| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Coolpeach Sarahb 2y 17 | J Robinson — 19% R298 W56 P170 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 56 (4) | 50 (3) | 54 (3) | 71 (1) | 45 (4) | 52 (4) | 42 (4) | 50 (4) | 25 (4) | 59 (3) | 48 | 61 | - | 61 | - | 25 | 5 | 11/4 | |
| 2 | ▶ Step Juniorb 3y 23 | W M Lyons — 19% R1048 W203 P559 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 50 | 43 (6) | 42 (5) | 71 (1) | 45 (1) | 69 (4) | 53 (1) | 42 (3) | 41 (6) | 70 (6) | - | 35 | 32 | 35 | 49 | 48 | 43 | 1 | 10/3 | |
| 3 | ▶ Eagles Magicd 2y 26 | T D Coote — 19% R575 W110 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 35 | 70 (5) | 72 (1) | 32 (1) | 17 (1) | 26 (6) | 33 (4) | 25 (1) | 31 (3) | 24 (1) | - | 55 | 42 | - | 55 | 28 | 38 | 2 | 4/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Grumpy Wilburd 2y 28 | N Langley — 16% R209 W33 P116 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 56 | 28 (3) | 20 (6) | 26 (4) | 32 (1) | 26 (3) | 27 (3) | 25 (6) | 25 (3) | 25 (4) | 21 (6) | 33 | 25 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 4 | 9/4F | |
| 5 | ▶ Castlerock Cashd 1y 17 | J Robinson — 19% R298 W56 P170 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 69 (1) | 46 (3) | 42 (5) | 43 (5) | 36 (6) | 36 (5) | 54 (2) | 29 (3) | 36 (1) | - | 35 | 47 | - | 47 | - | 18 | 6 | 7/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Russanda Lexib 4y 38 | M N May — 16% R276 W45 P110 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | - | 50 (1) | 43 (4) | 65 (5) | 31 (2) | 30 (3) | 32 (2) | 25 (2) | 22 (1) | - | - | 50 | 28 | 46 | 28 | 29 | 34 | 3 | 6/1 | |
Step Junior represents the most emphatic CLASS OVERRIDE on the entire Kinsley card. P48 is 19 points above the next best runner (Russanda Lexi at P29) — for context, a 6-point gap triggers a class override in the analytical framework. A 19-point gap is essentially racing a different grade. His All-Rounder profile (EP50, CS52, pc88) is well-suited to a 268m sprint — enough early pace to lead on the downhill, enough stamina to hold through both bends. Speed 56 is comfortably the best in the field. Form is the defining signal: 24→24→43→52 — a dramatic improvement over four starts, with the latest 52 being nearly double his starting level. That trajectory suggests a dog that's improving rapidly and may not have peaked yet. T2 at 18.56% from 361 runs is above average — a solid structural foundation on top of overwhelming ability. Trainer Lyons at 26% is experienced and his 13.11% from 61 D3 268m runs reflects the difficulty of D3 competition, not placement quality. Distance suit 49 and suit mean 37.8 confirm competence at the venue. There is genuinely no scenario in which this dog should lose barring first-bend trouble.
Best venue suitability and decent speed but three career runs at 18-24 perf means she's still developing. Clear second-best prospect behind Step Junior but not a threat to the pick.
DEAD trap (12.45%) + lowest EP (36) + P28 in a field where the pick has P48. Decent suitability scores can't overcome a 20-point ability gap and dead structural position.
Best EP (57) at 268m suggests he'll lead early but CS0 is the most extreme fading profile possible. Speed 44 confirms he slows dramatically. One to oppose despite early prominence.
Three career runs at 14-24 perf with no pace data. The 24-point gap to Step Junior is insurmountable. Needs significant development before competing at D3.
DOMINANT trap (20.93%) and best trap suit (50) would normally make her a serious contender. But P29 and speed 39 against Step Junior's P48 and speed 56 is a mismatch too extreme for any structural factor to bridge. Second or third if things go wrong for the pick.
Borderline separation — R1 18.74% vs R3 14.45% (4.29pp gap). T6 dominant at 20.93% from 258 runs. T3 DEAD at 12.45% from 257 runs. Speed rank R1 wins 19.21% — decent predictive value. Top pace tier wins 20.81% — front runners favoured at 268m D3. However, this race has a CLASS OVERRIDE candidate (P48 vs P29 next best = 19+ point gap) that renders structural factors secondary.
T1:17.25% T2:18.56% T3:12.45% T4:15.13% T5:16.60% T6:20.93%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 268m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.