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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Ashway Jessieb 2y 18 | A G Rawlings — 20% R188 W37 P108 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 55 | 68 (3) | 67 (2) | 63 (4) | 52 (4) | 46 (6) | 61 (3) | 37 (6) | 85 (1) | 81 (1) | 52 (5) | 2 | 27 | 24 | 24 | 61 | 38 | 3 | 9/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Hawkfield Tiktokd 3y 29 | D S Davy — 21% R435 W93 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 65 | 66 (3) | 84 (1) | 42 (6) | 81 (1) | 58 (5) | 70 (3) | 57 (4) | 71 (2) | 77 (1) | 69 (3) | 36 | 37 | 25 | 38 | 67 | 46 | 2 | 9/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Loot And Shootd 3y 25 | D S Davy — 21% R435 W93 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 37 | 64 (2) | 54 (4) | 39 (1) | 34 (1) | 28 (4) | 31 (3) | 34 (1) | 27 (3) | 18 (4) | 29 (2) | 36 | 42 | - | 13 | 54 | 33 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ashway Marshyd 3y 28 | A G Rawlings — 20% R188 W37 P108 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 48 | 63 (2) | 72 (2) | 51 (5) | 63 (2) | 73 (3) | 75 (3) | 63 (4) | 70 (4) | 88 (1) | 87 (1) | 33 | 37 | 42 | 35 | 69 | 47 | 1 | 7/4F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Bluejig Bobbyd 3y 25 | J A Danahar — 18% R332 W61 P189 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 49 | 64 (2) | 59 (4) | 62 (3) | 65 (3) | 84 (1) | 75 (1) | 49 (5) | 67 (2) | 72 (1) | 74 (1) | 35 | 35 | 17 | 39 | 66 | 46 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ashway Marshy | 28.46 | 28.73 | 28.77 | 61 | +0.31 | Best trap + fastest | |
| 6 | Bluejig Bobby | 28.67 | 28.98 | 29.01 | 49 | +0.34 | 4 wins from 10 C&D | |
| 3 | Hawkfield Tiktok | 28.64 | 29.11 | 28.72 | 52 | +0.08 | Won last time | |
| 2 | Ashway Jessie | 28.69 | 29.11 | 28.85 | 49 | +0.16 | 2 wins from 10 C&D | |
| 4 | Loot And Shoot | 29.05 | 29.05 | 29.05 | 41 | 0.00 | Stepped up grade, worst trap |
Valley's 460m trip is run on a tight circuit with a short run to the first bend, and it plays fast — front pace and early positioning matter far more than a galloping track of the same distance. At A3 grade here, trap 5 has been the standout box at 21.4% from 206 runs, with trap 4 the weakest at just 14.6%. The top-rated dog on the model does its job reasonably well at this level, winning 23% of the time, and the fastest recorded time in the field wins 26%. Ashway Marshy ticks almost every box tonight — fastest on the clock, best draw, and the strongest recent form in the field. Hawkfield Tiktok, drawn just inside her, has the higher gears early and won last time out, so this looks a match race between the pair with the rest fighting for places.
The fastest dog in this field on recorded times and drawn in trap 5, the standout box at this grade and trip. She's been racing solidly at this level throughout, with three course and distance wins from ten starts and a peak effort recently that shows she's more than capable of beating this field. She finishes races off strongly, which matters on a track where the tight bends can catch out dogs who go too hard too early, and with the best combination of pace, draw and proven course form in the race, she's the clear pick.
Won last time out with the highest rated performance of anyone in this field, and she has the sharpest early pace of the runners with data recorded — the fastest to the opening bend by some margin. She tends to weaken in the closing stages, which is a real consideration on a track where positions won early are hard to give up, but with three course and distance wins from ten starts and a trap that has produced plenty of winners, she's the biggest threat if she can get there before fading.
Recent form is honest A3 racing throughout, with a consistent string of finishes and two course and distance wins from ten starts. Trap 2 has been a below-average box at this grade, though, winning fewer than one in five, and she lacks the raw pace of the market leaders here. A place chance rather than a winning one on these figures.
Stepped up from D-grade racing for this run and it looks a stiff task first time at this level — the slowest recorded time in the field and no course and distance experience to fall back on. Trap 4 has also been the weakest box at this grade by some distance. Everything here points against him finding this company anything but too strong.
Owns the best course and distance record in the field, with four wins from ten starts at this exact track and trip, and his times are competitive with the leading pair. Trap 6 is a reasonable box rather than a standout, and his trainer's overall win rate is the weakest of this group, but the raw course knowledge here shouldn't be dismissed. A solid each-way option in a race with a clear top two.
Key insight: Trap 5 is the standout box at A3 grade, winning 21.4% from 206 runs — trap 4 is the one to avoid at 14.6%. The fastest recorded time in the field wins 26.4%, a stronger signal than the model's own top pick at 23.2%.
T1:19.1% T2:17.2% T3:19.6% T4:14.6% T5:21.4% T6:18.4%
1,322 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Ashway Jessie | 52 | 42 | All-Rounder |
3Hawkfield Tiktok | 64 | 17 | Fader |
4Loot And Shoot | 39 | 56 | Closer |
5Ashway Marshy | 50 | 63 | Closer |
6Bluejig Bobby | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 460m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (460m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 460m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ashway Jessie | — | 0.633 |
| 3 | Hawkfield Tiktok | — | 0.632 |
| 4 | Loot And Shoot | 0.633 | 0.632 |
| 5 | Ashway Marshy | — | 0.626 |
| 6 | Bluejig Bobby | — | 0.630 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.