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Greyhounds Make Great Pets Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Strictly Motsib 1y 17 | P Rutherford — 18% R331 W59 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 21 | 14 | 43 (6) | 70 (1) | 69 (1) | 38 (4) | 50 (4) | 42 (2) | 44 (4) | 21 (6) | - | - | 32 | 31 | - | 38 | 52 | 34 | 6 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ A Bit Ofa Bumpb 1y 15 | S Ray — 14% R365 W50 P204 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 43 | 56 (2) | 60 (2) | 35 (5) | 48 (2) | 43 (2) | 48 (2) | 37 (4) | 41 (3) | 70 (6) | - | 21 | 29 | - | 39 | 49 | 37 | 4 | 9/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Quivers Hakad 3yREP 18 | P Rutherford — 18% R331 W59 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 28 | 54 | 70 (1) | 30 (5) | 43 (4) | 50 (4) | 69 (1) | 71 (1) | 61 (2) | 61 (3) | 72 (1) | 50 (4) | 18 | 22 | - | 27 | 51 | 26 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Blackhouse Jeanb 1y 14 | S Ray — 14% R365 W50 P204 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 68 | 43 | 34 (6) | 56 (2) | 56 (2) | 46 (3) | 53 (4) | 59 (2) | 60 (3) | 55 (3) | 48 (4) | 43 (6) | 43 | 29 | - | 27 | 53 | 58 | 3 | 9/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Bramble Emeraldb 3y 5 | C L Hardy — 19% R236 W45 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 67 | 73 | 58 (4) | 53 (5) | 65 (2) | 70 (2) | 62 (2) | 67 (3) | 43 (5) | 56 (4) | 66 (2) | 67 (3) | 55 | 40 | - | 29 | 60 | 61 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Droopys Coachd 2y 6 | A Harrison — 22% R543 W118 P320 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 84 | 59 | 61 (4) | 76 (1) | 60 (2) | 57 (4) | 60 (3) | 53 (5) | 79 (1) | 70 (4) | 77 (1) | 78 (2) | 39 | 43 | - | 40 | 65 | 68 | 1 | 2/1F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strictly Motsi | 30.31 | 30.66 | 30.31 | 14 | 0.00 | Won last time out | |
| 2 | A Bit Ofa Bump | 29.79 | 30.22 | 30.36 | 30 | +0.57 | Placed last time out | |
| 3 | Blink Of An Eye | 29.44 | 29.96 | 30.10 | 45 | +0.66 | Weakest recent form | |
| 4 | Blackhouse Jean | 29.32 | 29.79 | 29.32 | 61 | 0.00 | Placed last time out | |
| 5 | Bramble Emerald | 29.31 | 29.57 | 29.70 | 60 | +0.39 | Best bend, fades late | |
| 6 | Droopys Coach | 28.80 | 29.25 | 29.53 | 77 | +0.73 | Fastest and best rated |
A second handicap on the card and, as with the earlier one, the model doesn't dominate at Newcastle over 480m in this grade - traps 1 and 2 have done best historically while the middle boxes have struggled. This one has a clearer standout on raw ability though: Droopys Coach is faster and rates higher on recent form than anything else in the field by a distinct margin, and he quickens to the bend rather than fading away from it, which should serve him well up front. Bramble Emerald has the pace to match him to the first turn and the best first-bend figures in the race, but her finishing kick has been non-existent recently, so she'll need to get well clear rather than fight it out late. Strictly Motsi won last time out from this same grade and gets thrown in from a workable mark, giving him claims on recent form even though his raw times read modestly.
Comfortably the fastest dog in this field and carries the best average performance rating too - both of the strongest predictors point the same way here. Quickens to the bend rather than fading from it, which sets him up well from this outside box, and his recent form has been admirably consistent without a real bad run. Trap 6 isn't the very best draw in these handicaps but it's competitive, and the gap in raw ability to the rest of this field looks the difference-maker.
Has the best early pace and first-bend figures of anyone in this field and should be handily placed from the break. The concern is what happens after that - she has no recorded finishing kick at all in her recent form, meaning she needs to build a lead early and hold it rather than fight it out late. Her average performance rating is the second-best in the race, so the ability is clearly there when things fall her way.
Won this exact grade and trip last time out from the front trap, so the form is right there in black and white, and he's drawn in what's been the best box in these Newcastle handicaps. The raw clock times read modestly compared to the fastest in this field, but that's a common quirk with forward-marked handicappers and shouldn't be taken at face value against dogs running off different marks. Finishes his races strongly. Deserves plenty of credit on the strength of that last run.
Runner-up last time out and drawn in the second-best box in these handicaps, but the figures behind that placed run haven't been especially strong and he raced as an all-rounder without a clear edge in gate speed or finishing kick. Solid without being spectacular.
Stepped down from a higher grade last time and was only third, and the recent figures generally sit below most of these. Quick enough early but tends to lose ground in the closing stages. Hard to find a strong case for him in this company.
Runner-up last time out stepping down from a higher grade and finishes her races well from off the pace. The figures are reasonable rather than outstanding, and she's drawn in what's been the weakest box in these Newcastle handicaps, which is a real obstacle to overcome.
Key insight: Handicap racing at Newcastle 480m is generally hard to call, but a clear pace and form standout like tonight's is the kind of situation where the model still adds value despite the grade's overall weakness.
T1:22.2% T2:20.7% T3:17.0% T4:12.0% T5:11.5% T6:20.0%
2,769 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Strictly Motsi | 15 | 73 | Closer |
2A Bit Ofa Bump | 37 | 48 | All-Rounder |
3Quivers Haka | 55 | 0 | Fader |
4Blackhouse Jean | 45 | 60 | Closer |
5Bramble Emerald | 76 | 0 | Fader |
6Droopys Coach | 62 | 52 | Front Runner |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.