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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Aero Neonpulseb 1y 4 | R Taberner — 18% R742 W134 P412 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 32 (2) | 29 (3) | 25 (5) | 25 (5) | 19 (6) | 34 (6) | 61 (2) | 45 (5) | 47 (6) | 81 (1) | 37 | 35 | - | - | 25 | 36 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Newinn Rockyd 1y 16 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R570 W110 P316 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 32 (2) | 51 (3) | 45 (2) | 40 (5) | 45 (2) | 31 (6) | 36 (6) | - | - | - | 11 | 22 | 18 | 18 | 32 | 39 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Suave Scarletb 2y 4 | P A Curtin — 16% R281 W46 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 31 (3) | 32 (2) | 37 (2) | 34 (2) | 31 (4) | 30 (4) | 27 (6) | 30 (4) | 42 (5) | - | 37 | 38 | 45 | 39 | 33 | 46 | 2 | 1/1F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Bonita Moonb 2y 24 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 29 (4) | 33 (5) | 64 (6) | 64 (4) | 59 (4) | 57 (5) | 80 (4) | 77 (2) | 72 (3) | - | 9 | - | - | - | 58 | 4 | 4 | 16/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Valid Signatured 2y 18 | C D Marston — 17% R451 W75 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 32 (1) | 26 (2) | 43 (6) | 19 (5) | 27 (4) | 24 (5) | 19 (6) | 22 (5) | 20 (5) | 20 (5) | 18 | 28 | 25 | 29 | 25 | 35 | 6 | 16/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Winterfield Riod 2y 16 | C Jones — 16% R255 W41 P129 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 29 (3) | 19 (6) | 28 (5) | 31 (5) | 36 (3) | 42 (1) | 30 (4) | 34 (3) | 32 (3) | 28 (6) | 48 | 28 | 20 | 13 | 30 | 39 | 5 | 10/3 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aero Neonpulse | 15.90 | 16.05 | 15.90 | 44 | 0.00 | Trainer on 32% | |
| 2 | Newinn Rocky | 15.79 | 15.79 | 15.79 | 52 | 0.00 | Only 1 run here | |
| 3 | Suave Scarlet | 15.59 | 15.88 | 15.80 | 53 | +0.21 | 1 win, 4 places from 10 here | |
| 4 | Bonita Moon | No form at 264m — all recent runs over 480m at much higher grade. Times not comparable. | — | Drops from 480m, class edge | ||||
| 5 | Valid Signature | 15.80 | 16.21 | 15.80 | 43 | 0.00 | Won LTO at D4 | |
| 6 | Winterfield Rio | 15.61 | 15.85 | 16.17 | 47 | +0.56 | 1 win, 1 place from 10 here | |
Monmore's 264m sprint is all about the inside draw — trap 1 has won 24% of races at this D3 grade, well clear of the rest of the field, and it's a race usually shaped by the first bend rather than the run-in. Suave Scarlet doesn't have the very best draw but has been the most consistent dog in the race over this course and distance, with a place or better in five of her last ten runs here. The big complication is Bonita Moon, who drops in from much stronger company at 480m and is working off performance figures miles clear of everything else in this field — the concern is she's never raced this short before and the suitability figures reflect a total unknown at the trip. Aero Neonpulse has the best trainer figures and the plum draw but her own course-and-distance record doesn't back it up. Winterfield Rio and Valid Signature both have workable course-and-distance form to fall back on.
The most consistent dog in the race over this course and distance — a win and four places from ten runs is a strong return at this level. Finished second last time out and form has been steady in the high twenties to mid thirties. Trap 3 is the second-best box in this sample and she carries the fastest recorded time in the field. The model signals lean her way too.
Drops in from far stronger company at A4-A8 grade over 480m and has been running some big figures there recently, well clear of anything else in this race on raw ability. That's a huge class edge on paper, but she's never raced this short before and the suitability figures are a total blank as a result. Fast away and tends to fade late, which at this short trip may not have time to matter, but the total lack of course-and-distance evidence is the genuine risk here.
Drawn in the box that's dominant at this grade and trainer R Taberner has the best win rate in the race at 32%. But four runs over this course and distance have brought no wins or places, and the recent form has been modest in the mid-twenties. Third last time out. The draw and the trainer are the main appeal here rather than the individual record.
Finished second last time out over this course and distance and holds the fastest recorded time in the field, but only has a single run logged here so it's a thin sample to lean on. Finishes strongly from off the pace, which can work at this trip if the pace up front is strong enough. Drawn in the weakest box at this grade, though, which is a real drag on her chances.
Won last time out, albeit at the grade below, and steps up to D3 today. Nine runs over this course and distance have brought a win and two places, a fair record. Form has bounced around without a clear pattern, but the recent win shows she's capable at this level.
Finished sixth last time out but has a fair course-and-distance record with a win and a place from ten runs. Trainer C Jones has a useful 26% win rate. Form has been steady around the high twenties to mid thirties without threatening to dominate.
Key insight: Trap 1 is the dominant box in this sample from over 1,500 runs, but trap 3 is a fair second string at 20%, and several of the model signals converge on the trap 3 runner in this race.
T1:24.0% T2:11.9% T3:20.0% T4:14.9% T5:16.6% T6:16.7%
1,528 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 264m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (264m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 275m | 450m | 480m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aero Neonpulse | 0.606 | — | — | 0.613 | 0.602 |
| 2 | Newinn Rocky | 0.598 | — | — | 0.618 | — |
| 3 | Suave Scarlet | 0.601 | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Bonita Moon | 0.601 | — | 0.614 | 0.630 | — |
| 5 | Valid Signature | 0.614 | 0.657 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Winterfield Rio | 0.601 | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.