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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Dirty Velvetb 3y 25 | L A Taylorson — 17% R234 W39 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 36 | 40 (2) | 43 (5) | 70 (1) | 43 (2) | 42 (3) | 39 (5) | 40 (3) | 40 (3) | 32 (5) | 42 (4) | 28 | 22 | 16 | 22 | 45 | 38 | 3 | 9/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Gurtnacrehy Rhysd 1y 32 | P Webster — 16% R96 W15 P44 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 50 | 26 (5) | 65 (2) | 60 (1) | 42 (3) | 72 (1) | 61 (2) | 28 (6) | - | - | - | 6 | 21 | - | 21 | 46 | 36 | 4 | 5/4F | |
| 3 | ▶ Ridgedale Mazzab 3y 6 | K Hodson — 20% R255 W51 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 67 | 47 | 72 (1) | 38 (5) | 61 (2) | 66 (1) | 53 (3) | 39 (4) | 71 (1) | 47 (2) | 49 (2) | 39 (4) | 37 | 35 | 25 | 31 | 52 | 46 | 1 | 7/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Drumdoit Sydd 2y 16 | J Andrews — 20% R245 W48 P135 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 40 (5) | 44 (4) | 45 (2) | 56 (3) | 49 (2) | 47 (2) | 53 (3) | 59 (2) | 17 (5) | 30 (1) | 36 | 29 | 23 | 32 | 34 | 33 | 5 | 2/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Classy Chloeb 5y 17 | D T Gomersall — 15% R137 W20 P69 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 57 | 59 (1) | 42 (4) | 33 (5) | 55 (1) | 40 (6) | 55 (1) | 47 (2) | 56 (2) | 45 (3) | 58 (3) | 21 | 25 | 32 | 22 | 48 | 39 | 2 | 6/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Vinnies Starb 4y 15 | P Webster — 16% R96 W15 P44 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 62 | 17 (4) | 32 (5) | 39 (5) | 29 (5) | 34 (5) | 46 (4) | 31 (5) | 19 (4) | 37 (5) | 35 (4) | 22 | 25 | 29 | 24 | 36 | 32 | 6 | 20/1 | |
The clearest pick on the Sheffield card alongside R4's Lets Get Smashed. Every factor converges. T3 is DOMINANT at 30.5% from 59 runs — the highest single-trap win rate in any Sheffield race today (albeit a moderate sample size). P52 is best in field by 4 points. Speed 67 is best by a staggering 10 points — in a 500m race, that speed differential means she's closing 10 points faster than anything ahead of her. Closer profile (EP 48, CS 91) at Sheffield 500m — the fair track gives her all the time and room she needs. Form reads 1,1,6,2,2 — two wins and two places from 5 (the 6th is the only concern but could be explained by interference). Track suit 35, distance suit 31, trap suit 37 — moderate suitability. Hodson yard at TWR 16%. The composite rank 1 wins 30.7% at A8 conditions — the top-rated dog has a genuine, large edge. The convergence of dominant trap + best P + best speed (by 10!) + Closer at 500m is overwhelming. Even with moderate suitability, the raw class gap combined with the structural advantage makes this a Strong pick.
DANGER: P48 second-best, speed 57 second-best, Front Runner who'll lead early. Class suit 32 best in field. If Ridgedale Mazza hits trouble or is slow to close, Classy Chloe is the one who benefits.
Rail Closer at 500m is the right profile but speed 51 is 16 behind the pick's 67 — an insurmountable closing speed deficit. Will frame but can't win.
T2 structural advantage (23.2%) is wasted when the dog has trap suit 6 and track suit 21. The aggregate data says T2 wins often but this specific dog hasn't shown it. Low P46 and speed 44 seal it.
T4 structural advantage (25.4%) but P34 and speed 45 are too far behind the pick to threaten. The gap is too wide for structure to bridge.
Dead T6 (15.4%) + worst speed (38) + worst form (5,4,6,4,3) + worst P after Drumdoit Syd. Can be confidently opposed on every metric.
STRONG separation: R1 at 30.7% vs R2 at 18.6% — the top dog wins nearly a third of the time at A8 500m. T3 DOMINANT at 30.5% (note: 59 runs is moderate sample). Ridgedale Mazza in T3 with P52 (best) and speed 67 (best by 10) is the convergence of comp rank 1 + dominant trap.
T1:19.7% T2:23.2% T3:30.5% T4:25.4% T5:21.1% T6:15.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Dirty Velvet | 36 | 100 | Closer |
2Gurtnacrehy Rhys | 50 | 49 | All-Rounder |
3Ridgedale Mazza | 48 | 91 | Closer |
4Drumdoit Syd | — | — | No data |
5Classy Chloe | 60 | 50 | Front Runner |
6Vinnies Star | 63 | 20 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.