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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Southfield Kateb 2y 17 | J A Danahar — 18% R332 W61 P189 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 52 | 55 (3) | 66 (2) | 63 (3) | 57 (3) | 38 (4) | 28 (6) | 54 (4) | 50 (4) | 41 (5) | 73 (1) | 17 | 22 | 34 | 18 | 53 | 35 | 3 | 9/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Imgoodiamd 3y 26 | J A Danahar — 18% R332 W61 P189 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 43 | 35 (4) | 53 (3) | 74 (1) | 64 (2) | 66 (1) | 38 (5) | 50 (3) | 52 (4) | 56 (2) | 55 (3) | 13 | 25 | 26 | 36 | 59 | 36 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Trump Worldd 2y 8 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 50 | 50 (4) | 62 (2) | 42 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | 20 | - | 16 | 53 | 40 | 1 | 7/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Fagans Bam Bamb 3y 5 | D S Davy — 21% R435 W93 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 54 | 26 (3) | 40 (5) | 72 (1) | 60 (2) | 53 (4) | 45 (5) | 44 (5) | 16 (4) | 26 (3) | 48 (4) | 33 | 31 | 42 | 31 | 51 | 44 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Beechview Baled 3y 26 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 43 | 41 (5) | 67 (4) | 53 (2) | 48 (4) | 56 (4) | 54 (3) | 50 (4) | 58 (3) | 43 (4) | 69 (2) | 26 | 27 | 20 | 21 | 56 | 39 | 5 | 10/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Kansas City Lifeb 4y 18 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 52 | 56 (3) | 52 (4) | 58 (4) | 48 (5) | 75 (1) | 63 (3) | 54 (3) | 49 (3) | 60 (2) | 60 (3) | 33 | 34 | 18 | 22 | 58 | 48 | 2 | 9/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kansas City Life | 28.78 | 29.20 | 28.99 | 59 | +0.21 | Fastest, strongest recent form | |
| 3 | Trump World | 28.99 | 29.28 | 28.99 | 55 | 0.00 | Only 2 races, consistent | |
| 5 | Beechview Bale | 28.79 | 29.35 | 29.48 | 49 | +0.69 | Dropping from Open Race | |
| 4 | Fagans Bam Bam | 28.60 | 29.35 | 29.79 | 47 | +1.19 | Best trainer, weak trap | |
| 2 | Imgoodiam | 28.95 | 29.46 | 29.42 | 45 | +0.47 | 3 wins from 10 C&D, worst trap | |
| 1 | Southfield Kate | 29.19 | 29.50 | 29.24 | 43 | +0.05 | Best trap |
The standard 460m trip at Valley continues to reward dogs that can get to the first bend cleanly rather than those who prefer to be held up. At A5 grade, trap 1 has been the strongest box at 24%, with trap 2 the weakest at under 14%. This is a grade where the model's own top pick performs well, winning nearly 29% of the time — one of the stronger signals seen on the card today — and the fastest recorded time in the field also does well at 27%. Kansas City Life combines the fastest recorded time with the strongest recent form in the field, while Beechview Bale, fresh from Open Race company over a much longer trip, gets a good box and could be dangerous if that class edge shows.
The fastest dog in this field on recorded times and carrying the strongest recent form of the group, with a peak effort well clear of this level a few starts back. He's been racing consistently at this grade and trip, with a couple of course and distance wins already banked. Trap 6 is a fair rather than outstanding box, but with the best combination of raw pace and recent form in the race, he's the clear pick.
Steps down from Open Race company over a considerably longer trip, so there's a real question about how the class translates back to this grade and distance, but she's shown she can perform at a level well above tonight's field. Trap 5 has been a good box at this grade, and she finishes her races strongly, which is a useful trait if the pace goes on hard up front. The biggest danger to the selection if that class edge carries over.
Gets the best draw at this grade — trap 1 has produced almost a quarter of the winners here. Her recorded times are the slowest of the leading group, though, and her recent form has been a touch up and down. The box alone keeps her interesting, but she needs the pace favour of the inside draw to compensate for a lack of raw speed elsewhere in her profile.
Owns a fair course and distance record with three wins from ten starts, showing she handles this track and trip well enough. The problem is trap 2, statistically the weakest box at this grade by some distance. She finishes races off reasonably well, which could help if she gets any sort of run, but the draw is a serious hurdle.
Only two races recorded so far, so this is still a dog finding her feet, but both outings have been notably consistent and she shares the fastest recent time in this field. One or two runs isn't enough to call her a proven quantity, but the early signs are promising and a fair box in trap 3 gives her a fair chance to add to that small sample.
Trains from the yard with the best win rate in this field and has a couple of course and distance wins to her name. Trap 4 has been a weak box at this grade, though, and her most recent run was well below her season's best. The trainer form keeps her interesting but the draw and recent dip in form count against her.
Key insight: Trap 1 is the strongest box at A5 grade, winning 24.0% from 175 runs, with trap 2 the weakest at 13.6%. The model's top-rated dog performs unusually well here, winning 28.8% — one of the stronger signals across today's card.
T1:24.0% T2:13.6% T3:18.7% T4:14.7% T5:21.4% T6:19.1%
1,129 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Southfield Kate | 53 | 36 | All-Rounder |
2Imgoodiam | 44 | 55 | Closer |
3Trump World | 51 | 46 | All-Rounder |
4Fagans Bam Bam | 52 | 38 | All-Rounder |
5Beechview Bale | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Kansas City Life | 49 | 54 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 460m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (460m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 460m | 645m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southfield Kate | — | 0.642 | — |
| 2 | Imgoodiam | — | 0.644 | — |
| 3 | Trump World | — | 0.638 | — |
| 4 | Fagans Bam Bam | 0.644 | 0.640 | — |
| 5 | Beechview Bale | — | 0.638 | 0.653 |
| 6 | Kansas City Life | — | 0.636 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.