| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Crokers Heidib 1y 5 | J A Danahar — 18% R332 W61 P189 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 56 | 68 (2) | 55 (3) | 47 (4) | 31 (6) | 69 (1) | 50 (2) | 51 (2) | 49 (2) | 34 (5) | 21 (4) | 5 | 32 | 34 | 26 | 49 | 43 | 1 | 4/5F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Missourib 3y 6 | J A Danahar — 18% R332 W61 P189 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 44 | 32 (6) | 45 (5) | 34 (5) | 37 (6) | 30 (4) | 44 (4) | 34 (5) | 38 (6) | 61 (2) | 65 (2) | 24 | 22 | 20 | 11 | 40 | 43 | 2 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Hawkfield Ellieb 2y 16 | D S Davy — 21% R435 W93 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 48 | 55 (2) | 49 (4) | 45 (4) | 46 (4) | 40 (5) | 51 (3) | 21 (3) | 55 (2) | 48 (4) | 18 (4) | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 47 | 32 | 3 | 14/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Rolo Buttonsb 2yN/R 15 | S R Pilgrim — 11% R56 W6 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 46 | 46 (5) | 69 (1) | 26 (6) | 54 (2) | 53 (4) | 33 (5) | 52 (3) | 66 (1) | 33 (4) | 15 (4) | 19 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 47 | 33 | - | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Confey Sileb 4y 16 | D S Davy — 21% R435 W93 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 44 | 46 (3) | 70 (1) | 53 (3) | 39 (5) | 37 (4) | 43 (3) | 55 (2) | 46 (2) | 50 (3) | 36 (6) | 28 | 29 | 35 | 31 | 49 | 48 | 4 | 11/10 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crokers Heidi | 29.21 | 29.67 | 29.29 | 56 | +0.08 | Front-runner, 2nd best trap | |
| 2 | Missouri | 28.89 | 30.00 | 29.49 | 51 | +0.60 | 0 wins from 10 C&D | |
| 3 | Hawkfield Ellie | 29.46 | 29.81 | 29.58 | 45 | +0.12 | Best trainer, weak trap | |
| 4 | Rolo Buttons | 29.24 | 29.97 | 29.93 | 40 | +0.69 | 2 wins from 10 C&D | |
| 5 | Confey Sile | 29.19 | 29.77 | 29.19 | 56 | 0.00 | Won last time, best trap |
Back to 460m on Valley's tight, short-run-to-the-first-bend circuit, where early position counts for plenty even at the standard trip. At A6 grade, trap 5 has been the best box at just over 22%, with trap 2 the weakest at 16.2% — a fairly flat spread compared to some grades here. The model's top pick does its job reasonably well at this level, winning 26%, and the fastest recorded time wins nearly as often. Confey Sile arrives fresh off a win from the same box she's drawn tonight, matching the fastest recorded time in the field, and looks the one to beat. Crokers Heidi, drawn just inside her, likes to get on with things from the front and could make this test her honestly if Sile is slow away.
Won last time out from this exact box, recording her best time of the campaign in the process, and shares the fastest recorded time in this field. Trap 5 has been the best-performing draw at this grade, and she finishes her races off strongly, which is a handy trait if the pace up front goes on too hard. Her trainer's win rate is among the best in this field too. The combination of pace, draw and a recent win makes her the one to beat.
Matches the fastest recorded time in the field and likes to be on the pace from the gates, which suits a track where the first bend comes up quickly. Trap 1 has been the second-best box at this grade, and although her recent form has been a touch inconsistent — a below-par run three starts back sandwiched between better efforts — the raw pace and front-running style make her a real threat if she breaks well. The main danger to the selection.
Without a course and distance win from ten attempts at this track and trip, and drawn in the weakest box at this grade. Her recent runs have been modest, and there's little in the profile to suggest she troubles the pace-setters here. Hard to fancy from this draw against sharper rivals.
Trains from the yard with the best win rate in this field, which is always worth noting, but she's the type who likes to finish races off rather than lead them, and that's a harder way to win on Valley's tight bends. Her recorded times are the slowest of the leading group and trap 3 hasn't been a strong box at this grade. Others have stronger claims tonight.
Owns a couple of course and distance wins from ten starts here, which counts in her favour, but she's the slowest recorded dog in this field and her most recent run was her weakest of the campaign. Trap 4 hasn't produced many winners at this grade either. Needs plenty to go right to feature.
Key insight: Trap 5 edges it as the best box at A6 grade (22.1% from 172 runs), trap 2 the weakest (16.2%). The model's top-rated dog performs solidly at this grade, winning 26.3%.
T1:21.2% T2:16.2% T3:16.7% T4:16.3% T5:22.1% T6:20.7%
964 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Crokers Heidi | 55 | 50 | Front Runner |
2Missouri | 50 | 46 | All-Rounder |
3Hawkfield Ellie | 45 | 62 | Closer |
4Rolo Buttons | 51 | 44 | All-Rounder |
5Confey Sile | 36 | 76 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 460m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (460m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 460m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crokers Heidi | 0.648 | 0.644 |
| 2 | Missouri | — | 0.651 |
| 3 | Hawkfield Ellie | 0.660 | 0.648 |
| 5 | Confey Sile | — | 0.648 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.