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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Coppice Survivord 2y 6 | J J Fenwick — 18% R498 W92 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 69 | 56 (2) | 50 (3) | 52 (2) | 53 (2) | 40 (4) | 22 (5) | 35 (1) | 28 (2) | 61 (1) | 52 (2) | 32 | 32 | 48 | 33 | 51 | 45 | 2 | 7/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Isaks Onthe Kopd 2y 16 | J T Edgar — 17% R536 W89 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 23 | 47 (4) | 38 (5) | 41 (3) | 49 (4) | 51 (2) | 46 (4) | 50 (2) | 46 (5) | 47 (3) | 49 (3) | 14 | 24 | 23 | 17 | 46 | 41 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ A Bit Of Trudyb 1y 5 | S Ray — 14% R365 W50 P204 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 45 | 47 (3) | 58 (1) | 60 (1) | 44 (4) | 72 (1) | 64 (2) | 47 (5) | 50 (2) | 50 (2) | 35 (6) | 26 | 34 | 38 | 50 | 55 | 49 | 5 | 10/3 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Under The Skinb 1y 25 | A Harrison — 22% R543 W118 P320 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 42 | 50 (2) | 48 (3) | 41 (5) | 61 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 39 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 50 | 40 | 1 | 7/4F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Charlies Top Gund 1y 11 | P Rutherford — 18% R331 W59 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 46 | 63 (1) | 59 (1) | 45 (4) | 39 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 23 | 23 | 20 | 27 | 49 | 41 | 4 | 9/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Tino On Fired 3y 6 | J J Fenwick — 18% R498 W92 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 58 | 44 (3) | 42 (4) | 56 (2) | 48 (2) | 46 (4) | 49 (2) | 39 (6) | 58 (1) | 31 (5) | 42 (3) | 28 | 22 | 26 | 27 | 46 | 44 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coppice Survivor | 29.73 | 30.00 | 30.28 | 51 | +0.55 | Fast early, no finish | |
| 2 | Isaks Onthe Kop | 29.79 | 29.97 | 30.24 | 51 | +0.45 | Weakest trap | |
| 3 | A Bit Of Trudy | 29.90 | 30.03 | 30.24 | 49 | +0.34 | Won last time out | |
| 4 | Under The Skin | 29.82 | 30.05 | 30.27 | 48 | +0.45 | Best trap, but fades | |
| 5 | Charlies Top Gun | 30.07 | 30.10 | 30.07 | 47 | 0.00 | Won last time out, improving | |
| 6 | Tino On Fire | 29.56 | 30.01 | 30.18 | 54 | +0.62 | Fastest, fades late |
A7 grade tends to be a tricky one for the model everywhere, but Newcastle handles this level of racing better than most tracks - trap 4 has been the strongest box here, with trap 3 close behind. A Bit Of Trudy carries the best average performance figure in the field, won last time out and is a proven finisher who should be suited by the long home straight from a solid trap. Under The Skin has the benefit of the very best box in this grade and was runner-up last time out, but her recent form shows she fades once the sprint is on, which is a real risk against a strong-finishing field. Charlies Top Gun arrives full of running, having won last time out too, and carries the best trainer figures in the race, though he's had only three starts so the sample is still small.
Carries the best average performance figure in this field and won last time out, continuing a pattern of consistent form across her last six starts without a poor run in there. A genuine finisher who does her best work late, which should suit the long straight at Newcastle. Drawn in one of the better boxes for this grade too. The most rounded case in the race.
Lands the best-performing trap in this grade and was runner-up last time out, so there's plenty to like on paper. The concern is her recent pattern of fading once the pace picks up - she has almost nothing left in the closing stages according to her recent figures. If she can use the good trap to get a clear run early, she's dangerous, but she's vulnerable to be run down by the pick late on.
Very sharp away with a strong first-bend figure, but has no recorded finishing kick at all and is drawn in one of the weakest boxes in this grade. Third last time out, but the profile suggests he needs to lead throughout to have a chance, which is a tough ask from this box.
A big finisher with strong closing figures, but very slow into stride and drawn in the weakest box in this grade too - a tough combination to overcome. Form has been modest across his recent starts. Needs a fast, well-run race in front of him to have any realistic chance.
Won last time out and the form is trending the right way across his three starts to date, with the best trainer figures of anyone in this field. It's still a small sample to fully trust though, and he's drawn in one of the weaker boxes for this grade. Worth another look regardless given how he's shaping.
The fastest dog in the field on recent times and drawn in a well-performing box, but the pattern in his recent form is fast early before fading, and he hasn't found the frame convincingly of late. The raw pace makes him one to note but the fade is a genuine concern in this company.
Key insight: Traps 3, 4 and 6 have done most of the winning in A7 grade at Newcastle over 480m, while the two inside boxes have been notably weak - an unusual reversal from most grades at this track.
T1:15.7% T2:15.5% T3:21.1% T4:21.9% T5:16.4% T6:20.5%
2,196 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Coppice Survivor | 77 | 0 | Fader |
2Isaks Onthe Kop | 30 | 100 | Closer |
3A Bit Of Trudy | 50 | 63 | Closer |
4Under The Skin | 21 | 9 | Fader |
5Charlies Top Gun | 50 | 56 | Closer |
6Tino On Fire | 59 | 44 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coppice Survivor | 0.609 | 0.624 |
| 2 | Isaks Onthe Kop | — | 0.625 |
| 3 | A Bit Of Trudy | — | 0.627 |
| 4 | Under The Skin | — | 0.626 |
| 5 | Charlies Top Gun | — | 0.624 |
| 6 | Tino On Fire | — | 0.625 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.