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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Zenith Efendid 3y 14 | J J Fenwick — 18% R498 W92 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 38 | 65 (3) | 51 (5) | 71 (2) | 54 (5) | 42 (6) | 61 (4) | 55 (6) | 47 (5) | 34 (6) | 63 (5) | 8 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 35 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Bramble Harveyd 3y 110 | C L Hardy — 19% R236 W45 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 54 | 78 (1) | 75 (1) | 65 (2) | 55 (5) | 39 (5) | 62 (4) | 28 (6) | 48 (5) | 59 (4) | 50 (6) | 19 | 15 | - | 37 | 61 | 44 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Tetra Cruisingb 2y 14 | S Ray — 14% R365 W50 P204 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 47 | 68 (2) | 55 (4) | 63 (3) | 59 (5) | 64 (2) | 51 (6) | 82 (1) | 64 (3) | 48 (6) | 65 (3) | 37 | 24 | 17 | 20 | 60 | 48 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Fabulous Shonab 2y 35 | J T Edgar — 17% R536 W89 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 48 | 43 (6) | 53 (5) | 70 (2) | 56 (5) | 82 (1) | 67 (3) | 74 (2) | 78 (4) | 48 (5) | 45 (6) | 30 | 42 | 26 | 24 | 60 | 41 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Chasing Aineb 2y 8 | P Rutherford — 18% R331 W59 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 62 | 81 (1) | 69 (3) | 61 (3) | 64 (2) | 59 (4) | 60 (5) | 82 (1) | 77 (1) | 68 (2) | 69 (1) | 46 | 52 | 20 | 40 | 66 | 56 | 1 | 7/4F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenith Efendi | 29.18 | 29.42 | 29.45 | 46 | +0.27 | Best trap, modest form | |
| 2 | Bramble Harvey | 29.19 | 29.62 | 29.19 | 45 | 0.00 | Stepping up in grade | |
| 3 | Tetra Cruising | 29.04 | 29.31 | 29.32 | 52 | +0.28 | Fastest and best trap | |
| 4 | Fabulous Shona | 29.07 | 29.36 | 29.51 | 48 | +0.44 | Dropping from higher grade | |
| 5 | Chasing Aine | 29.10 | 29.35 | 29.17 | 52 | +0.07 | Best form in field, weak trap |
This A3 sees traps 1, 3 and 4 doing most of the damage at Newcastle over 480m, with trap 5 among the weaker draws - a factor that works against the clear form pick tonight. Chasing Aine's recent figures are in a different league to the rest of this field, averaging well clear of anyone else here and doing it consistently rather than in one flash performance. She tends to lead early and can lose a bit of ground late, which combined with the weaker trap is the obvious risk, but the gap in raw ability looks big enough to cover it. Tetra Cruising shares the fastest recent times in the field and is a genuine closer from a much better box, which makes her the obvious one to profit if the pace holds up and the leader weakens. Bramble Harvey arrives on the back of a big win but steps up from a lower grade to try this company for the first time.
Her recent figures are in a different league to the rest of this field, averaging well clear of anyone else here across six straight runs without a poor one in there. She also carries the best trainer figures and the strongest suitability numbers in the race. The concern is the pace profile - she tends to lead and can lose ground late - and she's drawn in one of the weaker boxes in this grade, which adds to that risk. But the gap in proven ability over this field is wide enough that she should be able to cover both issues.
Shares the fastest recent times of anyone in this field and is drawn in the best-performing box in this grade too. A genuine finisher who does her best work in the closing stages, which should suit Newcastle's long run to the line, and she's been admirably consistent without a bad run in her recent form. If the pace up front weakens even slightly, she's the type to be there to pounce.
Drawn in the best-performing box in this grade but the figures behind him are the weakest of this five, and his suitability numbers across the board are low, suggesting this combination of track, trip and class hasn't suited him well historically. Finishes his races reasonably from off the pace but needs a lot to go right to trouble the leading contenders.
Won impressively last time out, rating one of the best figures of his recent form, but that was in a lower grade and this is his first crack at this level. The step up is the obvious question mark - dogs winning well below this class don't always transfer that form straight away. Races evenly without a clear pace strength either way. Watch the market for confirmation he's ready for the step up.
Dropping down after running in the top grade last time out, where she was well beaten, but her form before that in similar company to tonight's was solid, with a career-best figure a few starts back. Races evenly and is drawn in a competitive box. The recent drop from a tougher grade means her rating may be a touch inflated against weaker opposition like this, so treat the figures with a little caution.
Key insight: A3 grade at Newcastle over 480m is unusually flat on the model - the top-rated dog doesn't clearly outperform the second - but speed rank 1 is a much stronger signal here at 23.1%, so raw pace matters more than the blended rating in this grade.
T1:21.1% T2:16.4% T3:21.2% T4:21.1% T5:15.0% T6:15.1%
1,932 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Zenith Efendi | 32 | 100 | Closer |
2Bramble Harvey | 50 | 41 | All-Rounder |
3Tetra Cruising | 47 | 67 | Closer |
4Fabulous Shona | 51 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Chasing Aine | 60 | 27 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.