| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Grumpy Adagiob 2y 17 | N Langley — 16% R209 W33 P116 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 51 (4) | 46 (5) | 61 (2) | 63 (1) | 60 (2) | 21 (5) | 26 (2) | 28 (2) | 32 (1) | 27 (2) | 38 | 27 | - | 34 | 38 | 36 | 1 | 4/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Kilara Theod 5y 24 | W M Lyons — 19% R1047 W202 P558 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 17 (6) | 25 (3) | 25 (4) | 32 (1) | 21 (4) | 24 (3) | 22 (5) | 25 (3) | 25 (2) | 32 (1) | 39 | 31 | 31 | 33 | 25 | 30 | 4 | 7/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Hazelgrove Kateb 3y 9 | W M Lyons — 19% R1047 W202 P558 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 31 (1) | 24 (3) | 25 (3) | 27 (3) | 23 (4) | 21 (4) | 25 (4) | 26 (3) | 22 (5) | 34 (2) | 36 | 32 | 32 | 38 | 26 | 30 | 2 | 11/4F | |
| 4 | ▶ Stan Bowd 4y 26 | M N May — 16% R275 W45 P110 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 11 (6) | 14 (6) | 12 (6) | 20 (5) | 16 (6) | 17 (6) | 24 (2) | 19 (5) | 24 (4) | 26 (5) | 36 | 24 | 45 | 28 | 21 | 25 | 5 | 10/3 | |
| 5 | ▶ Moanteen Chickb 4y 35 | I Zivkovic — 13% R606 W81 P285 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 16 (5) | 16 (6) | 30 (2) | 16 (5) | 32 (1) | 39 (6) | 20 (6) | 33 (1) | 15 (5) | 24 (3) | 16 | 31 | 42 | 34 | 23 | 23 | 6 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Da Man Billyd 3y 16 | M N May — 16% R275 W45 P110 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 30 (2) | 29 (2) | 28 (4) | 36 (1) | 33 (1) | 30 (4) | 32 (1) | 28 (2) | 22 (5) | 22 (4) | 41 | 36 | 33 | 35 | 24 | 30 | 3 | 3/1 | |
The class of this field by a clear margin. Grumpy Adagio's average performance of 38 is 12 points above the next best (Hazelgrove Kate at 26), and his speed rating of 55 is comfortably the best in the race. His Fader tag (pace consistency 89) is virtually irrelevant at 268m — the trip is completed in under 17 seconds, far too short for any meaningful fade to develop. Form shows a modest upward trajectory (23→26→35→33) with his last two runs both in the 30s, suggesting he's found a consistent level at D4 grade. Drawn in T1 which wins 20.35% from 231 runs — a strong position that gives him the rail going downhill into the first bend. Trap suitability of 38 confirms he handles this draw. Track suit 27 and distance suit 34 show reasonable Kinsley 268m form. Trainer N Langley at 18% is moderate but the dog's raw ability should overcome any placement disadvantage.
DANGER: Structural favourite from the DOMINANT T3 (24.50%). Speed 53 is close enough to Adagio's 55 that the trap advantage could decide it. If Adagio has any early crowding issues, Kate benefits immediately.
Outpaced by Adagio's speed advantage and outclassed on performance. Trainer support from Lyons is the only positive, but insufficient to bridge a 13-point P gap in a sprint.
Outclassed on performance and speed. Nothing in the structural data or form trajectory to suggest an upset. One to oppose.
Can be confidently opposed. DEAD trap (10.46%) plus worst speed (43) plus trap suit 16 is a triple negative. Would need the entire field to fall over at the first bend.
Strong trap position (20.45%) with best trap suit (41), but the 13-point P gap and 6-point speed gap to Adagio are too large. Place frame candidate but not a winner here.
LOW SEPARATION — R1 18.17% vs R3 16.97% (1.2pp gap). Composite rankings barely separate dogs at D4 grade. T3 dominant at 24.50% from 249 runs. T5 dead at 10.46%. Speed rank R1 at 22.55% offers better predictive value than composite. Tier 2 pace wins 20.39% — mid-pace dogs do well.
T1:20.35% T2:18.06% T3:24.50% T4:17.08% T5:10.46% T6:20.45%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 268m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.