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Thursday
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Thorntree Badgerb 3y 26 | R A Draper — 29% R263 W76 P171 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 48 | - | 26 (4) | 26 (4) | 34 (1) | 29 (3) | 26 (4) | 31 (1) | 19 (4) | 31 (1) | 22 (4) | 28 (2) | 46 | 40 | 19 | 40 | 28 | 33 | 2 | 5/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ La Florb 4y 23 | D L Fretwell — 16% R162 W26 P102 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 54 | - | 32 (5) | 31 (2) | 30 (3) | 35 (3) | 26 (1) | 31 (5) | 30 (3) | 28 (3) | 28 (4) | - | 25 | 28 | 33 | 37 | 28 | 29 | 1 | 5/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Finnery Wendyb 2y 15 | S C Oxley — 17% R146 W25 P89 Trainer form — last 3 months | 41 | 50 | - | 25 (5) | 28 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 48 | 37 | - | 37 | 26 | 31 | 4 | 15/8F | |
| 4 | ▶ Sober Cashoutd 4y 13 | L A Taylorson — 17% R234 W39 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 51 | - | 21 (6) | 27 (4) | 26 (4) | 31 (1) | 21 (5) | 25 (5) | 23 (5) | 21 (5) | 23 (4) | 26 (4) | 44 | 35 | 27 | 38 | 26 | 31 | 3 | 6/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Mr Boombasticd 3y 5 | S C Oxley — 17% R146 W25 P89 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 49 | - | 25 (4) | 36 (1) | 23 (5) | 29 (3) | 25 (4) | 26 (4) | 27 (2) | 24 (5) | 29 (4) | 20 (5) | 39 | 35 | 25 | 35 | 27 | 30 | 5 | 5/2 | |
Best speed in the field at 54 — and in a 280m sprint, speed is the primary differentiator when performance ratings offer no separation. P28 is joint-best. Form reads 4,3,3,3,2 — consistently mid-pack with a recent 2nd showing improving trajectory. Distance suit 37 is decent, class suit 33 is best in field confirming she's competitive at D3. The structural position at T2 (17.1% from 140 runs) is average — not a structural advantage but not dead either. Fretwell yard at TWR 20%. The pick case rests on speed: at 280m, the dog who runs fastest wins. Speed 54 vs the field average of ~50.4 is a meaningful edge. Track suit 28 and trap suit 25 are concerns — she doesn't have extensive Sheffield T2 form — but in a sprint where everyone is P26-28, the speed advantage overrides suitability.
DANGER: Best track suit 40, P28 joint-best, two wins from 5 (best win rate), above-average T1 draw. In a compressed field, venue familiarity and form frequency are genuine differentiators.
The T3 structural case (29.4%) is the strongest on the card but the dog's current form (5,5 from last 2) has cratered. When the individual is running this poorly, even the strongest trap bias can't override. A 29.4% trap means 70.6% of the time it DOESN'T win.
Above-average T4 draw (21.8%) but form is terrible — no wins from 5, mostly 4th-6th finishes. The structural advantage is wasted on a dog in this form.
DEAD T6 (10.6%) + lowest speed + poor form (5,5,4,5 from last 4). Can be confidently opposed at this distance and trap combination.
T3 is overwhelmingly DOMINANT at 29.4% — nearly 2x the expected 16.7% rate. T6 is DEAD at 10.6%. In a field where all perfs are within 2 points (26-28), the T3 structural advantage should dominate. BUT T2 La Flor's speed 54 is the best — in a sprint, speed is king. The tension between T3 structure and T2 speed makes this race interesting.
T1:18.9% T2:17.1% T3:29.4% T4:21.8% T5:20.5% T6:10.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 280m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.