138 W28 P89 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 40 | 44 (3) | 60 (1) | 49 (2) | 41 (5) | 52 (3) | 59 (2) | 58 (1) | 43 (3) | 48 (2) | 40 (3) | 28 | 33 | 22 | 28 | 49 | 42 | 5 | 5/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Nomore Libertiesd 2y 17 | P I Cross — 19% R148 W28 P84 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 62 | 32 (5) | 62 (1) | 31 (5) | 54 (2) | 39 (5) | 53 (2) | 73 (4) | 41 (4) | 57 (1) | 47 (3) | 29 | 68 | - | 50 | 50 | 50 | 3 | 9/2 | |
Waikiki Sapphire is the Pred1 pick and the structural case is very strong. She draws T3, the DOMINANT trap at Yarmouth A7 462m — 27.42% from 124 runs, over 10pp above the 16.7% expected rate. Her individual trap suit of 65 is the best in the field by a massive margin, confirming she thrives from T3 at Yarmouth. In a LOW SEPARATION race where composite rankings are noise (R1 23.31% vs R3 19.59%), this trap dominance becomes the primary analytical factor. Her form is patchy: P65 (5th S2 659m), P23 (5th D2 277m), P53 (3rd A7), P38 (5th A8), P48 (2nd A7) — mixed across different distances, but her A7 462m-specific form is decent. AvgPerf 47 is mid-field, nothing special. As a Fader (EP 61, CS 33, consistency 93) she'll show early pace from the dominant T3 and her consistency of 93 is the highest in the field — she reproduces her effort reliably. Track suit 50 and distance suit 41 add to the Yarmouth specialist profile. Trainer Brighton at 9% is the weakest in the field — a genuine negative. But the convergence of dominant trap + elite trap suitability + highest consistency in a low-separation race is a compelling structural case.
DANGER: Five consecutive 2nd places at A7 — the most consistent runner in the field. Best EP (64) from the rail. Always there but can't quite win — the perfect danger profile.
Extreme Closer with decent A6 form dropping to A7, but trap suit 10 from T2 and need for total pace collapse limit her chances. Place contender at best.
Strongest Closer (CS 78) at the UK's most Closer-friendly track, with decent trap draw. But weak bend rating means she'll give too much ground early. Needs complete pace collapse to win — place contender.
Improving form through lower grades and best trainer (Thom 28%) but stepping up in class with modest Yarmouth suitability. Place chance but unlikely to threaten the structurally advantaged pick.
Best track suitability (68) but slowest speed in the field and Fader profile at Yarmouth. The venue experience doesn't compensate for the ability deficit. Likely to fade to 4th-6th.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 at 23.31% vs R3 at 19.59% — just 3.72pp gap, composite rankings offer limited predictive value. T3 is clearly DOMINANT at 27.42% from 124 runs — over 10pp above expected. Waikiki Sapphire drawn there with trap suit 65 is a strong structural + individual alignment. In a low-separation race, this trap dominance is the primary analytical factor.
T1:18.55% T2:21.66% T3:27.42% T4:22.15% T5:17.76% T6:21.46%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Silver Al | 64 | 31 | Fader |
2I Feel Fine | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Waikiki Sapphire | 61 | 33 | Fader |
4Perpendicular | 37 | 78 | Closer |
5Icaal George | 43 | 67 | Closer |
6Nomore Liberties | 57 | 27 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.