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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Dees Ladd 3yN/R 5 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 29 (6) | 25 (2) | 18 (4) | 25 (5) | 22 (3) | 30 (3) | 20 (1) | 22 (5) | - | - | 29 | 25 | 15 | 20 | 24 | 26 | - | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Kippagh Epicb 3y 14 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 25 (2) | 28 (3) | 19 (5) | 26 (3) | 22 (4) | 25 (4) | 28 (3) | 17 (6) | 21 (5) | 22 (3) | 6 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 24 | 20 | 2 | 9/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Not To Worrieb 3y 6 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 22 (4) | 22 (4) | 31 (2) | 16 (5) | 25 (4) | 29 (2) | 27 (2) | 28 (3) | 25 (3) | 31 (1) | - | 29 | 36 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 4 | 9/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Hawkfield Tweenyb 2y 6 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 21 (5) | 28 (4) | 26 (5) | 29 (3) | 21 (5) | 37 (1) | 27 (4) | 23 (5) | 36 (1) | 32 (1) | 31 | 37 | 48 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 1 | 11/8F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Coillbhui Catchyb 3y 7 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 23 (5) | 20 (6) | 26 (3) | 32 (1) | 16 (6) | 22 (4) | 19 (4) | 24 (4) | 20 (4) | 18 (5) | 28 | 40 | 9 | 19 | 23 | 26 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hawkfield Tweeny | 16.34 | 16.64 | 16.79 | 54 | +0.45 | Best trap, dropping from D3 | |
| 3 | Kippagh Epic | 16.38 | 16.74 | 16.68 | 53 | +0.30 | 0 wins, 1 place from 10 | |
| 2 | Dees Lad | 16.51 | 16.84 | 16.51 | 51 | 0.00 | 1 win from 10 C&D | |
| 6 | Coillbhui Catchy | 16.57 | 16.98 | 16.80 | 43 | +0.23 | 1 win from 10 C&D | |
| 4 | Not To Worrie | 16.32 | 16.80 | 17.26 | 44 | +0.94 | Well off best last time |
Another 260m dash on Valley's sharp little circuit, where the first bend usually settles most of the argument. At D4 grade, trap 5 has been the best box at 22.1%, with trap 1 the weakest at under 16% — trap 1 isn't occupied tonight, which removes the biggest structural negative from this field. The fastest recorded time in the field wins 26% of these races. Hawkfield Tweeny steps down from tougher D3 company and gets the best draw, with the fastest recorded time to match, while Kippagh Epic and Dees Lad both have proven course and distance form and could easily play a hand if the pace up front doesn't hold.
Drops down from D3 grade, a notch tougher than tonight's company, and gets the best draw at this grade to go with it — trap 5 has produced more winners than any other box here. She carries the fastest recorded time in the field too, and a solid course and distance record with three wins from ten starts. The combination of a class edge, the best draw, and the fastest times makes her the clear pick.
The second-fastest dog in this field on recorded times, and consistently competitive without quite getting her head in front — one place from ten course and distance starts undersells how close she's been. Trap 3 is a fair box rather than a standout, but the raw pace on show makes her the biggest threat to the selection if she can finally find the extra yard to convert a place into a win.
Recorded his fastest time of the campaign last time out, which is an encouraging sign, and holds a course and distance win from ten starts here. Trap 2 is a middling box at this grade rather than a stand-out one, and his overall form has been fairly workmanlike. A each-way threat given the improving figures.
Owns a fair course and distance record with a win and three places from ten starts, but her most recent run was well off her career-best time, finishing fourth. Trap 4 is a fair box at this grade. Needs to rediscover recent sharpness to be a serious player tonight.
Also steps down from D3 company and has a course and distance win to her name, but her recorded times are the slowest of the leading group tonight. Trap 6 has been a strong box at this grade, which keeps her interesting for a place. Needs the draw to do more of the work than the raw pace figures suggest she can manage alone.
Key insight: Trap 5 is the best box at D4 grade, winning 22.1% from 375 runs. The fastest recorded time in the field wins 25.8%.
T1:15.7% T2:17.3% T3:16.7% T4:17.2% T5:22.1% T6:20.9%
2,299 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 260m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.