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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Paradise Skyb 3y 14 | J B Thompson — 18% R535 W97 P307 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 70 (3) | 52 (5) | 89 (1) | 47 (6) | 90 (1) | 100 (1) | 31 (5) | 71 (6) | 58 (3) | - | 57 | 40 | - | 18 | 31 | 37 | 1 | 4/5F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Mon Amisb 2yN/R 6 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R570 W110 P316 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 87 (1) | 40 (2) | 79 (3) | 82 (1) | 47 (1) | 76 (4) | 98 (1) | 41 (2) | 37 (3) | 34 (5) | 60 | 56 | 37 | 40 | 40 | 50 | - | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Drive On Signetd 2y 5 | P A Curtin — 16% R281 W46 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 31 (5) | 47 (1) | 40 (3) | 30 (4) | 36 (3) | 40 (2) | 42 (1) | 41 (1) | 21 (6) | 30 (4) | 18 | 33 | 27 | 37 | 38 | 45 | 3 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Union Piperb 4y 25 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 47 (1) | 37 (3) | 29 (4) | 46 (1) | 47 (1) | 44 (2) | 84 (4) | 90 (2) | 66 (2) | 70 (3) | 47 | 37 | 45 | 35 | 40 | 46 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Wanfourtoekneed 2y 5 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | - | 40 (3) | 27 (6) | 43 (2) | 42 (1) | 31 (4) | 29 (5) | 77 (3) | 79 (3) | 82 (2) | 100 (1) | 56 | 40 | 18 | 30 | 34 | 40 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Carmac Peted 3y 35 | N J Hunt — 18% R346 W64 P185 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 66 (4) | 45 (4) | 47 (5) | 81 (6) | 56 (1) | 60 (3) | 79 (5) | 100 (4) | 51 (1) | - | 27 | 29 | - | - | 62 | 12 | 4 | 20/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paradise Sky | 15.72 | 15.72 | 15.72 | 45 | 0.00 | Drops from OR grade | |
| 2 | Mon Amis | 15.48 | 15.59 | 15.50 | 54 | +0.02 | Model pick | |
| 3 | Drive On Signet | 15.48 | 15.75 | 15.48 | 51 | 0.00 | Won LTO here | |
| 4 | Union Piper | 15.45 | 15.65 | 15.61 | 52 | +0.16 | Best trap tonight | |
| 5 | Wanfourtoeknee | 15.56 | 15.82 | 16.04 | 41 | +0.48 | 2 wins, 4 places from 10 here | |
| 6 | Carmac Pete | No form at 264m — all recent runs over 480m at much higher grade. Times not comparable. | — | Drops from A1/A2 480m | ||||
This D1 264m sprint at Monmore is the top grade on tonight's sprint card, and the trap pattern here is unusual — trap 4 has actually been the best box at this specific grade at nearly 27%, with trap 2 the one to avoid at under 12%. Mon Amis carries the strongest all-round profile in the race and nearly every model signal points her way, with a fine record over this course and distance, even though she sits in the weaker box. Drive On Signet won last time out over this exact course and distance and has the best strike rate of anyone in the field. Union Piper gets the best draw on paper and has a strong course-and-distance record too, fast away but prone to fading — usually less of an issue at this short trip. Carmac Pete arrives with much the biggest raw performance figures of anyone here but from 480m company at a far higher grade, and with no recorded form at all over this course and distance it's a genuine leap into the unknown.
Won last time out, albeit at a much higher grade over 480m, and carries an excellent record over this course and distance — two wins and four places from eight runs. The model signals are strongly united behind her tonight. Her running style is balanced rather than reliant purely on early speed or a late kick, which is a fair fit for a top-grade sprint like this. The one weak spot is the draw, with trap 2 historically the poorest box at this specific grade.
Won last time out over this exact course and distance and has the best strike rate in the field — three wins and four places from ten runs. Form has been steady in the high thirties to low forties. A repeat of last week's winning effort would take plenty of beating, and the draw in trap 3 is a solid one at this grade.
Drops in from open-race grade at this same course and distance, so the drop in class should help, but the performance figures at that level were modest and volatile — swinging from the high nineties down to the forties. Three runs over this course and distance have brought a win and a place, a fair if small sample. Third last time out.
Draws the best-performing box at this grade — nearly 27% of winners have come from trap 4 in this sample. A strong course-and-distance record too with two wins and three places from six runs. Very fast away but tends to fade late, though at this short trip that's usually less of a handicap than at longer distances. Third last time out.
Finished sixth last time out but has a decent record over this course and distance with two wins and four places from ten runs. Form has been steady around the high twenties to low forties without a clear standout figure recently.
Carries by far the biggest raw performance figures in the field, but they all come from A1-A2 grade over 480m — a completely different level and trip. There's no recorded form at all over this course and distance, and the pace data available for him at this trip is patchy at best. The class drop is dramatic but so is the uncertainty over how it translates to a flat-out sprint from a standing start he's not used to.
Key insight: Trap 4 is the strongest box at this specific grade from 389 runs, with trap 6 a near dead draw at under 9%. Trap 2, where tonight's most rounded runner is drawn, has also historically struggled at just 11.6%.
T1:24.2% T2:11.6% T3:22.4% T4:26.9% T5:16.4% T6:8.8%
389 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 264m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (264m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 253m | 264m | 450m | 480m | 575m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paradise Sky | — | 0.591 | — | 0.598 | — |
| 3 | Drive On Signet | — | 0.597 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Union Piper | 0.591 | 0.591 | 0.603 | — | — |
| 5 | Wanfourtoeknee | — | 0.595 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Carmac Pete | — | — | — | 0.608 | 0.628 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.