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#Lovethedogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Quivers Rolexb 3yN/R 34 | P Rutherford — 18% R331 W59 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 45 | 44 (5) | 50 (4) | 48 (4) | 32 (6) | 63 (2) | 72 (1) | 63 (2) | 67 (1) | 37 (6) | 49 (3) | 35 | 31 | 61 | 30 | 51 | 24 | - | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Alnwick Teenyb 2y 5 | A Harrison — 22% R543 W118 P320 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 51 | 55 (3) | 51 (3) | 34 (6) | 53 (5) | 64 (2) | 68 (1) | 59 (3) | 18 (5) | 35 (1) | 33 (5) | 22 | 29 | 21 | 20 | 52 | 44 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Blackhouse Bobbyd 4y 17 | S Ray — 14% R365 W50 P204 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 54 | 71 (1) | 41 (5) | 46 (4) | 54 (2) | 70 (2) | 53 (4) | 47 (5) | 50 (3) | 53 (4) | 71 (1) | 22 | 25 | 16 | 19 | 52 | 42 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Slaheny Eightyd 4y 22 | J T Edgar — 17% R536 W89 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 43 | 49 (4) | 58 (2) | 50 (3) | 62 (2) | 43 (5) | 37 (6) | 39 (5) | 36 (6) | 44 (5) | 24 (4) | 32 | 35 | 20 | 21 | 49 | 44 | 4 | 2/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Alove Supremeb 2y 7 | J J Fenwick — 18% R498 W92 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 53 | 48 (3) | 36 (6) | 52 (3) | 67 (1) | 50 (4) | 55 (3) | 45 (5) | 67 (1) | 42 (5) | 46 (4) | 31 | 31 | 38 | 23 | 50 | 46 | 5 | 15/8F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Alnwick Barneyd 4y 18 | A Harrison — 22% R543 W118 P320 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 58 | 54 (2) | 53 (4) | 52 (3) | 58 (3) | 71 (1) | 44 (5) | 43 (5) | 55 (3) | 63 (2) | 61 (3) | 28 | 29 | 15 | 25 | 55 | 47 | 1 | 5/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quivers Rolex | 29.39 | 29.83 | 30.14 | 44 | +0.75 | 2-month layoff | |
| 2 | Alnwick Teeny | 29.48 | 29.79 | 29.71 | 50 | +0.23 | Steady form | |
| 3 | Blackhouse Bobby | 29.53 | 29.76 | 29.85 | 47 | +0.32 | Fades late | |
| 4 | Slaheny Eighty | 29.43 | 29.78 | 29.72 | 50 | +0.29 | Strong finisher | |
| 5 | Alove Supreme | 29.58 | 29.82 | 29.59 | 49 | +0.01 | Best trap, fades late | |
| 6 | Alnwick Barney | 29.42 | 29.70 | 29.69 | 53 | +0.27 | Fastest, weak trap |
The last race of the card and trap 6 has been the clear structural weak point in this grade at Newcastle over 480m, winning under 15% of the time - unhelpful for Alnwick Barney, who carries both the fastest recent times and the best average performance rating in the field but is drawn in exactly that box. It's a genuinely open race behind him, with the edges between the rest fairly tight on raw figures. Slaheny Eighty is the one with a real point of difference in running style - one of the strongest finishing kicks in the field - and she's drawn in a much more workable trap, making her the obvious one to profit if the pace up front folds or the top pick is compromised by his draw.
Carries the fastest recent times and the best average performance rating of anyone in this field, and was runner-up last time out. Races evenly rather than relying purely on gate speed, which should help him cope better with the wide box than a pure leader would. The trap is a real concern though - comfortably the weakest box in this grade at Newcastle - and the form edge over this field isn't as commanding as it might otherwise look. Respect the figures, but this is far from a certainty.
One of the strongest finishing kicks in this field, which should count for plenty down Newcastle's long run to the line, and she's drawn in a workable trap too. Her overall average is the softest of this group, but she's been fourth or better in most of her recent starts and the closing pace gives her a genuine chance if the sprint develops the way it usually does at this trip.
Hasn't raced since the middle of May, a gap of around two months, which makes the recent figures hard to fully trust. The trainer has a strong record, which is worth noting, and the trap is a reasonable one. But the layoff is the overriding concern against fresher opposition.
Steady, consistent form without a real standout figure either way, third last time out. Races evenly rather than showing a clear pace strength. In a tightly-bunched field on ability, she's around the middle of the pack.
Quick enough away but the pattern in his recent form is fast early and fading late, which isn't ideal down this long home straight. Fifth last time out. A reasonable trap but the pace profile works against him in this field.
Lands the best-performing trap in this grade but her recent form shows a tendency to fade once the pace picks up, and her overall figures are modest rather than outstanding. Third last time out. The trap gives her a chance but the pace profile is a concern against the finishers in this field.
Key insight: Trap 6 is the clear weak point in A6 grade at Newcastle over 480m, winning under 15% from 307 runs, and it's where tonight's fastest and best-rated dog is drawn - a genuine conflict between form and draw.
T1:19.2% T2:17.1% T3:19.1% T4:18.6% T5:19.4% T6:15.0%
2,209 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Quivers Rolex | 48 | 54 | All-Rounder |
2Alnwick Teeny | 49 | 47 | All-Rounder |
3Blackhouse Bobby | 58 | 25 | Fader |
4Slaheny Eighty | 38 | 84 | Closer |
5Alove Supreme | 55 | 36 | Fader |
6Alnwick Barney | 51 | 53 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Alnwick Teeny | 0.613 | 0.621 |
| 3 | Blackhouse Bobby | — | 0.618 |
| 4 | Slaheny Eighty | 0.618 | 0.620 |
| 5 | Alove Supreme | — | 0.621 |
| 6 | Alnwick Barney | — | 0.619 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.