| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ardmayle Topazd 5y 34 | A G Rawlings — 20% R188 W37 P108 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 53 (3) | 57 (2) | 57 (3) | 48 (5) | 65 (2) | 51 (3) | 37 (6) | 61 (2) | 18 (2) | 72 (1) | 41 | 32 | - | - | 18 | 27 | 3 | 11/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Boherdota Flashb 2y 11 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 30 (1) | 27 (1) | 27 (1) | 15 (5) | 17 (4) | 22 (2) | 14 (5) | 20 (2) | 23 (2) | 13 (5) | 35 | 30 | 29 | 55 | 23 | 28 | 4 | 9/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Droopys Glazeb 5y 62 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 51 (6) | 49 (3) | 68 (3) | 61 (2) | 58 (2) | 48 (2) | 52 (4) | 49 (4) | 48 (6) | - | 34 | 29 | - | - | 55 | 12 | 1 | 25/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Mid West Daisyb 4y 27 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 15 (6) | 20 (4) | 18 (5) | 20 (5) | 25 (3) | 30 (1) | 24 (4) | 25 (1) | 18 (4) | 22 (2) | 23 | 28 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 6 | 14/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Hawkfield Beebeeb 3y 15 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 25 (5) | 50 (4) | 22 (4) | 26 (3) | 24 (4) | 66 (1) | 28 (6) | 22 (1) | 34 (5) | 40 (5) | 35 | 31 | - | 8 | 22 | 21 | 2 | 1/3F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Rollover Lucyb 4y 15 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 22 (5) | 30 (1) | 25 (3) | 24 (3) | 23 (4) | 17 (4) | 27 (2) | 23 (2) | 26 (2) | 20 (3) | 26 | 14 | 14 | 30 | 25 | 26 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hawkfield Beebee | 16.57 | 16.70 | 16.90 | 55 | +0.33 | Best trap, fastest with form | |
| 6 | Rollover Lucy | 16.61 | 16.97 | 16.61 | 53 | 0.00 | 2nd best trap | |
| 2 | Boherdota Flash | 16.60 | 17.23 | 16.60 | 48 | 0.00 | 3 wins from 10 C&D | |
| 4 | Mid West Daisy | 16.65 | 17.01 | 17.10 | 44 | +0.45 | 2 wins from 10 C&D | |
| 1 | Ardmayle Topaz | No recorded runs at Valley over 260m — recent form all at 460m. Times not comparable. | — | No 260m form | ||||
| 3 | Droopys Glaze | No run recorded in over a year and no form at Valley over 260m. Impossible to assess on current evidence. | — | Over a year off | ||||
Back to the minimum trip, where Valley's tight first bend and short run-in leave no margin for a dog held up for a late run. At D4 grade, trap 5 has been the best box at 22.1%, with trap 1 the weakest at under 16%. The fastest recorded time in the field wins 26% of these races, ahead of the model's own top pick at 23%. Two runners tonight, Ardmayle Topaz and Droopys Glaze, arrive with no recorded form at this track and trip — Droopys Glaze in particular hasn't raced in over a year, which makes her essentially impossible to assess on current evidence. Hawkfield Beebee gets the best draw and the fastest recorded time among those with proven figures, and looks the one to beat if she settles into the sprint quickly enough.
Gets the best draw at this grade and carries the fastest recorded time among the runners with proven form. She's only recently dropped down from 460m racing to try this minimum trip, so her course and distance experience here is still thin, but her raw pace figures and sharp early speed suggest she should take to the sprint well. With the best box and the fastest recorded times of anyone with a genuine form line, she's the pick, even allowing for the limited experience at this exact trip.
The second-best draw at this grade and the strongest all-round recent form of the proven runners, with two course and distance wins from ten starts and consistent figures throughout. Her recorded times are close behind the pace-setter. A good box combined with solid, honest form makes her the main danger to the selection.
Steps down from 460m racing at a higher grade to try this minimum trip for what appears to be the first time at this track, so there's no course and distance evidence to lean on. Her most recent recorded run was over a month ago too, which raises fitness questions. Trap 1 has also been the weakest box at this grade. Too many unknowns to fancy with any confidence.
Won last time out and owns a fair course and distance record with three wins from ten starts. Trap 2 is a middling box at this grade rather than a standout, and her recorded times sit behind the fastest in the field. A each-way threat given the recent win, without the outright pace to be the pick.
Her last recorded run was well over a year ago, so this is effectively a dog returning from a lengthy break, and there's no course and distance form at this track and trip to fall back on either. Whatever ability she once showed at a higher grade over the longer trip is impossible to carry forward with any confidence given the gap. One to watch with real caution rather than back.
Steady if unremarkable form with two course and distance wins from ten starts, and her recorded times are competitive without leading the field. Trap 4 is a fair box at this grade. A solid each-way inclusion in a race with question marks over several of her rivals.
Key insight: Trap 5 is the best box at D4 grade, winning 22.1% from 375 runs. The fastest recorded time in the field wins 25.8%, ahead of the model's top pick at 23.4%.
T1:15.7% T2:17.3% T3:16.7% T4:17.2% T5:22.1% T6:20.9%
2,299 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 260m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (260m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 460m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ardmayle Topaz | — | 0.640 |
| 2 | Boherdota Flash | 0.663 | — |
| 3 | Droopys Glaze | — | 0.643 |
| 4 | Mid West Daisy | 0.655 | — |
| 5 | Hawkfield Beebee | 0.642 | 0.649 |
| 6 | Rollover Lucy | 0.653 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.