Loading...
PGR on Sky Sports Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Blackhouse Wayned 1y 13 | S Ray — 14% R365 W50 P204 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 53 | 25 (5) | 25 (5) | 42 (3) | 45 (2) | 45 (6) | 32 (2) | 28 (2) | 42 (5) | - | - | 29 | 27 | 26 | 20 | 34 | 31 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Whitehills Wendyb 2y 7 | R J Buckton — 20% R208 W42 P115 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 54 | 39 (3) | 55 (1) | 29 (5) | 40 (4) | 34 (5) | 42 (2) | 58 (3) | 51 (2) | 28 (5) | 38 (3) | 28 | 23 | 17 | 27 | 42 | 42 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Whitehills Haydid 2y 4 | R J Buckton — 20% R208 W42 P115 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 46 | 41 (4) | 33 (5) | 45 (2) | 46 (5) | 38 (5) | 45 (5) | 72 (1) | 35 (5) | 71 (1) | 43 (4) | 18 | 27 | 13 | 28 | 45 | 44 | 4 | 10/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Canny Smokeyd 1y 8 | P Rutherford — 18% R331 W59 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 45 | 46 (2) | 45 (2) | 45 (2) | 48 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 30 | 42 | 36 | 42 | 46 | 48 | 3 | 6/5F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Swift Tabled 1y 14 | J T Edgar — 17% R536 W89 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 48 | 24 (5) | 44 (2) | 40 (3) | 38 (3) | 57 (3) | 69 (1) | 34 (3) | 43 (2) | 41 (2) | 55 (3) | 2 | 26 | 15 | 26 | 46 | 42 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Blackhouse Wayne | 30.13 | 30.48 | 30.96 | 36 | +0.83 | Weakest trap and form | |
| 3 | Whitehills Wendy | 30.11 | 30.31 | 30.12 | 52 | +0.01 | Won last time out | |
| 4 | Whitehills Haydi | 30.20 | 30.26 | 30.31 | 49 | +0.11 | Modest but steady | |
| 5 | Canny Smokey | 30.10 | 30.21 | 30.29 | 52 | +0.19 | Best trap and trainer | |
| 6 | Swift Table | 30.10 | 30.36 | 30.10 | 52 | 0.00 | Below-average trap |
This lower grade at Newcastle over 480m is one where the model genuinely earns its keep - trap 5 has been the standout box in A8 company here, winning close to a quarter of the time, well clear of the rest, and Canny Smokey has landed exactly that draw. She shares the fastest recent times in the field with two others but has the best trainer figures and the best all-round suitability numbers of anyone in the race, and she finishes her races strongly which should suit the long run to the line. Whitehills Wendy won this exact grade and trip last time out with the best individual figure produced by anyone in this field recently, and she's quick away too, but her closing numbers suggest she can be run down if the finish is hot. Swift Table matches the pace of the leaders but is drawn in a below-average box and doesn't carry the same trainer or suitability edge.
Drawn in the trap that's been the outstanding box in this grade at Newcastle, winning nearly a quarter of the time - the clearest structural edge on the card tonight. Shares the fastest recent times with two rivals but has the best trainer record of anyone in the race and the strongest suitability figures too, all pointing the same way. Finishes off her races well, which should count for something down this long home straight. Only three runs at this level so the sample is still building, but she was second last time out and the trend is solid.
Won this exact grade and trip last time out and produced the best individual figure of anyone in this field doing it. Quickest away of the runners here too, so she should get a good look at things early from a solid trap. The question is what happens late - her recent form shows she tends to lose ground once the sprint is on, so she'll want to have this wrapped up before the closers arrive. On what she's just shown, she has to be respected.
The weakest figures in this race on both recent form and raw pace, and drawn in what's been the poorest box in this grade too. Nothing in his recent runs suggests he's about to turn that around. Very hard to make a case for him against this opposition.
Steady rather than spectacular, with figures that sit around the middle of this field, and she does finish her races reasonably well from off the pace. Nothing stands out about her draw or her recent form to push her above the more fancied runners here.
Shares the fastest recent times with the pick and the danger, and was runner-up last time out, so the raw pace is there. The trainer figures and the trap don't back him up in the same way though, and his own suitability numbers rate this draw as one of his weaker ones. Others in this race have the same pace with more supporting evidence behind them.
Key insight: Trap 5 is a clear structural edge in A8 grade at Newcastle over 480m, winning 24.2% from 231 runs - the strongest single trap advantage anywhere in tonight's card.
T1:19.5% T2:14.5% T3:21.3% T4:17.8% T5:24.2% T6:18.3%
1,415 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Blackhouse Wayne | 50 | 46 | All-Rounder |
3Whitehills Wendy | 58 | 36 | Fader |
4Whitehills Haydi | 51 | 55 | Closer |
5Canny Smokey | 42 | 76 | Closer |
6Swift Table | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.