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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Yama Starb 2y 4 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 27 (2) | 20 (4) | 26 (3) | 19 (5) | 24 (3) | 25 (3) | 23 (4) | 25 (3) | 26 (2) | 20 (6) | 18 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 24 | 40 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Monument Valleyd 1y 1 | C D Marston — 17% R451 W75 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 26 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 26 | 44 | 1 | 2/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Love To Seeb 1y 1 | C D Marston — 17% R451 W75 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 21 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | 21 | 33 | 6 | 9/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Longacres Bigteed 2y 24 | P A Curtin — 16% R281 W46 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 53 (6) | 54 (3) | 38 (2) | 50 (5) | 56 (2) | 22 (3) | 62 (5) | 45 (1) | 45 (3) | - | 46 | 35 | 26 | 15 | 22 | 32 | 2 | 15/8F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Pay On Timeb 3y 15 | J M Walton — 16% R222 W36 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 19 (6) | 17 (5) | 23 (3) | 27 (2) | 20 (5) | 25 (3) | 22 (4) | 26 (2) | 26 (3) | 23 (4) | 16 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 23 | 35 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Ballerina Dancerb 2y 4 | P A Curtin — 16% R281 W46 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 15 (6) | 21 (3) | 21 (3) | 19 (3) | 24 (3) | 15 (6) | 26 (2) | 22 (4) | 27 (2) | 25 (2) | 9 | 17 | 20 | 13 | 20 | 35 | 5 | 25/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yama Star | 16.24 | 16.40 | 16.39 | 53 | +0.15 | 0 wins, 2 places from 10 here | |
| 2 | Winterfield Moo | 16.13 | 16.42 | 17.24 | 41 | +1.11 | 2 wins, 2 places from 10 here | |
| 3 | Love To See | 16.45 | 16.45 | 16.45 | 47 | 0.00 | Only 1 run here | |
| 4 | Longacres Bigtee | 16.28 | 16.28 | 16.28 | 56 | 0.00 | Model pick, drops from 480m | |
| 5 | Pay On Time | 16.12 | 16.31 | 16.89 | 49 | +0.77 | 1 win, 3 places from 10 here | |
| 6 | Ballerina Dancer | 16.19 | 16.47 | 16.68 | 47 | +0.49 | 0 wins, 3 places from 10 here |
This is the bottom grade on tonight's sprint card, and the regulars in the field have been racing each other closely without any of them pulling clear. Longacres Bigtee changes that picture completely — she drops in from A6-A7 grade over 480m, carries the fastest recorded time in the field, and the model consensus is overwhelmingly behind her, even though she has only a single run of recorded history at this course and distance. Fast away and tends to fade late, but at a flat-out 264m dash that fade rarely has time to matter. Winterfield Moo is the pick of the regulars with a decent trainer and a pair of wins in the book. Yama Star has the second-best time on the card and a fair record without ever quite winning. The rest of the field has been treading water at this level.
Drops in dramatically from A6-A7 grade over 480m, where recent figures were regularly in the fifties — a huge class edge over tonight's field, which has been racing at the bottom grade without a standout among them. Carries the fastest recorded time in the race and the model consensus is overwhelmingly in her favour. Very fast away and tends to fade late, but at a flat-out 264m sprint that fade rarely has time to bite. Only a single run of recorded history at this course and distance is the one genuine caveat.
Trainer C Jones has a strong 26% win rate, the best of the regulars in this field. Two wins and two places from ten runs over this course and distance shows she can get the job done at this level, even though she finished last last time out. The kind of dog who can bounce back quickly at this grade.
Second last time out and has the second-fastest recorded time in the field. Ten runs over this course and distance have brought two places but no wins, a pattern of being competitive without converting. Draws the best-performing box at this grade.
Only a single run of recorded history makes this hard to assess with any confidence. Finished fourth last time out. Trainer C D Marston has a fair 22% win rate, which is the main point of interest here given the lack of other data.
Fifth last time out but has a fair course-and-distance record with a win and three places from ten runs. Form has been steady around the low-to-mid twenties without a standout recent peak.
Finished last last time out and ten runs over this course and distance have brought three places but no wins. Consistently in and around the frame without ever converting, and recent form has been modest across the board.
Key insight: The trap spread is fairly flat at the bottom grade, and the top-rated dog in the model performs relatively well here at over 24% — a genuine class or speed edge stands out clearly at this level.
T1:19.7% T2:19.5% T3:16.6% T4:15.4% T5:17.5% T6:17.3%
2,605 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 264m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (264m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yama Star | 0.621 | — |
| 2 | Monument Valley | 0.614 | — |
| 3 | Love To See | 0.623 | — |
| 4 | Longacres Bigtee | 0.617 | 0.613 |
| 5 | Pay On Time | 0.619 | — |
| 6 | Ballerina Dancer | 0.624 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.