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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Pippy Longsocksb 3y 5 | J B Thompson — 18% R535 W97 P307 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 31 (2) | 22 (5) | 31 (2) | 26 (3) | 23 (5) | 30 (2) | 24 (5) | 32 (2) | 37 (1) | 36 (1) | 33 | 33 | 40 | 38 | 28 | 45 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Pronto Be Slickd 1y 4 | N J Hunt — 18% R346 W64 P185 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 22 (6) | 33 (1) | 22 (5) | 22 (4) | 21 (4) | 23 (2) | 13 (6) | 20 (4) | 32 (1) | - | 18 | 25 | 10 | 23 | 24 | 38 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Magical Be Luckyd 1y 22 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 38 (4) | 41 (4) | 26 (6) | 29 (5) | 49 (3) | 34 (5) | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | 36 | 6 | 3 | 7/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Derrymoyle Blueb 2y 8 | C D Marston — 17% R451 W75 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 31 (1) | 32 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 48 | 42 | - | 50 | 31 | 47 | 1 | 6/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Traitors Dunitd 2y 9 | C D Marston — 17% R451 W75 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 23 (5) | 32 (3) | 36 (1) | 23 (5) | 32 (1) | 21 (4) | 29 (2) | 19 (5) | 25 (4) | 32 (2) | 18 | 34 | 27 | 32 | 28 | 42 | 5 | 9/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Pennys Snowb 3y 23 | J M Walton — 16% R222 W36 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | - | 15 (6) | 32 (6) | 70 (6) | 36 (1) | 24 (5) | 26 (4) | 22 (3) | 59 (6) | - | - | 26 | 24 | - | - | 24 | 25 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pippy Longsocks | 15.76 | 16.03 | 15.94 | 55 | +0.18 | 2 wins, 6 places from 10 here | |
| 2 | Pronto Be Slick | 15.76 | 16.24 | 16.20 | 47 | +0.44 | Worst draw on card | |
| 3 | Magical Be Lucky | No form at 264m — all recent runs over 480m. Times not comparable. | — | Drops from 480m | ||||
| 4 | Derrymoyle Blue | 15.94 | 15.95 | 15.96 | 54 | +0.02 | 2 from 2 here | |
| 5 | Traitors Dunit | 15.87 | 16.07 | 16.15 | 50 | +0.28 | 2 wins, 4 places from 10 here | |
| 6 | Pennys Snow | 16.18 | 16.19 | 16.19 | 42 | +0.01 | Drops from 480m | |
Monmore's 264m sprint rewards the inside draw — trap 1 has been the standout box at this D3 grade, winning 24% of the time from a large sample, while trap 2 has been a near write-off at under 12%. It's a race that's usually settled by the first bend rather than the run-in. Pippy Longsocks gets the plum draw and has the fastest recorded time in the field to go with it, and she's shown up regularly over this exact course and distance. Derrymoyle Blue is unbeaten in two starts at this trip and track, though it's a small sample to lean on fully. Traitors Dunit has course-and-distance form too but from a worse box, while Magical Be Lucky and Pennys Snow both step down from 480m company and carry running styles that don't obviously suit a flat-out sprint. Pronto Be Slick is the one to leave out from the graveyard trap.
Drawn in the box that's been the standout at this grade — trap 1 wins 24% of the time here, more than double trap 2's rate. She's the fastest recorded dog in the field and has a strong record over this course and distance, with two wins and six places from ten runs. Finished second last time out and her form has been steady in the mid-to-high twenties, which is competitive at this level. A consistent type who knows this track well.
Unbeaten in two starts over this exact course and distance, winning last time out, though it's a small sample to build a full picture from. The times are near-identical to the top two in the field and the trainer's win rate of 22% is one of the better figures in the race. Only two runs at the trip means the form isn't fully proven yet, but everything so far points the right way.
Finished sixth last time out and drawn in trap 2, which has been a genuine dead box at this grade — barely one in eight winners come from there. Some course-and-distance form in the book with two wins from nine, but the draw works heavily against her and the recent finishing positions haven't been strong.
Drops in from A8-A9 grade over 480m and has no recorded form at this shorter trip. An all-rounder in running style rather than a pure held-up type, which at least leaves the door open, but there's no course-and-distance evidence to lean on and the grade change is a significant unknown in either direction.
Finished fifth last time out but has a fair record over this course and distance with two wins and four places from ten runs. Trainer C D Marston has a useful 22% win rate. Form has been steady without ever threatening to dominate, and the draw in trap 5 is only moderate at this grade.
Drops in from A5 grade at 480m and finishes strongly from off the pace, which is the wrong style entirely for a flat-out 264m sprint where the race is usually decided well before any closing burst can count. Recent form has been modest and three runs at this course and distance have brought no wins or places.
Key insight: Trap 1 is a huge structural edge at this grade — more than double trap 2's win rate from over 1,500 runs. The top-rated dog in the model wins just under 21% here, close to the field baseline, so the draw is doing more work than the ratings.
T1:24.0% T2:11.9% T3:20.0% T4:14.9% T5:16.6% T6:16.7%
1,528 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 264m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (264m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pippy Longsocks | 0.607 | — |
| 2 | Pronto Be Slick | 0.615 | — |
| 3 | Magical Be Lucky | — | 0.619 |
| 4 | Derrymoyle Blue | 0.604 | — |
| 5 | Traitors Dunit | 0.609 | — |
| 6 | Pennys Snow | 0.619 | 0.612 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.