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Arena Racing Company Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Blackhouse Loveb 2y 4 | S Ray — 14% R365 W50 P204 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 50 | 50 (4) | 63 (3) | 69 (2) | 44 (5) | 76 (1) | 59 (4) | 50 (5) | 56 (5) | 60 (3) | 57 (4) | 48 | 29 | 38 | 26 | 58 | 45 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Blackhouseharietb 2y 5 | S Ray — 14% R365 W50 P204 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 36 | 58 (4) | 64 (2) | 63 (2) | 39 (5) | 73 (1) | 47 (4) | 71 (1) | 67 (1) | 61 (2) | 46 (4) | 21 | 34 | 29 | 51 | 60 | 49 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Alnwick Meganb 2y 7 | A Harrison — 22% R543 W118 P320 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 57 | 54 (5) | 73 (1) | 50 (4) | 55 (4) | 65 (2) | 61 (2) | 47 (5) | 61 (3) | 77 (1) | 60 (3) | 44 | 33 | 27 | 43 | 61 | 54 | 3 | 15/8F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Alnwick Hawkd 3y 27 | A Harrison — 22% R543 W118 P320 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 47 | 76 (1) | 49 (4) | 54 (3) | 53 (5) | 79 (1) | 56 (4) | 57 (4) | 65 (2) | 59 (3) | 62 (4) | 26 | 37 | - | 18 | 58 | 23 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Crokers Mimib 2y 6 | J T Edgar — 17% R536 W89 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 55 | 38 (5) | 73 (1) | 52 (4) | 62 (2) | 42 (5) | 56 (5) | 49 (5) | 47 (6) | 62 (3) | 78 (1) | 34 | 28 | 14 | 27 | 54 | 44 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blackhouse Love | 29.37 | 29.57 | 29.87 | 46 | +0.50 | Best trap, modest pace | |
| 2 | Blackhousehariet | 29.32 | 29.68 | 29.38 | 52 | +0.06 | Placed last time out | |
| 3 | Alnwick Megan | 29.20 | 29.41 | 29.36 | 60 | +0.16 | Fastest and best rated | |
| 4 | Alnwick Hawk | 29.32 | 29.50 | 29.69 | 52 | +0.37 | 3-month layoff | |
| 6 | Crokers Mimi | 29.17 | 29.59 | 29.96 | 48 | +0.79 | Weakest recent form |
Trap 1 remains the strongest box in this grade at Newcastle over 480m, with trap 3 close behind, and Alnwick Megan lands that second trap to go with both the fastest recent times and the best average performance figure in the field. She won impressively last time out, though that was a level below tonight's company, so there's a small question over whether the step up troubles her. Blackhousehariet is the clearest danger - a big finisher who was runner-up last time out and should benefit from the long run to the line here. Alnwick Hawk has solid figures but hasn't raced since the spring, which adds real uncertainty to her chances.
Comfortably the fastest dog in the field on recent times and also carries the best average performance rating - both key predictors point the same way. Won impressively last time out, though that was a grade below tonight's company, which is the one thing to note before backing her with full confidence. Drawn in the second-strongest box in this grade and has been a picture of consistency across her recent starts. The strongest all-round case in the race.
Runner-up last time out and carries a standout closing figure - among the strongest finishers in this field. Her average performance rating is the second-best in the race, and that finishing kick should play well down Newcastle's long home straight. The trap is only moderate but her closing pace should let her overcome it if the pace up front is honest.
Drawn in the best-performing box in this grade, but the raw pace is the softest of this group and his last run was well below his best. Races evenly rather than relying on a strong finish or gate speed. The trap gives him a chance but the form doesn't inspire much confidence.
The underlying figures read reasonably well and she finishes her races off strongly from off the pace, but she hasn't raced since April - a gap of around three months that makes it hard to trust the form without seeing how she comes back. Worth watching the market for a fitness steer before getting too confident.
The weakest average performance figure in this field and her last run was below par too, though she has shown a career-best display a couple of starts back to suggest there's more to come on her day. Races evenly without a clear strength in either gate speed or finishing kick. Others have stronger claims tonight.
Key insight: Trap 3 is the second-strongest box in A4 grade at Newcastle over 480m at 21.0%, just behind trap 1, and tonight's fastest and best-rated dog lands exactly that draw.
T1:21.4% T2:18.2% T3:21.0% T4:18.8% T5:16.6% T6:18.0%
2,125 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Blackhouse Love | 50 | 47 | All-Rounder |
2Blackhousehariet | 23 | 100 | Closer |
3Alnwick Megan | 54 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Alnwick Hawk | 46 | 64 | Closer |
6Crokers Mimi | 51 | 43 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.