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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Drumdoit Nanab 3y 15 | J Andrews — 20% R238 W48 P130 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | - | 33 (2) | 39 (2) | 19 (5) | 34 (3) | 42 (2) | 35 (2) | 41 (1) | 36 (2) | 37 (1) | 9 (6) | 52 | 38 | 23 | 38 | 31 | 35 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Innfield Jotad 3y 19 | L J Stephenson — 20% R250 W50 P150 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 42 (1) | 33 (3) | 30 (4) | 40 (2) | 27 (5) | 42 (1) | 29 (4) | 41 (1) | 28 (5) | 24 (5) | 44 | 33 | 20 | 33 | 32 | 34 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Drumdoit Lyrab 1y 14 | J Andrews — 20% R238 W48 P130 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 27 (6) | 47 (4) | 44 (5) | 29 (4) | 36 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | 76 | 52 | - | 56 | 36 | 45 | 2 | 8/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Memories Paybackb 3y 3 | L J Stephenson — 20% R250 W50 P150 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 42 (2) | 46 (1) | 28 (5) | 28 (6) | 45 (1) | 31 (4) | 31 (2) | 30 (4) | 46 (1) | 42 (1) | 56 | 52 | 66 | 53 | 34 | 41 | 1 | 11/8F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Apollo Youngbludd 3y 25 | S C Oxley — 18% R143 W26 P88 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 22 (6) | 27 (5) | 34 (2) | 41 (1) | 37 (2) | 31 (4) | 41 (1) | 36 (2) | 31 (4) | 29 (3) | 57 | 47 | 65 | 54 | 36 | 42 | 3 | 2/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Queen Farrahb 2yN/R 28 | L J Stephenson — 20% R250 W50 P150 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 53 (4) | 47 (4) | 33 (6) | 51 (4) | 47 (5) | 32 (3) | 24 (5) | 37 (2) | 44 (6) | 46 (5) | 45 | 28 | 18 | 28 | 49 | 44 | - | - | - | |
The convergence of speed + structure + suitability makes this the pick. Best speed in the field at 56 — in a 280m sprint, that's the single most important individual metric. Drawn in the DOMINANT T4 position at 23.7% from 131 runs. Suitability is outstanding: track suit 52, distance suit 53, trap suit 56, class suit 66. Class suit 66 is the highest in the field, confirming proven D2 competitiveness. P34 is mid-field but in a LOW SEPARATION race (R1 22.5% vs R3 21.5%), that gap is noise. Form reads 3,4,2,1,1 — two wins from the last two runs, an improving trajectory. Stephenson yard at TWR 16% is below average but the dog's own numbers override the trainer signal. The combination of DOMINANT trap + best speed + outstanding suitability is the strongest convergence available, even with P34 being below the joint-best P36.
DANGER: Trap suit 76 (exceptional), track suit 52, distance suit 56 — the strongest individual Sheffield 280m fit. P36 joint-best, 100% placed from 4 runs. T3 structural position (17.0%) is moderate headwind but the individual data overwhelms the aggregate.
Three wins from 5 is eye-catching form but P31 and speed 42 (slowest in field) suggest she's been beating weaker opposition. In a competitive D2 field, the raw numbers may be exposed.
T2 structural advantage (21.2%) is real but P32 and declining form don't support a serious bid. Outsider.
Strong all-round profile — P36 joint-best, speed 53 second-best, good suitability, above-average draw. Unlucky to miss the danger tag. A genuine each-way contender in a deeply competitive sprint.
Fascinating runner. P49 is 13 above field average — clear class override territory. EP 100 Fader in a sprint can hold. But T6 structural headwind, weak suitability, and the Fader risk at 280m (just about long enough for a fade) prevent a confident pick. Could win — but the data balance favours the structural pick.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 22.5% vs R3 21.5% — just 1.0pp gap. T4 DOMINANT at 23.7%. Multiple traps above average (T1, T2, T4, T5) making this a race with limited structural clarity. The best speed (T4, 56) in the dominant trap is the strongest convergence.
T1:20.8% T2:21.2% T3:17.0% T4:23.7% T5:21.4% T6:16.2%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 280m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 280m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (280m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 280m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drumdoit Nana | 0.597 | — |
| 2 | Innfield Jota | 0.590 | — |
| 3 | Drumdoit Lyra | 0.591 | 0.616 |
| 4 | Memories Payback | 0.589 | — |
| 5 | Apollo Youngblud | 0.591 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.