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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Vixons Arielb 2y 16 | G A Griffiths — 23% R157 W36 P74 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 57 | 27 (6) | 37 (3) | 31 (1) | 27 (6) | 26 (6) | 19 (6) | 49 (2) | 39 (4) | 48 (1) | 31 (1) | 27 | 26 | 17 | 12 | 34 | 46 | 2 | 5/4F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ropewalk Stard 2y 4 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R317 W43 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 48 | 18 (6) | 44 (2) | 31 (3) | 19 (6) | 35 (3) | 27 (3) | 28 (3) | 32 (1) | 27 (3) | 29 (2) | 23 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 42 | 4 | 12/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Swift Styled 1y 4 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R317 W43 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 43 | 36 (5) | 35 (5) | 24 (5) | 34 (3) | 48 (1) | 34 (3) | 40 (3) | 34 (4) | 34 (4) | 39 (4) | 22 | 24 | 28 | 16 | 35 | 46 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Afternoondelightd 1y 16 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 40 | 48 (1) | 34 (3) | 32 (4) | 25 (5) | 30 (6) | 20 (1) | 18 (5) | - | - | - | - | 17 | - | - | 31 | 33 | 5 | 5/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Dunquin Brendand 2y 24 | P A Curtin — 16% R281 W46 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 44 | 29 (5) | 20 (6) | 46 (6) | 54 (4) | 51 (2) | 51 (2) | 49 (4) | 66 (2) | 48 (1) | - | 1 | 23 | - | 18 | 42 | 50 | 1 | 9/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Bang On Kelsieb 3yN/R 17 | N J Hunt — 18% R346 W64 P185 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 60 | 32 (3) | 27 (6) | 24 (6) | 22 (6) | 12 (6) | 27 (6) | 20 (5) | 57 (1) | 34 (6) | 52 (1) | 27 | 25 | 27 | 23 | 32 | 46 | - | - | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vixons Ariel | 29.49 | 29.88 | 30.06 | 51 | +0.57 | Trainer on 30% | |
| 2 | Ropewalk Star | 29.74 | 30.18 | 29.74 | 46 | 0.00 | 0 wins from 6 here | |
| 3 | Swift Style | 29.64 | 29.90 | 29.75 | 53 | +0.11 | Steady C&D form | |
| 4 | Afternoondelight | 30.02 | 30.17 | 30.02 | 38 | 0.00 | Slowest in field | |
| 5 | Dunquin Brendan | 29.31 | 29.62 | 30.12 | 58 | +0.81 | Model pick | |
| 6 | Bang On Kelsie | 29.45 | 29.98 | 29.94 | 52 | +0.49 | 2 wins, 2 places from 8 here |
Monmore's 480m has a fair galloping reputation but there is still a trap edge — trap 1 leads the way in this A10 grade at just over 21%, while the outside boxes lag a little behind. The long run to the first bend here means early pace counts for less than at most tracks, so the closers get a fair look-in provided they're not drawn too wide. Dunquin Brendan comes out well clear of this field on both recent form and raw speed and has been finishing strongly from off the pace all year, so the longer run suits him nicely even from the awkward trap 5 draw. Vixons Ariel is the play if pace matters — she's quick away, sits in the best box on the card, and the yard is among the most reliable at the track. Bang On Kelsie and Swift Style both have solid course-and-distance form to fall back on. Afternoondelight and Ropewalk Star look the two with the least to offer.
Sits clear of this field on both raw speed and recent performance figures, with the fastest recorded time on the card and an average performance mark several points ahead of anything else here. Finishes strongly from off the pace, and with the long run to the first bend at this trip that running style isn't the handicap it would be at a tighter track or shorter distance. Course-and-distance form backs it up too — a win and four places from ten runs is a strong return. The draw in trap 5 isn't the best on paper, but the class gap on show here should be more than enough to cover it.
Drawn in the box that's produced the most winners at this grade and quick to the first bend, which gives her every chance to dictate. Trainer G A Griffiths is in fine form with a 30% win rate, one of the strongest figures in the race. Seven runs over this course and distance have brought a win and two places. Form has been steady in the high twenties to mid thirties without a standout recent peak, but the draw and the yard both work in her favour.
Finished sixth last time out at a much shorter trip and has been winless in six runs over this course and distance. Form has been up and down without ever suggesting she's ready to trouble this field. A fair enough draw but little else to recommend her.
Finishes strongly from off the pace and has a fair record over this course and distance with a win and a place from ten runs. Form has been consistent in the mid-thirties without a clear standout, and the draw in trap 3 is workable at this grade. The kind of dog who could pick up the pieces if the pace up front gets too hot.
Carries the slowest recorded time in the field and tends to fade having shown early pace, which is a tough combination at this trip. Four runs over this course and distance have brought no wins or places, and the suitability figures for trap and class are effectively zero. Little evidence to support a big run here.
Quick to the bend and tends to lead, with a fair course-and-distance record of two wins and two places from eight runs. Finished third last time out and form has been steady around the mid-twenties to low-thirties. The outside draw is workable at this fairer-playing trip even if it isn't the strongest box on the card.
Key insight: Trap 1 holds a modest edge at this grade from nearly 2,000 runs, but the spread across traps is much flatter than at Monmore's sprint trip — this is a fairer test where the dog matters more than the draw.
T1:21.3% T2:18.5% T3:18.6% T4:16.4% T5:15.6% T6:15.8%
1,923 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Vixons Ariel | 59 | 46 | Front Runner |
2Ropewalk Star | 49 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Swift Style | 51 | 64 | Closer |
4Afternoondelight | 34 | 32 | Fader |
5Dunquin Brendan | 49 | 84 | Closer |
6Bang On Kelsie | 56 | 50 | Front Runner |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vixons Ariel | 0.609 | 0.622 |
| 2 | Ropewalk Star | 0.610 | 0.629 |
| 3 | Swift Style | — | 0.623 |
| 4 | Afternoondelight | 0.620 | 0.626 |
| 5 | Dunquin Brendan | — | 0.617 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.