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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hazelgrove Flashb 3y 15 | W M Lyons — 20% R1041 W207 P559 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 53 | 51 (3) | 62 (1) | 37 (4) | 39 (4) | 62 (1) | 24 (3) | 46 (4) | 51 (3) | 49 (3) | 54 (3) | 34 | 34 | 47 | 31 | 50 | 43 | 1 | 2/1F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Thats So Trueb 2y 7 | I Zivkovic — 14% R613 W85 P284 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 67 | 30 (6) | 18 (6) | 48 (3) | 48 (3) | 41 (4) | 41 (4) | 41 (6) | 63 (1) | 44 (2) | 29 (6) | 22 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 44 | 34 | 6 | 5/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ballymac Echod 4y 25 | B Heaton — 16% R200 W31 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 51 | 29 (6) | 41 (4) | 49 (3) | 54 (2) | 44 (3) | 32 (6) | 58 (1) | 48 (3) | 47 (2) | 45 (4) | 55 | 32 | 15 | 30 | 43 | 43 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Clay Kimeyd 3y 13 | T D Coote — 18% R573 W102 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 41 | 31 (5) | 57 (1) | 57 (1) | 40 (3) | 52 (2) | 56 (1) | 21 (3) | 19 (5) | 21 (3) | 37 (4) | 49 | 24 | 33 | 26 | 44 | 41 | 4 | 18/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Blackbell Minib 3y 5 | I Zivkovic — 14% R613 W85 P284 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 55 | 56 (1) | 38 (4) | 24 (3) | 41 (2) | 39 (2) | 31 (4) | 27 (5) | 34 (2) | 47 (6) | - | 21 | 43 | 23 | 36 | 40 | 36 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Acomb Benjid 3y 28 | J G Hurst — 17% R266 W46 P150 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 38 | 32 (6) | 46 (3) | 35 (4) | 47 (2) | 47 (2) | 50 (2) | 46 (3) | 49 (2) | 40 (5) | 30 (5) | 48 | 45 | 14 | 35 | 44 | 44 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
Hazelgrove Flash is the best-rated dog in this field by a clear margin — P50 is 6 points above the next tier (Thats So True, Clay Kimey, Acomb Benji all at P44). Speed 56 is also best. His AR profile (EP49, CS51, pc86) is well-suited to Kinsley 462m — enough early pace to sit handy behind the inevitable Fader-led first bend, enough closing ability to run them down through bends 3 and 4. Form is volatile (24→55→44→65) but the latest 65 is comfortably the best recent run in the field, suggesting he's hitting peak form at the right time. Track suit 34 and suit mean 36.5 are decent. Trainer W M Lyons at 26% is experienced at Kinsley and the strongest handler representation at A8 conditions (21.35% from 89 runs). T1 at 15.28% is below average — not ideal — but at NORMAL separation, P50 with speed 56 and the latest 65 represent a genuine class edge that should overcome a slightly weak trap. The bend rank data shows R1 and R2 winning 20%+ at A8 — Flash's bend53 places him well.
DANGER: DOMINANT trap (20.21%) with best trap suit (55) and best pace consistency (91). The structural package is the best in the race. But declining form (latest 32) and a 7-point P gap to Flash undermine the position advantage.
Extreme early pace (EP66, bend67) will lead spectacularly through the first bend but CS0 means the tank is empty by bend 3. At 462m with closers behind, she'll be caught. Exciting to watch but not a pick.
Decent form and suit but worst speed in field (41) removes any ability to close on the leaders. Mid-pack P without a standout metric. Will run his race but unlikely to threaten the top two.
Second early pace (EP62) but CS20 means the lead won't last 462m. Latest 43 is her best recent form but still below Flash's level. Will fade from a handy position to mid-field.
Pro-closer conditions (20.29% win rate at A8) and best CS (69) from a decent trap (18.75%). But EP39 means starting last and P44 is 6 points off Flash. Place frame candidate who benefits if Flash fails.
NORMAL separation — R1 18.48% vs R3 11.54% (6.94pp gap). Composite rank separates dogs at A8. T3 dominant at 20.21% from 188 runs. T2 borderline dead at 14.40% from 243 runs. Bend rank is powerful: R1 20.17%, R2 20.58% — best bend dogs win here. Tier 3 pace (closers) wins 20.29% — highest of any pace tier, unusually pro-closer for Kinsley.
T1:15.28% T2:14.40% T3:20.21% T4:17.57% T5:17.80% T6:18.75%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Hazelgrove Flash | 49 | 51 | All-Rounder |
2Thats So True | 66 | 0 | Fader |
3Ballymac Echo | 51 | 49 | All-Rounder |
4Clay Kimey | 42 | 51 | All-Rounder |
5Blackbell Mini | 62 | 20 | Fader |
6Acomb Benji | 39 | 69 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hazelgrove Flash | 0.626 | 0.632 |
| 2 | Thats So True | 0.646 | 0.636 |
| 3 | Ballymac Echo | — | 0.634 |
| 4 | Clay Kimey | 0.643 | 0.639 |
| 5 | Blackbell Mini | 0.634 | 0.637 |
| 6 | Acomb Benji | — | 0.635 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.