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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Grovenor Annab 2y 26 | A G Rawlings — 20% R188 W37 P108 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 31 | 56 | 25 (5) | 38 (1) | 28 (6) | 42 (6) | 55 (4) | 72 (2) | 62 (3) | 53 (5) | 52 (4) | 68 (3) | 39 | 31 | - | 17 | 51 | 31 | 5 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ashway Mistyb 1y 1 | A G Rawlings — 20% R188 W37 P108 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 45 | 56 (3) | 45 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | 45 | 33 | 2 | 9/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Mongys Sydneyd 2y 24 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 44 | 62 (3) | 100 (1) | 57 (3) | 75 (1) | 47 (4) | 38 (5) | 74 (1) | 63 (2) | 24 (4) | 22 (4) | 28 | 28 | - | 31 | 68 | 33 | 4 | 16/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Sheep Dip Jimd 3y 17 | J A Danahar — 18% R332 W61 P189 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 61 | 63 (2) | 76 (1) | 65 (2) | 77 (1) | 58 (2) | 75 (1) | 61 (3) | 76 (2) | 72 (1) | 37 (6) | 21 | 37 | 14 | 59 | 67 | 50 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Hawkfield Blitzd 3y 7 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | 54 | 65 (4) | 58 (5) | 86 (1) | 74 (3) | 71 (2) | 80 (1) | 59 (4) | 71 (2) | 59 (4) | 63 (4) | 45 | 44 | 30 | 35 | 69 | 57 | 1 | 1/1F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hawkfield Blitz | 28.50 | 28.91 | 29.03 | 63 | +0.53 | Dropping from A3 | |
| 4 | Sheep Dip Jim | 28.65 | 29.14 | 28.85 | 59 | +0.20 | Won last time | |
| 3 | Mongys Sydney | 28.99 | 29.36 | 29.30 | 42 | +0.31 | Won at Open Race last | |
| 1 | Grovenor Anna | 28.92 | 29.37 | 30.12 | 31 | +1.20 | Dropping back in trip | |
| 2 | Ashway Misty | 29.15 | 29.15 | 29.15 | 47 | 0.00 | One race, no form |
The best-performing box at this A4 grade over 460m at Valley — trap 6, winning better than one in four — isn't occupied tonight, which flattens the draw advantage and turns this into more of a form race than usual on a track where the tight bends usually reward the inside boxes. Trap 3 is the one to avoid at just 13.6%. The model's top pick does a fair job at this grade, winning 23.6%. Hawkfield Blitz carries the fastest recorded time and the strongest overall form of anyone here, stepping down from tougher A3 company, while Sheep Dip Jim, who won last time out with the sharpest first-bend figures in the field, looks the biggest threat if the pace turns into a battle rather than a procession.
Carries the fastest recorded time in the field by a clear margin and has been racing in tougher A3 company recently, with a career-best 86-rated effort a few starts back showing the ceiling she's capable of reaching. Dropping into A4 tonight should represent an easier task than what she's been facing. She tends to finish her races strongly, which can be a tricky way to win on this tight track if she's held up too far back, but the sheer quality gap to this field on recent form means the pace concern is secondary. The one they all have to beat on raw ability.
The most eye-catching form line in the race — her most recent start came in Open Race company over a much longer trip and she won it, the highest level there is. Dropping into A4 over the standard 460m represents a big shift in both grade and distance, which makes her hard to fully trust, but the raw class on show in that last run can't be ignored. Trap 3 has been the weakest box at this grade, adding to the questions, but if that form is anywhere near representative she's the biggest threat to the selection.
Has recently been sprinting over 260m rather than this 460m trip, so this represents a switch back to the longer distance and the form doesn't translate cleanly. She's also the slowest recorded runner in this field by some distance, with her most recent time well off her career best. Hard to have confidence in her finding a home in this company tonight.
Only one race recorded at this level so far, so there's very little to go on beyond a single run. Her time from that outing is respectable without standing out, but one run doesn't tell you much about a dog's true capabilities. Impossible to assess with real confidence.
Won last time out with the sharpest first-bend figures of anyone in this field, and his form has been rock solid throughout his recent A5 campaign — nothing below a 58-rated performance in six starts. Stepping up to A4 looks a fair and natural progression rather than an overreach, and he owns the best course and distance record in the race with four wins from ten. Trap 4 isn't a strong box at this grade, but the level of form makes him a serious player regardless.
Key insight: Trap 6 is a huge outlier at A4 grade, winning 26.1% from 203 runs, but isn't occupied in this race. Trap 3 is the weakest box at 13.6%. The model's top-rated dog wins 23.6% at this grade.
T1:16.5% T2:19.0% T3:13.6% T4:15.2% T5:16.1% T6:26.1%
1,304 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Grovenor Anna | 56 | 30 | Fader |
2Ashway Misty | 45 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Mongys Sydney | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Sheep Dip Jim | 52 | 49 | All-Rounder |
5Hawkfield Blitz | 50 | 63 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 460m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (460m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 460m | 645m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grovenor Anna | 0.632 | 0.638 | — |
| 2 | Ashway Misty | — | 0.639 | — |
| 3 | Mongys Sydney | 0.642 | 0.637 | 0.641 |
| 4 | Sheep Dip Jim | — | 0.632 | — |
| 5 | Hawkfield Blitz | — | 0.628 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.