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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Droopys Nijinskyd 4y 17 | D S Davy — 21% R435 W93 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 32 (2) | 30 (3) | 33 (2) | 77 (3) | 59 (3) | 75 (2) | 70 (3) | 91 (1) | 92 (1) | 88 (1) | 59 | 53 | 11 | 14 | 31 | 29 | 3 | 9/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Crokers Venusb 2y 7 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 28 (6) | 33 (2) | 82 (2) | 33 (3) | 34 (4) | 28 (4) | 35 (2) | 37 (1) | 32 (3) | 26 (5) | 37 | 31 | 6 | 37 | 33 | 34 | 4 | 16/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Crokers Sund 2y 5 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 33 (3) | 38 (1) | 29 (4) | 34 (3) | 27 (5) | 33 (4) | 34 (3) | 43 (1) | 27 (5) | - | 33 | 28 | 15 | 31 | 33 | 33 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Tri Bellab 2y 7 | D S Davy — 21% R435 W93 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 44 (1) | 73 (4) | 100 (1) | 26 (5) | 37 (2) | 34 (3) | 26 (5) | 44 (1) | 30 (4) | - | 48 | 51 | 24 | 31 | 32 | 36 | 2 | 2/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Swift Kimberelyb 2y 9 | A G Rawlings — 20% R188 W37 P108 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 39 (1) | 34 (2) | 43 (1) | 37 (1) | 32 (2) | 22 (4) | 26 (4) | 30 (2) | 27 (4) | 35 (1) | 43 | 66 | 38 | 72 | 34 | 40 | 1 | 11/10F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Swift Kimberely | 16.13 | 16.26 | 16.13 | 55 | 0.00 | Best trap, 3 wins from 5 C&D | |
| 3 | Crokers Sun | 16.16 | 16.40 | 16.20 | 51 | +0.04 | 2 wins from 10 C&D | |
| 2 | Crokers Venus | 16.24 | 16.41 | 16.25 | 49 | +0.01 | Weakest trap | |
| 1 | Droopys Nijinsky | 16.37 | 16.40 | 16.37 | 45 | 0.00 | Dropping from A2 | |
| 5 | Tri Bella | 16.06 | 16.46 | 16.66 | 44 | +0.60 | Dropping from OR grade |
Another sprint on Valley's tight little circuit, where the box you're drawn in and the pace you carry to the first bend matter far more than a dog held up for a late run. At D2 grade, trap 6 has been a standout box here, winning more than one in four — a big edge over every other trap, with trap 5 the weakest at under 16%. The fastest recorded time in the field wins nearly 30% of these races, well clear of the model's own top pick at 26%. Swift Kimberely has the pace, the draw and the recent course and distance form to make this her race to lose, while Tri Bella arrives fresh from a big performance at a much higher level and could be dangerous if the outside draw doesn't count against her too much.
The fastest dog in the field on recorded times and drawn in trap 6, which has been a standout box at this grade, winning more than one in four. She also boasts the strongest course and distance record here, with three wins from five starts at this exact track and trip, and won her most recent outing in this grade. With the best combination of pace, draw and proven course form in the race, she's a confident selection tonight.
The most interesting form line in the race — her second-last outing came in Open Race company, the highest grade there is, where she recorded the best rating of anyone in this field by some distance. Dropping to D2 represents a substantial class cut and she owns the fastest recorded time here too. The concern is trap 5, the weakest box at this grade by a clear margin, and her most recent run was her slowest of the campaign. If the class edge is real she can go close regardless of the draw, which makes her the biggest danger to the selection.
Dropping down from A2 grade racing, well above this level, but the recent D-grade form since returning hasn't matched the earlier peak — a 30-rated effort last time out is a fair way off what she showed in the higher company. Trap 1 has been a good box at this grade, winning better than one in five, which keeps her interesting, but she needs to prove the class edge translates before being backed with real confidence.
Solid enough form without ever threatening to win, with one course and distance success from ten starts. Trap 2 has been the weakest box at this grade, though, and her recorded times sit behind the leading pair. Likely to make the frame on a good day but hard to fancy for the win from this draw.
Consistent if unspectacular, with a win last time out and two course and distance victories from ten starts. Trap 3 is a fair box at this grade rather than a stand-out one, and her times sit just behind the pace-setters. A each-way threat who could sneak into the frame if the fancied dogs have any trouble.
Key insight: Trap 6 is a standout box at D2 grade, winning 27.1% from 199 runs — a large edge over every other box, with trap 5 the weakest at 15.6%. The fastest recorded time in the field wins 29.6%.
T1:21.1% T2:16.0% T3:18.4% T4:16.9% T5:15.6% T6:27.1%
1,289 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 260m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (260m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 270m | 460m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Droopys Nijinsky | 0.631 | — | 0.627 |
| 2 | Crokers Venus | 0.632 | — | — |
| 3 | Crokers Sun | 0.632 | — | — |
| 5 | Tri Bella | 0.630 | — | — |
| 6 | Swift Kimberely | 0.625 | 0.613 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.