| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Dhustone Nitab 1y 6 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R317 W43 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 48 | 30 (5) | 25 (5) | 44 (2) | 37 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 | 21 | 20 | 18 | 33 | 42 | 3 | 9/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Freyas Fancyb 2y 18 | P A Curtin — 16% R281 W46 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 47 (1) | 29 (1) | 20 (6) | 22 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 23 | - | - | 24 | 13 | 1 | 8/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Aero Annoyb 1y | R Taberner — 18% R742 W134 P412 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | 3 | 17 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | - | 10 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Cazzers Margob 2y 16 | C D Marston — 17% R451 W75 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 61 | 29 (5) | 36 (2) | 40 (2) | 37 (2) | 38 (3) | 30 (1) | 21 (6) | 34 (3) | 29 (4) | 24 (5) | 24 | 22 | 22 | 26 | 34 | 43 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Suave Lilyb 2y 27 | P A Curtin — 16% R281 W46 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 49 | 39 (3) | 68 (4) | 94 (1) | 51 (1) | 40 (3) | 39 (3) | 42 (3) | 40 (4) | 88 (1) | 31 (5) | 9 | 26 | 19 | 20 | 58 | 45 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Kurious Georged 1y 5 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 50 | 31 (4) | 39 (2) | 32 (4) | 43 (3) | 30 (5) | 45 (2) | 32 (1) | 24 (3) | 31 (1) | 26 (3) | 27 | 40 | 16 | 20 | 38 | 47 | 2 | 6/5F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dhustone Nita | 29.69 | 29.90 | 29.98 | 46 | +0.29 | Modest form | |
| 2 | Freyas Fancy | No form at 480m — recent runs all over 264m. Times not comparable. | — | Steps up from 264m sprint | ||||
| 3 | Aero Annoy | Essentially no recorded form data — treat as a blank. | — | No usable form | ||||
| 4 | Cazzers Margo | 29.62 | 30.03 | 29.81 | 47 | +0.19 | 0 wins, 3 places from 9 here | |
| 5 | Suave Lily | 29.46 | 29.65 | 29.64 | 60 | +0.18 | Model pick, big class edge | |
| 6 | Kurious George | 29.71 | 29.84 | 29.75 | 50 | +0.04 | Steps down from A9 | |
Monmore's 480m plays fair with only a modest trap 1 edge in this A10 grade, and the long run to the first bend means the closers get every chance. This race is really about one dog — Suave Lily arrives with performance figures streets ahead of the rest of this field and the fastest recorded time in the race to match, even though her recent starts have been over a much longer marathon trip. Kurious George is the most solid and consistent of the rest, stepping down slightly in grade with a fair recent record. Cazzers Margo has been knocking on the door without winning. Aero Annoy is a near-total blank with no usable form data, and Freyas Fancy is jumping up sharply from a 264m sprint with nothing to suggest she's suited to nearly double the trip. Dhustone Nita rounds out the field without a standout claim.
Carries performance figures well clear of anything else in this field, and the fastest recorded time in the race to go with it. Her recent starts have come over a much longer marathon trip, so there's a genuine question over how that translates back down to 480m, and her running style data looks a little inconsistent as a result. But she does have course-and-distance form in the book — a win and a place from seven runs — and the raw quality gap here is substantial enough to look past the running-style noise.
Steps down slightly from A9 grade and was second last time out, with form that's been the most consistent in this field outside of the standout. Five runs over this course and distance have brought two places. A balanced runner without a specific pace weakness, which makes him a fair each-way threat if the star name doesn't fire.
Draws the best box at this grade but the form itself has been modest, fifth last time out and figures stuck in the low-to-mid thirties. Four runs over this course and distance have brought two places but no wins. A balanced runner without a standout edge.
Won last time out but that was at a much easier grade over a far shorter 264m sprint, and there's no course-and-distance evidence at all to say how she'll handle nearly double the trip. Limited experience overall with just three recorded runs. A genuine leap into the unknown despite the recent win.
Essentially a blank on the form book, with no usable recent data to assess. Trainer R Taberner has a strong 32% win rate, which is the only real positive to point to. Impossible to make a confident case either way given the total lack of information.
Been knocking on the door without winning, second last time out and with three places from nine runs over this course and distance but no wins in that sample. Trainer C D Marston has a fair 22% win rate. Consistent without ever quite getting over the line.
Key insight: The trap spread is fairly flat at this grade, with trap 1 holding only a modest edge — the individual dog's ability matters more here than the draw, and tonight one dog stands out clearly on raw numbers.
T1:21.3% T2:18.5% T3:18.6% T4:16.4% T5:15.6% T6:15.8%
1,923 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Dhustone Nita | 51 | 48 | All-Rounder |
2Freyas Fancy | — | — | No data |
3Aero Annoy | 1 | — | No data |
4Cazzers Margo | 51 | 36 | All-Rounder |
5Suave Lily | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Kurious George | 50 | 52 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | 630m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dhustone Nita | — | 0.623 | — |
| 2 | Freyas Fancy | 0.619 | 0.620 | — |
| 3 | Aero Annoy | — | 0.638 | — |
| 4 | Cazzers Margo | 0.612 | 0.626 | — |
| 5 | Suave Lily | — | 0.619 | 0.620 |
| 6 | Kurious George | 0.606 | 0.623 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.