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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Jolly Outlookd 3y 25 | J Andrews — 20% R245 W48 P135 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 43 | 49 (3) | 54 (4) | 56 (6) | 62 (2) | 32 (3) | 49 (5) | 71 (4) | 68 (1) | 65 (2) | - | 42 | 42 | 26 | 41 | 56 | 51 | 1 | 10/3 | |
| 2 | ▶ Fugazid 4y 26 | J Sharp — 21% R87 W18 P46 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 48 | 61 (5) | 56 (2) | 44 (3) | 55 (6) | 52 (3) | 49 (6) | 60 (3) | 68 (5) | - | - | 37 | 35 | 33 | 32 | 55 | 48 | 3 | 4/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Da Safety Netb 3y 17 | K Hodson — 20% R255 W51 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 56 | 64 (2) | 47 (5) | 73 (5) | 47 (1) | 59 (4) | 56 (3) | 66 (5) | 51 (2) | - | - | 29 | 35 | 29 | 29 | 56 | 47 | 2 | 15/8F | |
| 4 | ▶ Savana Loab 2y 25 | D Henry — 25% R104 W26 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 38 | 68 (2) | 47 (4) | 55 (4) | 72 (1) | 68 (1) | 54 (3) | 45 (5) | 51 (4) | 50 (3) | 68 (1) | 25 | 31 | 6 | 25 | 53 | 44 | 4 | 4/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Waiting So Longb 3y 16 | R A Draper — 29% R263 W76 P171 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 57 | 43 (5) | 67 (5) | 44 (1) | 56 (4) | 25 (4) | 28 (6) | 26 (5) | 35 (5) | 41 (3) | - | 43 | 35 | 42 | 34 | 43 | 41 | 5 | 3/1 | |
In a LOW SEPARATION race where all perfs are within 3 points (P53-56), the DOMINANT T1 position at 23.8% from 349 runs is the decisive factor. Jolly Outlook is a Closer (EP 37, CS 92) from the rail at Sheffield 500m — the ideal combination. The rail saves ground through every bend, and the fair track profile gives Closers time to close. P56 is joint-best with Da Safety Net. Speed 54 is joint-best with Fugazi. Track suit 42, distance suit 41, trap suit 42 are decent across the board. Form reads 4,1,6,2,3 — inconsistent with a 6th in there, but the 1st shows what she can do. Andrews yard at TWR 16% is below average. The inconsistency is the concern preventing Strong confidence, but in a LOW SEPARATION race where every dog has near-identical ability, the structural edge from T1 is what separates them.
DANGER: Most consistent form (2,1,2,3,3), P56 joint-best, T3 second-best structural position (21.2%). All-Rounder who never misses the frame. The pick's T1 dominance (23.8%) edges it on structure.
All-Rounder profile is right for Sheffield 500m but form (1,6,3,5,2) is too erratic. T2 at 16.3% offers no structural help. Could win on his day but could equally finish last.
Closer profile is right for 500m but P53 lowest, speed 48 slowest, suitability weakest (class suit 6!), T4 below average. Outclassed despite the capable pace profile.
Best bend rating 57 and early pace but P43 is 10 below the next-weakest. Fader at 500m will lead briefly then weaken severely. Form trajectory (4,4,6,5) confirms she's in free-fall.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 19.8% vs R2 19.2% — just 0.6pp gap. Ratings barely separate dogs at A5. T1 DOMINANT at 23.8% from 349 runs. T3 also strong at 21.2% from 378 runs. In a LOW SEPARATION race, trap bias is the primary factor.
T1:23.8% T2:16.3% T3:21.2% T4:15.9% T5:14.9% T6:19.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Jolly Outlook | 37 | 92 | Closer |
2Fugazi | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Da Safety Net | 54 | 36 | All-Rounder |
4Savana Loa | 33 | 94 | Closer |
6Waiting So Long | 55 | 28 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.