| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Epic Estimated 3y 34 | L A Taylorson — 16% R243 W40 P135 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 25 (2) | 20 (4) | 22 (3) | 25 (2) | 23 (2) | 21 (4) | 21 (4) | 20 (6) | 25 (4) | 18 (6) | 28 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ada Leckie Runb 2y 26 | J Sharp — 23% R87 W20 P48 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 100 | 18 (4) | 16 (5) | 29 (5) | 20 (1) | 19 (4) | 19 (5) | 23 (4) | 22 (4) | 21 (4) | - | 67 | 40 | - | 37 | 24 | 32 | 3 | 2/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Carpe Diemd 2y 17 | E T Parker — 21% R208 W43 P123 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 43 | 41 (5) | 70 (1) | 56 (4) | 33 (6) | 32 (6) | 45 (4) | 71 (1) | 22 (3) | 22 (4) | 26 (2) | 48 | 33 | 18 | 52 | 35 | 38 | 2 | 10/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Spot The Teddyd 4y 35 | J Sharp — 23% R87 W20 P48 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 54 | 48 (6) | 43 (3) | 44 (4) | 39 (3) | 25 (5) | 58 (2) | 34 (1) | 44 (6) | 36 (3) | - | 51 | 46 | 61 | 58 | 42 | 45 | 1 | 18/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Hot And Coldb 3y 17 | S C Oxley — 18% R143 W26 P88 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 29 (1) | 22 (2) | 25 (2) | 25 (3) | 23 (3) | 19 (5) | 25 (3) | 22 (4) | 30 (1) | 23 (3) | 24 | 27 | 19 | 27 | 24 | 25 | 6 | 9/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Catunda Sniperd 3y 17 | D T Gomersall — 14% R136 W19 P63 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 21 (4) | 23 (5) | 37 (6) | 41 (5) | 25 (4) | 43 (5) | 24 (4) | 24 (5) | 31 (3) | 25 (4) | 37 | 33 | 37 | 36 | 26 | 29 | 4 | 11/8F | - | |
CLASS OVERRIDE. P42 is 7 points clear of the next best (Carpe Diem at P35) and +13 above the field average of 29.3 — comfortably exceeding the 6+ threshold for class override. The suitability suite is outstanding and the best in the field across every dimension: track suit 46, distance suit 58, trap suit 51, class suit 61. Class suit 61 is particularly significant — it means this dog has proven, demonstrated competitiveness at D4 level with extensive positive results. Form reads 4,3,5,2,1 — improving trajectory with a recent win and a 2nd, suggesting she's hitting peak form. All-Rounder profile (EP 50, CS 50, bend 54) provides balanced delivery at 280m. Speed 43 is a concern in a sprint — it's the lowest in the field — but performance rating at 280m incorporates speed implicitly, and P42 says she finds a way to win despite not being the fastest on raw pace. Sharp yard at TWR 21%. T4 at 18.4% is structurally average — not dominant but not dead either. The class gap (+13 above field avg) overrides the structural position.
DANGER: T3 DOMINANT (25.2%), two recent wins, distance suit 52, trap suit 48. The structural case is strong. P35 is below the pick but the trap advantage partially compensates.
Best speed 57 is a genuine sprint weapon but P25 is 17 below the pick and suitability is weak. Will run a fast time but may not convert that into a win against a classier opponent.
Exceptional bend 100 and trap suit 67 but form (4,4,6,5,4) is catastrophic. Five consecutive runs without a single place. The data that matters most — actual results — says she can't compete at this level.
T5 structurally above average (21.7%) but P24 is too low to exploit it. Weak suitability confirms limited Sheffield 280m credentials. An outsider.
Speed 54 is a sprint weapon but P26 and no recent wins mean she can't convert pace into victories. A frame runner at best.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 23.2% vs R3 22.3% — just 0.9pp gap, R3 nearly matches R1. T3 DOMINANT at 25.2%. But Spot The Teddy (T4) has P42 which is +13 above field average — a genuine class override candidate even in a LOW SEPARATION context because the override threshold is P 6+ above field average.
T1:18.4% T2:18.0% T3:25.2% T4:18.4% T5:21.7% T6:19.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 280m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 280m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (280m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 280m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Epic Estimate | 0.605 | — |
| 2 | Ada Leckie Run | 0.608 | — |
| 3 | Carpe Diem | 0.603 | 0.615 |
| 4 | Spot The Teddy | 0.604 | 0.610 |
| 5 | Hot And Cold | 0.602 | — |
| 6 | Catunda Sniper | 0.600 | 0.609 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.