| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Skeard Tomd 4y 14 | J G Hurst — 18% R269 W48 P153 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 22 (4) | 28 (1) | 20 (2) | 19 (3) | 24 (4) | 29 (2) | 22 (1) | 24 (3) | 22 (3) | - | 31 | 29 | 34 | 31 | 23 | 26 | 5 | 5/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Mineola Bam Bamb 3y 18 | W M Lyons — 19% R1044 W202 P557 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 50 | 34 (5) | 16 (6) | 51 (4) | 20 (5) | 18 (4) | 31 (5) | 43 (6) | 22 (4) | 25 (3) | - | 29 | 42 | 47 | 34 | 35 | 35 | 1 | 9/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Heathsastrikerb 2y 16 | I Zivkovic — 13% R604 W81 P285 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 60 | 23 (3) | 22 (3) | 23 (2) | 17 (6) | 23 (2) | 55 (3) | 22 (4) | 39 (3) | 25 (3) | 43 (4) | 28 | 25 | 26 | 33 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 10/11F | |
| 4 | ▶ Grovenor Peachyb 2y 15 | B Heaton — 15% R196 W30 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 23 (4) | 42 (5) | 61 (1) | 53 (2) | 34 (6) | 33 (6) | 43 (4) | 60 (1) | 34 (5) | 33 (6) | 41 | 31 | 10 | 31 | 20 | 27 | 3 | 5/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Jaxleg Jessb 5y 15 | B Heaton — 15% R196 W30 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 15 (6) | 21 (4) | 22 (3) | 19 (5) | 18 (6) | 17 (6) | 23 (2) | 28 (1) | 12 (6) | 14 (5) | 27 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 23 | 25 | 6 | 25/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Canal View Blued 4y 16 | B Heaton — 15% R196 W30 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 28 | 20 (5) | 23 (2) | 23 (2) | 20 (3) | 19 (4) | 21 (4) | 19 (5) | 27 (1) | 19 (5) | 28 (1) | 29 | 30 | 19 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 4 | 11/1 | |
Mineola Bam Bam has the best performance in this field (P35) and sits in the DOMINANT trap — T2 wins 24.72% from 178 runs, nearly 50% above expected. That convergence of best rating + best structural position is the ideal analytical combination. Her Closer profile (EP50, CS78, pc92) is interesting at 268m — normally Closers face problems in sprints, but at D5 grade where the field lacks genuine early pace (only Heathsastriker has defined EP), there's more time to close. CS78 and pace consistency 92 mean she finishes her races strongly and reliably. Form is volatile (43→22→25→22) with the 43 looking like an outlier, but even the consistent 22-25 runs represent the competitive floor — her 43 two starts ago shows she can perform significantly above that level. Suit mean 38.0 is the best in the field (track 42, class 47 both strong). Trainer W M Lyons at 26% is the strongest handler and posts 16.46% from 79 D5 268m runs — above average for that volume.
DANGER: Best pace metrics (speed 56, EP61, bend60) and improving form (21→33→38→40). Will likely lead through the first bend. The question is whether T3's 15.33% vs T2's 24.72% structural gap costs him — at LOW SEPARATION, yes.
Flat form at 21-24 level with no pace data. Speed 53 is his one asset but without evidence of early pace or bend ability, he's a spectator in the race shape.
Best trap suit (41) in a decent trap but P20 and flat form at 18-20 make this irrelevant. The structural fit is wasted on a non-competitive performer.
Declining form with three consecutive sub-20 runs. Below-average on every measurable metric. One to oppose.
EP32 is functionally a Closer in a sprint — she'll be too far back at the first bend to recover. Decent P (26) and trap position but the early pace deficit is disqualifying at 268m.
LOW SEPARATION — R1 19.22% vs R3 16.27% (2.95pp gap). T2 DOMINANT at 24.72%. Speed rank R1 at 22.82% offers predictive value. Tier 2 pace profile wins best at 23.16%. T D Coote trains at 36.84% from 19 runs at these conditions — significant if present.
T1:17.58% T2:24.72% T3:15.33% T4:19.19% T5:15.93% T6:19.33%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 268m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.