Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Baggios Dilemmab 3y 14 | J A Danahar — 18% R332 W61 P189 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 38 | 56 (5) | 42 (6) | 50 (5) | 55 (3) | 77 (4) | 81 (4) | 61 (6) | 100 (1) | 87 (1) | 52 (5) | 31 | 17 | - | - | 61 | 35 | 2 | 8/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Bluejig Duked 2y 28 | D S Davy — 21% R435 W93 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 46 | 78 (1) | 42 (5) | 50 (5) | 67 (2) | 63 (4) | 81 (1) | 81 (1) | 56 (5) | 78 (1) | 61 (3) | 41 | 38 | 59 | 31 | 61 | 39 | 5 | 15/8 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Choctawhatated 4y 27 | D S Davy — 21% R435 W93 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 59 | 58 (4) | 72 (2) | 44 (5) | 62 (3) | 69 (2) | 51 (4) | 64 (3) | 58 (3) | 40 (6) | 81 (1) | 30 | 43 | 25 | 27 | 61 | 53 | 4 | 9/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Brave Billyd 3y 14 | J A Danahar — 18% R332 W61 P189 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 46 | 50 (4) | 44 (6) | 68 (3) | 52 (3) | 76 (2) | 82 (1) | 76 (1) | 54 (3) | 57 (4) | 53 (4) | - | 25 | 22 | 25 | 62 | 35 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ashway Joed 2y 28 | A G Rawlings — 20% R188 W37 P108 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 53 | 45 (5) | 71 (3) | 58 (4) | 58 (5) | 54 (6) | 84 (1) | 49 (6) | 56 (4) | 78 (1) | 55 (4) | 27 | 38 | 10 | 18 | 62 | 43 | 1 | 11/8F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Choctawhatate | 28.57 | 29.06 | 28.57 | 59 | 0.00 | Fastest, sharpest early pace | |
| 5 | Ashway Joe | 28.79 | 29.06 | 28.79 | 52 | 0.00 | 2 wins from 10 C&D | |
| 2 | Bluejig Duke | 28.67 | 29.08 | 29.51 | 43 | +0.84 | 3 wins from 10 C&D | |
| 4 | Brave Billy | 28.60 | 29.10 | 29.32 | 46 | +0.72 | 2 wins from 10 C&D | |
| 1 | Baggios Dilemma | 29.01 | 29.23 | 29.01 | 42 | 0.00 | No C&D wins |
A second A4 race over 460m today, and the same trap pattern from earlier applies — trap 6 has been a huge outlier at this grade, winning better than one in four, though it isn't occupied here either. Trap 3 remains the weakest box at just 13.6%. The model's top pick wins 23.6% of the time at this grade. Choctawhatate breaks fastest of this field and likes to get on with the job from the front, which should suit a track where the tight bends punish dogs who are slow away, while Ashway Joe and Bluejig Duke both have the pace and course form to be involved if the leader is caught.
The fastest dog in this field on recorded times, with the sharpest early pace figures too — exactly the profile that suits Valley's tight bends, where getting there first matters enormously. Trap 3 has been the weakest box at this grade statistically, which is the one knock against him, but his pace edge over the rest of this field looks big enough to overcome a modest draw. Placed last time out after setting a searching gallop, and the plain speed figures make him the pick.
Likes to be up with the pace from the boxes, which is a handy trait on this circuit, and his recorded times are close behind the fastest in the field. A couple of course and distance wins from ten starts show he handles this track and trip well enough. If the selection is caught out early, he has the pace profile and proven course form to be the one to pick up the pieces.
Recently ran in a stronger open-graded event which shows some ability, but he's yet to win from four attempts at this exact course and distance and carries the slowest recorded time of this field. Trap 1 hasn't been a strong box at this grade. Hard to fancy against sharper, faster rivals tonight.
Owns a fair course and distance record with three wins from ten starts, and trap 2 has been a solid box at this grade. His most recent time was some way off his best, though, which takes a little shine off things. A reasonable each-way inclusion rather than a confident selection.
A couple of course and distance wins from ten starts shows he handles this track and trip, but his most recent effort finished last and his recorded times sit behind the leading pair tonight. Trap 4 hasn't been a strong box at this grade either. Needs a bounce-back to feature.
Key insight: Trap 3 is the weakest box at A4 grade at 13.6% from 242 runs. The model's top-rated dog wins 23.6% at this grade.
T1:16.5% T2:19.0% T3:13.6% T4:15.2% T5:16.1% T6:26.1%
1,304 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Baggios Dilemma | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Bluejig Duke | 46 | 59 | Closer |
3Choctawhatate | 56 | 46 | Front Runner |
4Brave Billy | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Ashway Joe | 55 | 48 | Front Runner |
Only runs at exactly 460m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (460m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 450m | 460m | 630m | 645m | 650m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baggios Dilemma | 0.598 | 0.635 | 0.615 | 0.632 | 0.638 |
| 2 | Bluejig Duke | — | 0.632 | — | — | — |
| 3 | Choctawhatate | — | 0.633 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Brave Billy | — | 0.633 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Ashway Joe | — | 0.633 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.